The 2010 Nevada gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Nevada, who would serve a four-year term to begin on January 3, 2011. Despite speculation that incumbent Republican Governor Jim Gibbons would not run for a second term due to low approval ratings, he ran for re-election.[1][2][3] He struggled in the polls, and ultimately federal judge and former Attorney General of Nevada Brian Sandoval secured the nomination. Sandoval defeated Democrat Rory Reid, son of then-current U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who won his fifth term in the Senate on the same ballot.
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 County results Sandoval: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary edit
Candidates edit
A total of five Republican candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]
Declared edit
- Tony Atwood[4]
- Jim Gibbons, incumbent Governor[4][5]
- Stan Lusak, perennial candidate[4]
- Mike Montandon, Mayor of North Las Vegas[4][6]
- Brian Sandoval, former judge of the United States District Court for the District of Nevada and former Nevada Attorney General[4][7]
Withdrew edit
- Joe Heck, former State Senator (ran for NV-03 and won)
Polling edit
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Gibbons |
Mike Montandon |
Brian Sandoval |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 27% | 6% | 48% | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | May 10–11, 2010 | — | — | 27% | 6% | 45% | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | 25% | 7% | 39% | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | 30% | 9% | 37% | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | January 10, 2010 | — | — | 23% | 7% | 39% | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 2009 | — | — | 18% | 6% | 39% | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | 20% | 4% | 41% | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 17% | 3% | 33% | — |
Results edit
Sandoval
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
- 40–50%
Gibbons
- <40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Sandoval | 97,201 | 55.5 | |
| Republican | Jim Gibbons (incumbent) | 47,616 | 27.2 | |
| Republican | Mike Montandon | 22,002 | 12.6 | |
| Republican | None of These Candidates | 4,400 | 2.5 | |
| Republican | Tony Atwood | 2,440 | 1.4 | |
| Republican | Stan Lusak | 1,380 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 175,039 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary edit
Candidates edit
Two Democratic candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]
Declared edit
- Frederick Conquest, anthropology professor[4]
- Rory Reid, Clark County Commissioner and son of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid[4][9]
Declined edit
- Barbara Buckley, Speaker of the Nevada Assembly[10]
Polling edit
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Barbara Buckley |
Oscar Goodman |
Rory Reid |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 25% | 34% | 13% | — |
| — | — | 43% | — | 22% | — |
Results edit
Reid
- Reid—70–80%
- Reid—60–70%
- Reid—50–60%
- Reid—40–50%
- Reid—<40%
Conquest
- Conquest—<40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Rory Reid | 80,162 | 70.1 | |
| Democratic | None of These Candidates | 17,455 | 15.3 | |
| Democratic | Frederick Conquest | 16,775 | 14.7 | |
| Total votes | 114,392 | 100 | ||
Other candidates edit
Independents edit
Declared edit
Declined edit
Green edit
- David Scott Curtis[4]
Independent American edit
- Floyd Fitzgibbons[4]
Libertarian edit
- Arthur Forest Lampitt[4]
General election edit
Predictions edit
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[12] | Likely R | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[13] | Safe R | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[14] | Likely R | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely R | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[16] | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
Polling edit
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Sandoval (R) |
Rory Reid (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 5, 2010 | — | — | 59% | 41% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 28, 2010 | — | — | 49% | 40% | — | — |
| Public Opinion Strategies | September 21–23, 2010 | — | — | 45% | 39% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 21, 2010 | — | — | 49% | 35% | — | — |
| CNN/Time Magazine | September 10–14, 2010 | — | — | 58% | 31% | — | — |
| Reuters/Ipsos | September 10–12, 2010 | — | — | 60% | 31% | — | — |
| Mason-Dixon | September 9, 2010 | — | — | 52% | 36% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 1, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | 58% | 33% | 2% | 7% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 23–25, 2010 | — | — | 53% | 31% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 16, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | 52% | 36% | 3% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 11, 2010 | — | — | 52% | 36% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 27, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | 50% | 40% | 6% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | — | — | 52% | 38% | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | July 12–14, 2010 | — | — | 47% | 36% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 12, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | 57% | 36% | 3% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 22, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 55% | 33% | 8% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 9, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 31% | 3% | 13% |
| Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 51% | 41% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 35% | 12% | 3% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | 50% | 35% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 55% | 34% | 6% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 35% | 7% | 5% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | 51% | 29% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 33% | 11% | 12% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | January 10, 2010 | — | — | 53% | 31% | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 4, 2009 | — | — | 49% | 35% | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | 50% | 33% | — | — |
Hypothetical polling
- With Gibbons
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Gibbons (R) |
Rory Reid (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 31% | 52% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 47% | 12% | 3% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | 40% | 42% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 44% | 15% | 4% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | 38% | 42% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 44% | 13% | 8% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 2009 | — | — | 34% | 48% | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | 37% | 49% | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 35% | 47% | — | — |
- With Montandon
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Montandon (R) |
Rory Reid (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 40% | 43% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 39% | 9% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 38% | 9% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 37% | 13% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 40% | 14% | 10% |
Results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Sandoval | 382,350 | 53.36% | +5.44% | |
| Democratic | Rory Reid | 298,171 | 41.61% | -2.31% | |
| N/A | None of These Candidates | 12,231 | 1.71% | -1.85% | |
| Independent | Eugene DiSimone | 6,403 | 0.89% | N/A | |
| Independent American | Floyd Fitzgibbons | 5,049 | 0.70% | -2.73% | |
| Libertarian | Arthur Forest Lampitt, Jr. | 4,672 | 0.65% | N/A | |
| Green | David Scott Curtis | 4,437 | 0.62% | -0.54% | |
| Independent | Aaron Y. Honig | 3,216 | 0.45% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 716,529 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit
See also edit
References edit
- ^ Gentry, Dana (June 4, 2008). "Consultants: No second term for Gibbons". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved January 1, 2008.
- ^ Vogel, Ed (June 13, 2008). "GOVERNING NEVADA: Disregard divorce, poll says". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved January 1, 2009.
- ^ Schwartz, David McGrath (July 19, 2009). "With scant crew, Gibbons reelection campaign sets sail". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved May 5, 2010.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "2010 Filed Candidates". Secretary of State of Nevada. Retrieved May 6, 2010.
- ^ McGrath Schwartz, David (September 21, 2008). "Rory Reid lays ground for run for governor". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved January 1, 2009.
- ^ "RUNNING FOR GOVERNOR: Montandon takes aim at Gibbons - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. July 1, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ Damon, Anjeanette (September 15, 2009). "Sandoval: I am running for governor". Reno Gazette-Journal. Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2009.
- ^ a b "Nevada Governor Primary Results". Politico. June 8, 2010. Archived from the original on January 6, 2012. Retrieved June 8, 2010.
- ^ "Harry Reid's son enters Nevada gubernatorial race". CNN. October 14, 2009. Retrieved October 15, 2009.
- ^ "Buckley passes on a run for Nevada governor - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. September 12, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Top of the Ticket". Los Angeles Times. January 25, 2010. Retrieved May 20, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Unofficial Statewide General Election Coverage and Reports". Nvsos.gov. November 2, 2010. Retrieved April 2, 2013.
External links edit
- Nevada Secretary of State – Election Center
- Nevada Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Nevada Governor from Follow the Money
- Nevada Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Nevada Gubernatorial General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Nevada Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Nevada Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Nevada Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Election 2010 from Vegas PBS
- Debate
- Nevada Governor Debate, C-SPAN, August 29, 2010 (57:49)
- Nevada Governor Debate, C-SPAN, October 7, 2010 (58:42)