Demographic trap: Difference between revisions

During [[Demographic transition#Stage Two|"stage 2" of the demographic transition]], quality of health care improves and death rates fall, but birth rates still remain high, resulting in a period of high [[population growth]].<ref name=Forsyth>Forsyth, Tim. ''Encyclopedia of International Development'', Routledge (2005) p. 145</ref> The term "'''demographic trap'''" is used by some [[demographer]]s to describe a situation where stage 2 persists because "falling living standards reinforce the prevailing high fertility, which in turn reinforces the decline in living standards."<ref name=Kaufman>Kaufman, Donald G. ''Biosphere 2000: Protecting Our Global Environment'', Kendall Hunt (2000) p. 157</ref> This results in more poverty, where people rely on more children to provide them with economic security. Social scientist [[John Avery]]{{dn|date=July 2011}} explains that this results because the high birth rates and low death rates "lead to population growth so rapid that the development that could have slowed population is impossible."<ref name=Avery>Avery, John. ''Progress, Poverty, and Population'', Frank Cass Publishers (1997) p. 107</ref>