Opinion polling on Taiwanese identity

This page lists public opinion polls that have been conducted in relation to the issue of Taiwanese identity.

Results from an identity survey conducted each year since 1992 by the Election Study Center, National Chengchi University.[1] Responses are Taiwanese (green), Chinese (red) or Both Taiwanese and Chinese (hatched). Non-responses are shown as grey.

Three-way polls edit

Date(s) Polling organisation/client Sample size Lead
Taiwanese
(臺灣人 /
台灣人)
Chinese
(中國人)
Both No response / Do not know
December 2023 National Chengchi University[1] 14933 61.7% 2.4% 32.0% 3.9% 29.7%
March 14, 2023 Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation[2] 1073 78.0% 7.7% 9.1% 5.2% 68.9%
December 2022 National Chengchi University[1] 12173 63.3% 2.5% 30.6% 3.6% 32.7%
April 19, 2022 Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation[3] 1071 80.1% 5.3% 10.2% 4.4% 69.9%
December 2021 National Chengchi University[1] 12026 62.3% 2.8% 31.7% 3.2% 30.6%
July 21, 2021 Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation[4] 1072 76.8% 7.5% 11.3% 4.4% 65.5%
December 2020 National Chengchi University[1] 11490 64.3% 2.6% 29.9% 3.2% 34.4%
February 25, 2020 Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation[5] 1097 83.2% 5.3% 6.7% 4.8% 76.5%
December 2019 National Chengchi University[1] 16276 58.5% 3.3% 34.7% 3.5% 23.8%
November 24, 2019 CommonWealth Magazine[6] 1073 61.9% 6.5% 28.3% 3.3% 33.6%
December 2018 National Chengchi University[1] 9490 54.5% 3.6% 38.2% 3.7% 16.3%
December 2017 National Chengchi University[1] 13455 55.5% 3.7% 37.0% 3.7% 18.5%
December 2016 National Chengchi University[1] 11490 59.5% 3.3% 33.3% 4.0% 26.2%
December 2015 National Chengchi University[1] 22509 59.5% 3.3% 33.3% 4.0% 26.2%
December 2014 National Chengchi University[1] 20009 60.6% 3.5% 32.5% 3.5% 28.1%
December 2013 National Chengchi University[1] 13359 57.1% 3.8% 35.8% 3.3% 21.3%
December 2012 National Chengchi University[1] 18011 54.3% 3.6% 38.5% 3.6% 15.8%
December 2011 National Chengchi University[1] 23779 52.2% 3.9% 40.3% 3.7% 11.9%
December 2010 National Chengchi University[1] 13163 52.7% 3.7% 39.8% 3.8% 12.9%
December 2009 National Chengchi University[1] 20244 51.6% 4.2% 39.8% 4.4% 11.8%
December 15, 2009 CommonWealth Magazine[7] -- 62% 8% 22% 8% 40.2%
March 11, 2009 TVBS[8] 1113 49% 3% 44% 4% 5%
December 2008 National Chengchi University[1] 16280 48.4% 4.0% 43.1% 4.5% 5.2%
June 9, 2008 TVBS[9] 1015 45% 4% 45% 6% 0%
December 2007 National Chengchi University[1] 13910 43.7% 5.4% 44.7% 6.2% 1.0%
December 2006 National Chengchi University[1] 13193 44.2% 6.3% 44.9% 4.6% 0.7%
December 2005 National Chengchi University[1] 7939 45.0% 7.2% 43.4% 4.4% 1.6%
December 2004 National Chengchi University[1] 34854 41.1% 6.2% 47.7% 5.0% 6.6%
December 2003 National Chengchi University[1] 14247 42.5% 8.3% 43.3% 5.9% 0.8%
December 2002 National Chengchi University[1] 10003 41.2% 9.2% 43.7% 5.8% 2.5%
December 2001 National Chengchi University[1] 10679 41.6% 10.6% 43.1% 4.7% 1.5%
December 2000 National Chengchi University[1] 11062 36.9% 12.5% 44.1% 6.5% 7.2%
December 1999 National Chengchi University[1] 9273 39.6% 16.3% 42.5% 5.8% 2.9%
December 1998 National Chengchi University[1] 14063 36.2% 16.3% 39.6% 7.8% 3.4%
December 1997 National Chengchi University[1] 3910 34.0% 19.2% 41.4% 5.3% 7.4%
December 1996 National Chengchi University[1] 10666 24.1% 17.6% 49.3% 9.0% 25.2%
December 1995 National Chengchi University[1] 21402 25.0% 20.7% 47.0% 7.3% 22.0%
December 1994 National Chengchi University[1] 1209 20.2% 26.2% 44.6% 8.9% 18.4%
December 1992 National Chengchi University[1] 4120 17.6% 25.5% 46.4% 10.5% 7.9%

Two-way polls edit

Date(s) Polling organisation/client Sample size Lead
Taiwanese Chinese No response / Do not know
February 5, 2015 Taiwan Braintrust[10] 1079 89.5% 6.0% 5.5% 83.5%
June 9, 2008 TVBS[9] 1015 68% 18% 14% 50%

References edit

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af "Chinese / Taiwanese Identity". Election Study Center. National Chengchi University. Archived from the original on 6 March 2021. Retrieved 19 February 2022.
  2. ^ "March 2023 Public Opinion Poll – English Excerpt" (PDF). Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation. Archived (PDF) from the original on 27 March 2023. Retrieved 21 March 2023.
  3. ^ "April 2022 Public Opinion Poll – English Excerpt" (PDF). Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation. Archived (PDF) from the original on 27 April 2022. Retrieved 27 April 2022.
  4. ^ You, Yinglung. "Special Report: Taiwanese National Identity and the Shifts in Support for Unification vs. Independence" (PDF). Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation. Archived (PDF) from the original on 11 August 2022. Retrieved 27 April 2022.
  5. ^ Lu, Yi-hsuan; Xie, Dennis (25 February 2020). "New high of 83.2% see themselves as Taiwanese: poll". Taipei Times. p. 1. Archived from the original on 25 February 2021. Retrieved 9 March 2021.
  6. ^ 林倖妃. "天下2020獨家國情調查:台灣vs.中華民國 世代衝突,更勝南北". CommonWealth Magazine. Archived from the original on 4 April 2021. Retrieved 21 March 2021.
  7. ^ 天下雜誌民調顯示:6成1民眾擔心經濟傾中 7成5年輕人自認台灣人 (in Chinese). Archived from the original on 23 March 2010.
  8. ^ "ECFA issues and the nationality identification" (PDF). TVBS. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 May 2009.
  9. ^ a b 民意調查:兩會復談前國族認同民調 (PDF). TVBS. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2008-06-26. Retrieved 2008-06-20.
  10. ^ "Support for Taiwanese independence, identity: think tank poll". Taipei Times. 5 February 2015. Archived from the original on 13 April 2016. Retrieved 3 April 2016.