Financial Daily from THE HINDU group of publications Tuesday, Jun 28, 2005 |
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Industry & Economy
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Climate & Weather Monsoon reaches Delhi two days ahead of schedule Vinson Kurian
Thiruvananthapuram , June 27 THE southwest monsoon, which has been running late by 10 to 14 days till a few days ago, seems to have covered some ground reaching Delhi two days earlier than schedule. On Monday, it brought the western States of Rajasthan, Punjab and Haryana under varying extents of cover with the northern limit of the system passing through Deesa, Ajmer, Jaipur, Delhi, Patiala and Dharamshala. The day also saw the first low-pressure of the season take shape in the northwest Bay of Bengal as correctly predicted by the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) five days ago. In its update on Monday, the centre said the monsoon has advanced over some more parts of Gujarat, entire east Madhya Pradesh and east Uttar Pradesh; most parts of west Madhya Pradesh and Uttaranchal and some parts of south east Rajasthan, west Uttar Pradesh, some parts of Punjab, Haryana, Delhi and Himachal Pradesh. The low-pressure area is likely to get organised over the next 3-4 days and move in a west northwesterly direction. Under its influence, rainfall activity over central India and the Indo-Gangetic plains is likely to enhance. In north and northwest India, widespread rainfall activity is likely in Himachal Pradesh, Uttaranchal, Haryana, Punjab and West Uttar Pradesh and isolated over the rest of the regions. The formation of the `low' was also accompanied by the settling into position of the monsoon trough as well as the monsoon heat low. These are ideal conditions for the monsoon to prosper and had been forecast correctly by NCMRWF. The `low' is strong enough to be `live and kicking' until July 1. Speaking to Business Line, Dr Akhilesh Gupta, Director, NCMRWF, said the `low' would further strengthen and move westward into the land over the next few days. Areas such in Orissa, Chhattisgarh, east and west Madhya Pradesh and Marathawada where rainfall has been scanty up till now will be benefited. Worst in central India: In a monsoon outlook presented to the President, the Prime Minister' Office, the Ministry of Agriculture and others, the NCMRWF said the monsoon was deficient to the extent of 49 per cent overall as of June 22. The deficit was worst in central India (59 per cent), while peninsular India (7 per cent) fared much better. A majority of the districts in 15 sub-divisions and 18 per cent of all districts in the country had received deficient, scanty or no rain till that date. No other year in the recent past has had such a bad monsoon to start with, the NCMRWF said in its presentation. After factoring in the rainfall activity since June 22 and assessing the likely rainfall into the first week of July, the centre arrived at the conclusion that the situation in eight of the 15 sub-divisions could improve considerably in the coming days. Another three sub-divisions could look forward to what Dr Gupta described as `good' improvement. Orissa, West Bengal, Bihar, East UP and Jharkhand are likely to receive fairly widespread to isolated heavy rainfall during the next 3-4 days. In central India, Vidarbha, east Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are likely to receive fairly widespread rainfall during next three days. West Madhya Pradesh may receive scattered to fairly wide spread rainfall during next 2-3 days.
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