Skip to main content

Economic Demography

  • Living reference work entry
  • First Online:
The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

Abstract

Economic demography is an area of study that examines the determinants and consequences of demographic change, including fertility, mortality, marriage, divorce, location (urbanisation, migration, density), age, gender, ethnicity, population size and population growth. This article reviews and critically evaluates important macroeconomic dimensions of the ‘population debates’ between the ‘optimists’ and the ‘pessimists’ since 1950. It concludes with an examination of demography in the popular ‘convergence’ growth models of the 1990s.

This chapter was originally published in The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition, 2008. Edited by Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Institutional subscriptions

Bibliography

  • Arrow, K.J. 1962. The economic implications of learning by doing. Review of Economic Studies 29: 155–173.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barro, R.J. 1997. Determinants of economic growth: A cross-country empirical study. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barro, R.J., and X. Sala-i-Martin. 1991. Convergence. Journal of Political Economy 100: 223–251.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Birdsall, N., A.C. Kelley, and S. Sinding (eds.). 2001. Demography matters: Population change, economic growth and poverty in the developing world. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bloom, D.E., and J.G. Williamson. 1998. Demographic transitions and economic miracles in emerging Asia. World Bank Economic Review 12: 419–455.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bloom, D.E., D. Canning, and P. Malaney. 2000. Demographic change and economic growth in Asia. Population and Development Review 26: 257–1990.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boserup, E. 1965. Conditions of agricultural growth. Chicago: Aldine.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boserup, E. 1981. Population and technological change. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chenery, H., and M. Syrquin. 1975. Patterns of development: 1950–1970. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Coale, A.J., and E.M. Hoover. 1958. Population growth and economic development in low-income countries. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Easterlin, R.A. 1978. The economics and sociology of fertility: A synthesis. In Historical studies of changing fertility, ed. C. Tilly. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Glover, D.R., and J.L. Simon. 1975. The effect of population density on infrastructure: The case of road building. Economic Development and Cultural Change 23: 453–468.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Higgins, M. 1998. Demography, national savings, and international capital flows. International Economic Review 39: 343–369.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kelley, A.C. 1988. Economic consequences of population change in the Third World. Journal of Economic Literature 26: 1685–1728.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelley, A.C. 2001. The population debate in historical perspective: Revisionism revisited. In Population matters: Demographic change, economic growth, and poverty in the developing world, ed. N. Birdsall, A. Kelley, and S. Sinding. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelley, A.C., and R.M. Schmidt. 1995. Aggregate population and economic growth correlations: The role of the components of demographic change. Demography 32: 543–555.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kelley, A.C., and R.M. Schmidt. 2001. Economic and demographic change: A synthesis of models, findings and perspectives. In Population Matters : Demographic Change, Economic Growth, and Poverty in the Developing World, ed. N. Birdsall, A.C. Kelley, and S. Sinding. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuznets, S. 1960. Population change and aggregate output. In Demographic and economic change in developed countries, National Bureau of Economic Research. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, R.D., A. Mason, and T. Miller. 2001. Saving, wealth and population. In Population matters: Demographic change, economic growth, and poverty in the developing world, ed. N. Birdsall, A.C. Kelley, and S. Sinding. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Malthus, T.R. 1798. An essay on the principle of population, , 1970. Harmondsworth: Penguin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mason, A. 1987. National saving rates and population growth: A new model and new evidence. In Population growth and economic development: Issues and evidence, ed. D.G. Johnson and R.D. Lee. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • National Academy of Sciences. 1971. Rapid population growth: Consequences and policy implications, vol. 1: Summary and recommendations; vol. 2: Research papers. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • National Academy of Sciences. 1986. Population growth and economic development: Policy questions. Washington, DC: National Research Council.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schultz, T.P. 1987. Schooling expenditures and enrollments 1960–1980: The effects on income, prices and population growth. In Population growth and economic development issues and evidence, ed. D. Gale Johnson and R.D. Lee. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Simon, J.L. 1981. The ultimate resource. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Simon, J.L. 1996. The ultimate resource 2. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Srinivasan, T.N. 1988. Modeling growth and economic development. Journal of Policy Modeling 10: 7–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • United Nations. 1953. The determinants and consequences of population trends. New York: United Nations.

    Google Scholar 

  • United Nations. 1973. The determinants and consequences of population trends. New York: United Nations.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Copyright information

© 2008 The Author(s)

About this entry

Cite this entry

Kelley, A.C., Schmidt, R.M. (2008). Economic Demography. In: The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_2253-1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_2253-1

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-349-95121-5

  • eBook Packages: Springer Reference Economics and FinanceReference Module Humanities and Social SciencesReference Module Business, Economics and Social Sciences

Publish with us

Policies and ethics