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Op-Ed
How Biden and Erdogan Can End the Turkish-American Standoff
SINAN ÜLGENJUNE 09, 2021BLOOMBERG
Despite unpromising circumstances, Presidents Biden and Erdogan can begin to improve U.S.-Turkey relations by first addressing and resolving the issue of the S-400 missile defense system.
Op-Ed
No Easy Passage for Erdogan’s Canal Plan
SINAN ÜLGENAPRIL 09, 2021BLOOMBERG
Erdogan's Canal Istanbul is in the works, but the Montreux Convention—which regulates traffic through the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles straits—could spell trouble for this mega-project.
Op-Ed
The ‘Cold War’ Diplomacy Behind Covid-19 Vaccines
ALLISON CARRAGHERMARCH 11, 2021EUOBSERVER
The race is on to vaccinate Europeans, and it’s a competition between East vs West. Russia and China aren’t just selling vaccines—they’re peddling a value set that undermines international norms.
Op-Ed
New EU Defense Initiatives for Old Political Problems
RALUCA CSERNATONIFEBRUARY 18, 2021 EURACTIV
EU defense integration has been plagued by the issue of sovereignty and progress in high-end capability development has moved at a snail’s pace. What is needed is a clear, overarching strategic vision for European security and defense.
Op-Ed
Capturing the Mood on Both Sides of the Ukraine-Russia Conflict in Donbas
KRISTIN BAKKE, JOHN O’LOUGHLIN, GWENDOLYN SASSE, GERARD TOAL
FEBRUARY 17, 2021GLOBAL VOICES
In a region where every aspect of daily life is affected by the war, the degree of trust in local authorities in the Donbas will be a crucial factor in shaping the future.
Op-Ed
A Positive Agenda With Turkey: At What Price?
MARC PIERINIFEBRUARY 13, 2021AHVAL
2030 will be a milestone for the Turkish president, who faces crucial elections and the Republic's centennial celebration. As he ramps up his charm offensive, Europe must be careful not to abdicate its values and interests.
Op-Ed
A New Survey of the Ukraine-Russia Conflict Finds Deeply Divided Views in the Contested Donbas Region
KRISTIN BAKKE, JOHN O'LOUGHLIN, GWENDOLYN SASSE, GERARD TOAL
FEBRUARY 12, 2021THE WASHINGTON POST
Donbas is at the intersection of geopolitical, territorial, and cultural conflicts. These tensions are reflected in deep divisions in attitudes about the war and their future territorial status.
Op-Ed
After Trump, the EU Stands Between Transatlanticism and Strategic Autonomy
ROSA BALFOURFEBRUARY 11, 2021THE GERMAN MARSHALL FUND OF THE UNITED STATES
The EU and the United States are seeking to redefine their respective partnerships outside the transatlantic framework while pledging cooperation when it comes to global issues. The key question is, will it work?
Op-Ed
A Path for Joe Biden to Reset U.S. Relations With Turkey
SINAN ÜLGENJANUARY 31, 2021FINANCIAL TIMES
As Turkey has increased its military and economic influence over the past decade, relations with the West have become strained. Both sides will have to bend if Ankara and Washington are to work together again.
Op-Ed
The Power of Soil: How Our Precarious Climate Shaped the Arab Spring
OLIVIA LAZARDJANUARY 01, 2021MIDDLE EAST EYE
Humanity’s response to the climate crisis is reproducing the same logic that created it. The history of the Middle East and the Arab Spring foretell our global future: ignore ecological integrity at your peril.
Op-Ed
After Trump’s Sanctions, Biden Can Reset With Turkey
SINAN ÜLGENDECEMBER 16, 2020BLOOMBERG
The new U.S. sanctions will hurt Turkey, but they are also an opportunity to renew U.S.-Turkish relations. President-elect Joe Biden’s arrival will be a chance for both sides to find common ground and salvage a critical relationship.
Op-Ed
Turkey Has the Chance to Do Things Differently on Its Economy
SINAN ÜLGENNOVEMBER 11, 2020BLOOMBERG
Turkey has begun to take steps toward a more coherent economic policy, but its outcome will ultimately be determined by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
Op-Ed
The Nagorny Karabakh Conflict Marks the Return of Great-Power Politics
THOMAS DE WAALNOVEMBER 11, 2020NEW YORK TIMES
Russia and Turkey have brokered a peace deal for the Nagorny Karabakh conflict that greatly enhances their military presence in a region where they were losing influence.
Op-Ed
U.S. Election: If Biden Wins, We’ll Know on the Night
PETER KELLNEROCTOBER 28, 2020THEARTICLE
Ignore the scares. Unless the polls are badly wrong, a victory for Democratic candidate Joe Biden will be known on election night.
Op-Ed
No Compromise in Sight for Armenia and Azerbaijan
THOMAS DE WAALOCTOBER 26, 2020FOREIGN AFFAIRS
Nagorny Karabakh remains one of the most tragic and persistent disputes in Europe. Unless Armenia and Azerbaijan conclude that resolving the conflict is more in their common interest than persisting with force or allowing others to resolve it for them, it will likely remain unresolved for another generation.
Op-Ed
A Weak Economy Won’t Stop Turkey’s Activist Foreign Policy
SINAN ÜLGENOCTOBER 06, 2020FOREIGN POLICY
By pledging unconditional support to Azerbaijan in its conflict with Armenia over Nagorny Karabakh, Turkey’s government is stretching its forces and its budget, but it’s also shoring up its base.
Op-Ed
United States Power Vacuum Risks Escalating Violence in Armenia-Azerbaijan
THOMAS DE WAALSEPTEMBER 29, 2020POLITICO EUROPE
Turkey’s involvement, Iran’s proximity, the enigmatic role of Russia, and the presence of major oil and gas pipelines in the region can quickly turn the new violence between Armenia and Azerbaijan into an international headache.
Op-Ed
Trump’s “Virtual Reality” Foreign Policy
CORNELIUS ADEBAHRSEPTEMBER 22, 2020POLITICO EUROPE
Legitimate or not, President Trump’s snapback of the Iran sanctions and his distorted reality based on “alternative facts” undermine the foundations of international politics.
Op-Ed
The EU Must Persuade Turkey That Permanent Disruption Comes With Disastrous Consequences
MARC PIERINISEPTEMBER 22, 2020LE MONDE
In confronting Turkey’s leadership over its disruptive behavior—most lately in the Eastern Mediterranean—the European Council will have to tread carefully between principles, possible actions, and unsound options.
Op-Ed
A Conflict Could Be Brewing in the Eastern Mediterranean. Here’s How to Stop It.
SINAN ÜLGEN, ASLI AYDINTASBAS
SEPTEMBER 17, 2020WASHINGTON POST
The discovery of hydrocarbons in the Eastern Mediterranean has raised tensions in the region. Europe must act to to prevent an actual war from breaking out between Greece and Turkey.
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