Sustainable growth with environmental spillovers
Introduction
In mainstream environmental economics, sustainable growth is modeled as a problem of maximizing an intertemporal utilitarian welfare function, subject to the constraint that the growth of consumption, utility, or social well-being cannot be negative (e.g. Asheim, 1999, Dasgupta, 2001). The constrained-utilitarian approach applies positive discounting of future utility, consistent with Koopmans's (1960) demonstration that there does not exist a utility function defined on all consumption streams that satisfies the usual axioms of rational choice and timing neutrality (i.e. without discounting). In an alternative approach (Beltratti et al., 1993, Beltratti et al., 1995, Chichilnisky, 1996),1 social welfare is modeled as a weighted average of conventional growth and a concern for sustainability.
In what follows, we take a different tack, following the question posed by Anand and Sen (2000). Instead of incorporating a sustainability criterion as a side constraint, we incorporate the concern with intergenerational equity into the planner's objective function. We ask whether such a concern, in combination with a specification of interdependency between well-being and the natural environment, will lead to a sustainable consumption path. In particular, we employ the concept of intergenerational neutrality as proposed by Ramsey (1928) and Koopmans (1965). Ramsey (1928, p. 619) warned that the use of a positive utility discount rate is “ethically indefensible” and reveals “a weakness of the imagination”. Koopmans himself (1965, p. 240) noted “we welcome equally a unit increase in consumption per worker in any one future decade … Mere numbers cannot give one generation an edge over another …” Koopmans's (1965) solution to Koopmans's (1960) nonexistence problem relies precisely on the notion of “intergenerational neutrality” for a specific, non-empty subset of feasible consumption paths and is captured in turn by the zero utility discount rate.2
The first objective of the present paper is to examine optimal and intertemporally neutral growth with a nonrenewable resource that generates negative externalities such as acid rain and global warming. We suggest that assuming a backstop resource is plausible and that, under these conditions, optimal growth is sustainable, even without the imposition of a sustainability constraint. The second objective is to resolve the inconsistency between the sustainability requirement that consumption growth be non-negative and the finding that, in the standard model, maximizing sustainable income leads to eventually declining consumption. We show that this paradox does not arise under intertemporal neutrality.
In Section 2, we present the conditions for optimal and ethically neutral growth in a model with a non-renewable resource and a backstop technology. The maximum–minimum solution is shown to be a special case of this solution, albeit one which is unlikely to be preferred. In Section 3, we extend the model to include environmental disamenities associated with the use of non-renewable resources. In Section 4, we investigate the relationship between Ramsey–Koopmans optimal growth and sustainable income. Section 5 provides a brief summary and concluding remarks.
Section snippets
Koopmans's impossibility theorem and his solution
An immediate obstacle to maximizing a utilitarian welfare function without discounting is that the value of such a function is infinite for some feasible consumption streams. Koopmans (1960) went further, proving the impossibility of representing intertemporally neutral planner preferences, over all consumption vectors, by any utility function.
Building on Ramsey, Koopmans (1965) argued that one way out of the dilemma of a non-existent utility function capable of ranking all conceivable
Fund pollution
We now turn to the case wherein use of a non-renewable resource such as petrochemically sourced energy generates pollution. For simplicity, assume that pollution (Et) is emitted as a constant proportion of resource use (Rt) and that emission units are set such that the proportion is one. Therefore,In the case of fund pollution, emissions are assumed not to accumulate, so emissions, but no stock pollutants, enter into the utility function. Now our maximand becomes
Net national product
An alternative to the conventional approaches of optimizing sustainably weighted or sustainably constrained growth is to extend the concept of NNP to include the depreciation of natural capital, ergo the moniker green net national product, GNNP. Maximizing GNNP is roughly equivalent to maximizing intergenerational welfare inasmuch as GNNP can be shown to be a linear approximation of the Hamiltonian of the intergenerational welfare function (albeit without a sustainability constraint).15
Summary and concluding remarks
The literature on sustainable growth has foundered on the question of whether to represent sustainability as an ad hoc constraint on the objective function or by restricting the social planner's preferences. Instead of searching for what is optimal and sustainable, we follow the canonical approach of Ramsey, Koopmans, and Diamond and solve for what is optimal and intertemporally neutral. This frees us to explore the conditions under which such a program results in sustainable utility.
We find
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the National Science Foundation (SES 91-22370) for financial support, Richard Day and Peter Diamond for valuable suggestions, and Debra Dove and Kimberly Burnett for editorial assistance. We absolve them from responsibility for errors, reserving that for ourselves.
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