Putinology
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20.01.2020
Russia Prepares for New Tandemocracy
Tatiana Stanovaya
Putin’s proposed amendments to various roles amount to something resembling an insurance policy, which suggests that the president has already decided who his successor will be, though he may not name that person for another three years.
17.01.2020
Did Putin Just Appoint Himself President for Life?
Dmitri Trenin
Alexander Baunov
Andrei Kolesnikov
Tatiana Stanovaya
President Putin’s unexpected proposals this week to change the Russian constitution prompted the instant resignation of the Russian government. What’s he trying to achieve, and will he succeed?
16.01.2020
Planning for a (Not-So) Post-Putin Russia
Andrei Kolesnikov
Of the constitutional reforms put forward by Putin, what will really change a lot is the proposal to give the Russian constitution—including repressive Russian legislation—priority over international law. This violation of the usual hierarchy is nothing short of a legal revolution.
26.08.2019
Has Russia, Inc. Stalwart Chemezov Crossed the Barricades?
Andrei Kolesnikov
Sergei Chemezov’s comments on the public mood in Russia testify not to the specter of a thaw, but, on the contrary, to the fact that the clampdown is in full swing, and only individual members of the inner circle are apprehensive of the authorities’ new radical strategy of repression, which will provoke a new spiral in the war that is already de facto raging between the state and civil society.
13.08.2019
Protests Expose Russia’s Regime Rivalry
Tatiana Stanovaya
Russia’s government agencies are so busy competing with one another and presenting themselves in a good light to the Kremlin that they are failing to deal with the new street protests.
30.07.2019
Moscow Protests Are Good News for Opposition–and Siloviki
Tatiana Stanovaya
This month’s protests in Moscow over city parliament elections are proof that Russia’s non-systemic opposition has taken its struggle to be recognized by the Kremlin as a major political player to a new level. Faced with a foe that has seized the initiative, set the agenda, and brought people into the streets, the Kremlin is at a loss. Its brightest idea, it seems, is to forcibly disperse the protests and prosecute the demonstrators: an approach that risks the state’s takeover by the siloviki.
26.06.2019
As Putin’s Authority Dwindles, Protests in Russia Are Newly Effective
Konstantin Gaaze
Having lost his leadership, President Putin now has one chance to carry out major reform that would at least temporarily restore the status of national leader to him. The problem is that after twenty years at the helm, he needs to offer society something a little more solid than the national projects. His final reform must in some sense put an end to the way of ruling the president has adhered to since he first came to power: i.e., using brute force to rule the country.
24.06.2019
No Change Ahead, a Jaded Putin Signals at Annual Phone-In
Tatiana Stanovaya
Putin perceives growing discontent with the authorities as a purely emotional reaction, based not on real problems but on society’s failure to understand the true picture. This means that no significant revision of the country’s social and economic direction should be expected. Instead, the president and society will suspect each other of being unreasonable and not understanding what is really going on.
12.06.2019
Why Jailed U.S. Investor Calvey Is the Least of Putin’s Concerns
Tatiana Stanovaya
While the authorities used the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum to blame the United States for Russia’s problems, the forum’s main unofficial topic was the lawlessness and impunity of the security services, or siloviki. Faced with the question of what is preventing business and investors from developing in Russia, the authorities and the business elite had contradictory answers.
22.05.2019
Every Man for Himself: The Russian Regime Turns On Itself
Tatiana Stanovaya
The Russian regime is less and less like a well-tuned orchestra with a confident conductor, and more and more like a cacophony in which every musician is trying to play louder and get more attention than everyone else. No one is focusing on the harmonious sound of the symphony. Instead, institutional and corporate priorities take precedence over national priorities, and are carried out at the latter’s expense. This political divergence has been provoked by Putin’s political absence, and fueled by a general fear of an uncertain future and lack of clarity regarding Putin’s plans.
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