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On Monday February 27th, 2012, WikiLeaks began publishing The Global Intelligence Files, over five million e-mails from the Texas headquartered "global intelligence" company Stratfor. The e-mails date between July 2004 and late December 2011. They reveal the inner workings of a company that fronts as an intelligence publisher, but provides confidential intelligence services to large corporations, such as Bhopal's Dow Chemical Co., Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon and government agencies, including the US Department of Homeland Security, the US Marines and the US Defence Intelligence Agency. The emails show Stratfor's web of informers, pay-off structure, payment laundering techniques and psychological methods.
Re: [alpha] INSIGHT - YEMEN - Houthis making serious progress - ME1466
Released on 2013-11-15 00:00 GMT
Email-ID4140232
Date2011-11-10 22:29:24
Frombhalla@stratfor.com
Toalpha@stratfor.com
Re: [alpha] INSIGHT - YEMEN - Houthis making serious
progress - ME1466


Okay, this is important. Major Houthi expansion means Saudi cant put
Yemen on the backburner. let's lay out on the map what these tactical
Houthi gains mean. i'll be collecting some more info on this

----------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Ashley Harrison" <ashley.harrison@stratfor.com>
To: "Alpha List" <alpha@stratfor.com>
Sent: Thursday, November 10, 2011 2:57:28 PM
Subject: Re: [alpha] INSIGHT - YEMEN - Houthis making serious
progress - ME1466

Here's a similar report that came out yesterday by the Yemeni Post that
supports the Houthi expansion. And this report confirms the Houthi
takeover of Saada and Jawf.

Al-Houthi Expansion Plan in Yemen Revealed
http://yemenpost.net/Detail123456789.aspx?ID=3&SubID=4288&MainCat=3
Yemen Post Staff

Several sources in Hajjah, a northern Yemeni governorate which sits
directly on the northern Saudi borders, told the press that al-Houthis
fighters, a Shia led rebellion, were increasingly expanding their area of
control in the region as they had already overtaken several towns and
villages in the province. They warned that despite a fierce resistance
from the tribes of Kashir and Aahm, al-Houthis still managed to break
through, overwhelming the tribal army in numbers and weapons.

Until recently, tribes in Hajjah were benefited greatly from the
government' support as they were seen as a buffer against al-Houthis'
territorial ambitions, especially since Hajjah offers not only an access
to the sea but also the capital, Sana'a.
However since President Saleh has had to bear the blunt of a popular
uprising, concentrating his efforts on regaining control over the state
institutions by taming the political factions which rose against him,
al-Houthis has used to his advantage the regime's weaknesses, pushing
through his expansion plans.

Several high ranking officials amongst whom many sheikhs are now worry
that al-Houthis are planning a direct attack on Sana'a as the Shia
fighters are said to be desperately trying to secure access to the
governorate's seaport of Midi.
They are warning that if the seaport was to fell into al-Houthis' hands,
the rebels would be able to ferry weapons and equipment from abroad,
granting an incredible advantage and the potential means of carrying a
wider attack on Yemen territories.

Furthermore, over the past few weeks, the Shia rebels have managed to take
control over Kahlah al Sharaf district, which is believed to be further
proof that al-Houthis are trying to create a direct link in between Sana'a
and the Red Sea, in preparation of an attempted take -over.

If Hajjah was to be lost, it would the third Yemeni provinces to have gone
under control of al-Houthis led rebellion on a few months, increasing
exponentially the risk of the country sinking into utter chaos and Mayhem.

Sources in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia have said under cover of anonymity
that they were watching the events with utmost interest since most of
their southern borders ran through al-Houthis' controlled territories and
that the group has be known in the past for attacking Saudi villages which
they claim ownership over.

Yemen Post Staff

----------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Wilson" <michael.wilson@stratfor.com>
To: "Alpha List" <alpha@stratfor.com>, "Reva Bhalla" <bhalla@stratfor.com>
Sent: Thursday, November 10, 2011 2:14:22 PM
Subject: Re: [alpha] INSIGHT - YEMEN - Houthis making serious progress
- ME1466

I pretty much have not seen any reports on houthi movements or not in
at least a month or two and back then the reports (dont remember where)
were basically that they weren't doing much, in order to keep a low
profile and consolidate their areas

On 11/10/11 1:00 PM, Marc Lanthemann wrote:

SOURCE: ME1466
ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR source
SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Yemeni ambassador to Lebanon
PUBLICATION: need to cross-verify
SOURCE RELIABILITY: B-C
ITEM CREDIBILITY: B-C
SPECIAL HANDLING: Alpha
SOURCE HANDLER: Reva

** OSINT, please send any updates on what's been happening on the
Houthi front. I'm checking with another source as well to see if they've
been making as much progress as this source is claiming

the Huthis are taking advantage of the crisis in Yemen and are advancing
in the northern part of the country. The Huthis have completed their
take over of Saada and Jawf and are on their way to complete their
control of Khashar mountain. They are also approaching the strategic
Midi port on the Red Sea. Al-Islah Islamic party is trying to stop them
without much success. The Huthis appear to be creating a new reality in
Yemen. They are unlikely to declare their independence but they will
most probably declare their region autonomous.

--
Michael Wilson
Director of Watch Officer Group
STRATFOR
221 W. 6th Street, Suite 400
Austin, TX 78701
T: +1 512 744 4300 ex 4112
www.STRATFOR.com




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