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Carnegie.ru Commentary
Why Fears of a Russia-Belarus Merger Never Come True
DZIANIS MELYANTSOUMAY 12, 2021РУССКИЙ
Belarus’s weakened position has not altered its traditional interests—or Minsk’s readiness to defend them. This is becoming increasingly obvious as the Belarusian regime regains control over the situation at home.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Inconceivable, Inevitable, Impossible Union: Lessons for Today From WWII-Era Soviet-Western Relations
ANDREI KOLESNIKOVDMITRI TRENIN
MAY 05, 2021РУССКИЙ
The experience of the Soviet-American-British wartime coalition was unique and inimitable. Pulling the U.S.-Russian relationship back from the brink of confrontation to less antagonistic rivalry will only be possible in the event of major changes in the domestic politics of one or both countries.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Podcast: What’s the Point of the Latest U.S. Sanctions Against Russia?
ALEXANDER GABUEVANDREY MOVCHANMARIA SHAGINA
APRIL 30, 2021
Podcast host Alex Gabuev is joined by Andrey Movchan, a nonresident scholar in the Economic Policy Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center, and Maria Shagina, a postdoctoral fellow at the Center for Eastern European Studies at the University of Zurich, to discuss the impact of Western sanctions on the Russian economy.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
What Does U.S. Recognition of the Armenian Genocide Mean for Turkey-Russia relations?
KIRILL ZHAROVAPRIL 30, 2021РУССКИЙ
Washington’s recognition of the Armenian genocide is far from the main problem in U.S.-Turkish relations, which have been in crisis now for several years.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Escalation and Retreat: The New Model for U.S.-Russian Relations?
ALEXANDER BAUNOVAPRIL 29, 2021РУССКИЙ
The deliberate stoking of tensions to enable a show of strength followed by an equally deliberate retreat could become an everyday tool used in foreign policy: a regular swing of the pendulum between escalation and de-escalation.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Putin Has Nothing to Say to Russians
TATIANA STANOVAYAAPRIL 23, 2021РУССКИЙ
The communication channels between the president and society are shrinking. Some events are apparently too important for the president to discuss seriously with the public, while others are uninteresting or unpleasant for him, so they aren’t discussed either, no matter how big those issues might be.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Who Will Russia Back in Armenia’s Upcoming Election?
KIRILL KRIVOSHEEVAPRIL 22, 2021РУССКИЙ
Russia will likely watch how the Armenian election campaign unfolds, helping first one side and then the other. It has many levers of influence there, but not enough to assume complete control.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Ukraine, Russia, and United States Make Use of Donbas Tension
ALEXANDER BAUNOVAPRIL 21, 2021РУССКИЙ
Biden’s call to Putin confirmed that unchecked escalation is not part of the new U.S. administration’s plans. Tough rhetoric, preemptive escalation, and the announcement of new sanctions were necessary for Biden to start the inevitable conversation with Russia.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Events in Czechia and Belarus Cement Eastern Europe’s New Divide
MAXIM SAMORUKOVAPRIL 20, 2021РУССКИЙ
With the weekend’s developments in the Czech Republic and Belarus, the new border between Russia and the West is calcifying, eliminating not only movement from one side to the other, but also the freedom not to choose a side.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
What’s Behind the Refreeze in U.S.-Belarus Relations?
DZIANIS MELYANTSOUAPRIL 15, 2021РУССКИЙ
There are tough times ahead for U.S.-Belarusian relations. Reimposing sanctions will lead to a new stage of the diplomatic crisis and a further toughening of rhetoric.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Turkey’s Tightrope Between Russia and the United States
DIMITAR BECHEVAPRIL 14, 2021РУССКИЙ
Turkey has been sitting on two chairs, doing geopolitical business with Russia and calling on the United States on a case-by-case basis when interests happen to converge. Now the United States is giving Turkey a taste of its own medicine, and applying its own version of transactionalism.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Russia-Ukraine War Alert: What’s Behind It and What Lies Ahead?
DMITRI TRENINAPRIL 13, 2021РУССКИЙ
Perhaps the most important thing for the Russian leadership in this episode was to prevent the need to actually go to war against Ukraine in the future. Going overkill in terms of military maneuvers on the Ukrainian border now may avoid the need to do terrible things at a later point.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Russia Is Ignoring Climate Change at Its Own Peril
EKATERINA MOOREAPRIL 07, 2021РУССКИЙ
For now, neither Russian business nor the government or society understands the problem of climate change and why they should be doing anything about it. This lack of understanding could ultimately be more damaging to the Russian economy than all the current Western sanctions.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Are Russia and Ukraine Sliding Into War?
MAXIM SAMORUKOVAPRIL 05, 2021
With Moscow massing its troops on Ukraine’s eastern border and in Crimea, Kyiv has little chance of standing its ground if the standoff deteriorates into a military confrontation. Yet there are reasons to believe that neither side intends to unleash a war.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Russians Aren’t Buying Putin’s PR Stunts Anymore
ANDREI KOLESNIKOVAPRIL 02, 2021FOREIGN POLICYРУССКИЙ
To save its approval ratings, the Kremlin might be better focusing its energy elsewhere.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
UK Security Review: Implications for Russia
DMITRI TRENINAPRIL 02, 2021РУССКИЙ
The British government’s Integrated Review implies that there can be no cooperation with Moscow until the Russian government either changes its policies in a fundamental way or is replaced by a government with a very different policy agenda.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Podcast: Russia and the Indo-Pacific
DARSHANA M. BARUAHALEXANDER GABUEVMICHITO TSURUOKA
MARCH 31, 2021
Podcast host Alex Gabuev; Darshana Baruah, an associate fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; and Michito Tsuruoka, an associate professor at Keio University in Tokyo, examine relations in and around the Indo-Pacific.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Can the Next Generation of Russians Modernize Their Country?
ANDREI KOLESNIKOVMARCH 31, 2021РУССКИЙ
A generational shift will take place if young Russians decide to break with the values of an antiquated state. This process could take a very long time and include periods of regression, but it could also happen much quicker than expected.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
Podcast: Has Russia’s COVID Vaccine Gotten Lost In Politics?
ALEXANDER GABUEVPOLINA IVANOVAHENRY FOY
MARCH 30, 2021
This episode looks at the domestic and international reception of Russia’s Sputnik V vaccine.
Carnegie.ru Commentary
No Emotions or Illusions: The Future of U.S.-Russian Relations
DMITRI TRENINMARCH 30, 2021РУССКИЙ
Three decades after the collapse of the USSR, the mindset of Soviet-American détente and “equal, mutually beneficial cooperation” is hopelessly outdated.
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