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According to scholars of the [[University of Warsaw]], the Arab Spring fully devolved into the Arab Winter four years after its onset, in 2014.<ref name="auto">Radoslaw Fiedler, Przemyslaw Osiewicz. ''Transformation processes in Egypt after 2011''. 2015. p182.</ref> The Arab Winter is characterized by the emergence of multiple regional [[civil war]]s, mounting regional instability,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://theconversation.com/from-egypt-to-syria-this-could-be-the-start-of-the-arab-winter-17335 |title=From Egypt to Syria, this could be the start of the Arab Winter|date=April 17, 2014|work=The Conversation |accessdate=October 23, 2014}}</ref> economic and demographic decline of [[Arab world|Arab countries]],<ref name=rivlin /> and ethno-religious sectarian strife.<ref>{{Citation |last=Malmvig |first=Lassen |title=Arab uprisings: regional implication |publisher=IEMED |year=2013 |url=http://www.iemed.org/observatori/arees-danalisi/arxius-adjunts/anuari/iemed-2013/Malmvig%20Lassen%20Arab%20Uprisings%20Regional%20Implications%20EN.pdf}}</ref> According to a study by the [[American University of Beirut]], by the summer of 2014, the Arab Winter had resulted in nearly a quarter of a million deaths and millions of refugees.<ref name="auto1">{{Citation |title=Displacement in the Middle East and North Africa – between the Arab Winter and the Arab Spring |journal=International Affairs |date=August 28, 2013 |place=LB |url=http://www.aub.edu.lb/ifi/international_affairs/Documents/working_paper_series/20130828_IA_WP_AUB_Paper_on_Displacement_in_Arab_Spring.pdf |access-date=October 18, 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141018201147/http://www.aub.edu.lb/ifi/international_affairs/Documents/working_paper_series/20130828_IA_WP_AUB_Paper_on_Displacement_in_Arab_Spring.pdf |archive-date=October 18, 2014 |url-status=dead }}</ref> Perhaps the most significant event in the Arab Winter was the rise of the extremist group [[Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant]], which controlled large swathes of land in the region from 2014<ref>{{Cite web | url=https://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Analysis-Arab-Winter-is-coming-to-Baghdad-359348 | title=Analysis: Arab Winter is coming to Baghdad - Middle East - Jerusalem Post}}</ref> to 2019.
 
In 2020, multiple conflicts are still continuing that might be seen as a result of the Arab Spring. The [[Syrian Civil War]] has caused massive political instability and economic hardship in Syria, with the Syrian currency plunging to new lows. <ref name="Guardian 6-12-2020"> https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/12/us-caesar-act-sanctions-and-could-devastate-syrias-flatlining-economy US ‘Caesar Act' sanctions could devastate Syria’s flatlining economy. Critics say legislation is being used for US strategy and could cause further problems for country and wider region. Martin Chulov, The Guardian, June 12, 2020. </ref> In Libya, a major civil war is ongoing, with Western powers and Russia sending in proxy fighters. <ref> [https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/libya-war-haftar-tripoli-russia-putin-us-turkey-a9557136.html Libya has a chance at peace but Russia and the US are in the way Haftar seems to be on his way out, while Turkey risks creating a new Afghanistan on Europe’s southern flank], by Ahmed Aboudouh, June 9, 2020. Russia’s ally, General Khalifa Haftar, commander of the self-proclaimed National Libyan Army, has lost his 14-month military campaign to capture the capital Tripoli. His rivals in the Government of National Accord (GNA) forces, backed by -extremist militias, managed to chase his troops deep into the east of the country. </ref><ref> [https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/africa/libya-war-tripoli-haftar-russia-turkey-gna-a9554976.html Danger of ‘miscalculation’ as global powers scramble for position in Libya. Fighting moves from west to centre and south of country, as Egypt advances towards border, and Tripoli ignores truce calls.Borzou Daragahi, Oliver Carroll. June 8, 2020, [[The Independent]]. </ref>
Haftar seems to be on his way out, while Turkey risks creating a new Afghanistan on Europe’s southern flank], by Ahmed Aboudouh, June 9, 2020. Russia’s ally, General Khalifa Haftar, commander of the self-proclaimed National Libyan Army, has lost his 14-month military campaign to capture the capital Tripoli. His rivals in the Government of National Accord (GNA) forces, backed by -extremist militias, managed to chase his troops deep into the east of the country. </ref> <ref> [https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/africa/libya-war-tripoli-haftar-russia-turkey-gna-a9554976.html Danger of ‘miscalculation’ as global powers scramble for position in Libya. Fighting moves from west to centre and south of country, as Egypt advances towards border, and Tripoli ignores truce calls.Borzou Daragahi, Oliver Carroll. June 8, 2020, [[The Independent]]. </ref>
 
In Yemen, a civil war and subsequent [[Saudi Arabian-led intervention in Yemen|invasion by Saudi Arabia]] continues to affect the country.<ref> [https://www.arabnews.com/node/1688576/middle-east Yemen’s Government demands UN action regards Houthi violation of deal] ,Yemen’s government has demanded UN action against Iran-backed Houthi militants for violating the Hodeidah deal, state news agency Saba New reported.Yemen’s Economic Council – a state advisory body composed of cabinet members – said the militants looted the central bank in Hodeidah city and were delaying the fuel and food that arrive at the Hodeidah port.The looted funds were supposed to be used to pay salaries of public workers, who have not received payments for months, according to the report.This money will now “feed the militia’s pointless war,” the council said.On Wednesday, Yemen’s Information Minister Muammar Al-Eryani said Houthis are looting and extorting the private healthcare sector. </ref> In Lebanon, a major banking crisis is threatening the economy of neighboring Syria.