DID YOU KNOW THAT
During the history of the Riksbank, from 1668 to today, the annual inflation was on average 2.1-2.3 percent (the exact figure depends on how inflation is measured in relation to the monetary disorder during the second half of the 1710s). This can be compared to the present inflation target of the Riksbank at 2.0 percent.
In September 1914 the Riksbank selling rate of one German mark was 89 Swedish öre. One billion German marks in September 1914 could buy one fifth of Sweden’s gross domestic product. The 1st of October 1923, the Riksbank selling rate of a billion German marks was 30 Swedish crowns. A month later the rate was 4 Swedish öre. In September 1924, the rate was below one tenth of an öre. One billion German marks could then only buy half a centilitre of Swedish milk. At the end of 1924 a new German mark was introduced, the Reichsmark, which was set equal to one trillion (one million millions) old marks.
Research at Sveriges RiksbankThe objective of economic research at the Riksbank is to provide a strong conceptual and empirical basis for policy-making. High-quality research is critical to ensure that the Riksbank is well prepared to deal with challenges associated with conducting monetary policy and promoting a safe and efficient payment system. An important task of economic research is to provide models, tools and analyses for the fulfillment of the Riksbank’s responsibilities.READ MORE Bayesian Econometric Methodology, September 8-9, 2006Bayesian methods are increasingly used in almost all areas of applied economics. A recent example from the perspective of monetary policy is the class of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models, where Bayesian inference is nowadays routinely used.The aim of this workshop is to discuss recent advances in Bayesian econometric methodology and their applications. Invited speakers: Siddhartha Chib, John Geweke, Robert Kohn, Gary Koop, Neil Shephard, Chris Sims, Herman van Dijk, and Arnold Zellner.The conference is organized by Paolo Giordani, Tor Jacobson, and Mattias Villani.READ THE PROGRAM HERE ”Exploring interactions between real activity and the financial stance”In a recent article in the Journal of Financial Stability, April 2005, a number of plausible candidates for a measure of financial stability are examined. Aggregated bankruptcies in the entire Swedish business sector are found to be closely related to bank’s aggregated credit losses. Moreover, bankruptcies play a role in explaining the development in macro variables such as GDP, the inflation rate, nominal interest rates, and the real exchange rates. And vice versa, i.e., these macro variables are helpful in predicting aggregate bankruptcy rates in the economy, and can actually account even for extreme outcomes such as the Swedish banking crises in the early 90’s. The article goes on to demonstrate that effects of monetary policy on inflation and bankruptcy rates may well differ in different states of the world. READ MORE ABOUT WORKING PAPERS