American Research Group, Inc.


January 19, 2009

Republicans Give George W. Bush's Overall Job Approval Rating A Final Boost

George W. Bush's last American Research Group monthly overall job approval rating is at 38% as 78% of Republicans now say they approve of the way Bush is handling his job, compared to 41% of Republicans in December approving according to the latest survey from the American Research Group.

Among all Americans, 38% approve of the way Bush is handling his job as president and 54% disapprove. When it comes to Bush's handling of the economy, 31% approve and 58% disapprove.

Among Americans registered to vote, 38% approve of the way Bush is handling his job as president and 53% disapprove. When it comes to the way Bush is handling the economy, 31% of registered voters approve of the way Bush is handling the economy and 57% disapprove.

A total of 80% of Americans say the national economy is in a recession, with 95% of those disapproving of the way Bush is handling his job saying the national economy is in a recession.

The results presented here are based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews conducted among a nationwide random sample of adults 18 years and older. The interviews were completed January 15 through 18, 2009. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample is plus or minus 2.6 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Overall, 38% of Americans say that they approve of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president, 54% disapprove, and 8% are undecided.

Bush job approval Approve Disapprove Undecided
Jan 09 38% 54% 8%
Dec 2008 28% 67% 5%
Nov 2008 26% 67% 7%
Oct 2008 20% 75% 5%
Sep 2008 19% 76% 5%
Aug 2008 30% 64% 6%
Jul 2008 21% 72% 7%
Jun 2008 25% 71% 4%
May 2008 28% 69% 3%
Apr 2008 22% 72% 6%
Mar 2008 24% 75% 1%
Feb 2008 19% 77% 4%
Jan 2008 34% 59% 7%

Among Republicans (34% of adults registered to vote in the survey), 78% approve of the way Bush is handling his job and 13% disapprove. Among Democrats (44% of adults registered to vote in the survey), 17% approve and 76% disapprove of the way Bush is handling his job. Among independents (22% of adults registered to vote in the survey), 17% approve and 67% disapprove of the way Bush is handling his job as president.

Overall, 24% of Americans say that they approve of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy, 72% disapprove, and 4% are undecided. Among registered voters, 23% approve and 73% disapprove of the way Bush is handling the economy.

Bush handling the economy Approve Disapprove Undecided
Jan 09 31% 58% 11%
Dec 2008 24% 72% 4%
Nov 2008 23% 70% 7%
Oct 2008 20% 77% 3%
Sep 2008 17% 78% 5%
Aug 2008 25% 69% 6%
Jul 2008 17% 77% 6%
Jun 2008 23% 73% 4%
May 2008 23% 71% 6%
Apr 2008 22% 73% 5%
Mar 2008 18% 80% 2%
Feb 2008 14% 79% 7%
Jan 2008 29% 63% 8%

Among Republicans, 74% approve of the way Bush is handling the economy and 17% disapprove. Among Democrats, 83% disapprove of the way Bush is handling the economy and 7% approve. Among independents, 11% approve and 67% disapprove of the way Bush is handling the economy.

A total of 3% of Americans say that the national economy is getting better, 32% say it is staying the same, and 59% say the national economy is getting worse.

National economy

Getting better

Staying the same

Getting worse

Undecided

Jan 09 3% 32% 59% 6%
Dec 2008 9% 28% 59% 4%
Nov 2008 15% 18% 65% 2%
Oct 2008 6% 26% 54% 14%
Sep 2008 - 13% 82% 5%
Aug 2008 18% 19% 60% 3%
Jul 2008 3% 20% 76% 1%
Jun 2008 7% 18% 73% 2%
May 2008 11% 18% 70% 1%
Apr 2008 8% 14% 77% 1%
Mar 2008 4% 9% 86% 1%
Feb 2008 1% 20% 78% 1%
Jan 2008 8% 22% 64% 6%

Among those saying they approve of the way Bush is handling his job, 4% say getting better, 54% say staying the same, and 32% say getting worse. Of those saying they disapprove of the way Bush is handling his job, 3% say getting better, 14% say staying the same, and 81% say getting worse.

A total of 49% of Americans say they believe the national economy will be better a year from now, 28% say it will be the same, 20% say it will be worse, and 3% are undecided.

National economy a year from now

Better than today

The same as today

Worse than today

Undecided

Jan 09 49% 28% 20% 3%
Dec 2008 59% 22% 14% 5%
Nov 2008 54% 27% 17% 2%
Oct 2008 56% 21% 20% 3%
Sep 2008 42% 27% 13% 18%
Aug 2008 31% 34% 28% 7%
Jul 2008 29% 17% 39% 15%
Jun 2008 24% 31% 39% 6%
May 2008 51% 16% 26% 7%
Apr 2008 31% 27% 33% 9%
Mar 2008 48% 19% 29% 4%
Feb 2008 42% 30% 27% 1%
Jan 2008 32% 35% 21% 12%

Among those saying they approve of the way Bush is handling his job, 45% say better, 38% say the same as today, and 14% say worse than today. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Bush is handling his job as president, 49% say better, 24% say the same, and 24% say worse.

Overall, 80% of Americans say they believe that the national economy is in a recession, 13% say they do not believe the economy is in a recession, and 7% are undecided.

National economy in a recession Yes No Undecided
Jan 09 80% 13% 7%
Dec 2008 76% 9% 15%
Nov 2008 74% 13% 13%
Oct 2008 54% 10% 36%
Sep 2008 68% 28% 4%
Aug 2008 58% 30% 12%
Jul 2008 68% 15% 17%
Jun 2008 52% 22% 26%
May 2008 57% 25% 18%
Apr 2008 68% 18% 14%
Mar 2008 66% 12% 22%
Feb 2008 47% 29% 24%
Jan 2008 35% 24% 41%

Among those saying they approve of the way Bush is handling his job, 60% say the national economy is in a recession and 30% say the national economy is not in a recession. Of those saying they disapprove of the way Bush is handling his job, 95% say the national economy is in a recession and 3% say the national economy is not in a recession.

A total of 16% of Americans rate the national economy as excellent, very good, or good and 83% rate it as bad, very bad, or terrible.

National economy

Excellent

Very good

Good

Bad

Very bad

Terrible

Undecided

Jan 09 1% 3% 12% 35% 16% 32% 1%
Dec 2008 3% 2% 8% 34% 18% 34% 1%
Nov 2008 1% 1% 16% 26% 19% 36% 1%
Oct 2008 2% 2% 16% 50% 11% 18% 1%
Sep 2008 2% 4% 12% 10% 7% 64% 1%
Aug 2008 8% 12% 22% 24% 11% 22% 1%
Jul 2008 3% 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 1%
Jun 2008 2% 4% 18% 28% 23% 24% 1%
May 2008 1% 8% 21% 24% 12% 33% 1%
Apr 2008 1% 3% 16% 20% 13% 46% 1%
Mar 2008 1% 4% 16% 10% 26% 42% 1%
Feb 2008 1% 7% 17% 44% 10% 20% 1%
Jan 2008 2% 14% 27% 21% 17% 18% 1%

Among those saying they approve of the way Bush is handling his job, 34% say excellent, very good, or good and 65% say bad, very bad, or terrible. Among those saying they disapprove of  the way Bush is handling his job, 94% say bad, very bad, or terrible and 5% say excellent, very good, or good.

When it comes to rating their household financial situations, 67% of Americans give an excellent, very good, or good rating and 32% give a bad, very bad, or terrible rating.

Household financial situation

Excellent

Very good

Good

Bad

Very bad

Terrible

Undecided

Jan 09 1% 20% 46% 24% 6% 2% 1%
Dec 2008 4% 10% 51% 19% 7% 8% 1%
Nov 2008 7% 13% 37% 29% 4% 9% 1%
Oct 2008 10% 5% 31% 28% 22% 3% 1%
Sep 2008 9% 9% 39% 26% 15% 2% -
Aug 2008 11% 20% 39% 17% 6% 6% 1%
Jul 2008 6% 7% 44% 24% 17% 1% 1%
Jun 2008 2% 11% 42% 34% 3% 7% 1%
May 2008 4% 17% 38% 27% 7% 6% 1%
Apr 2008 8% 12% 37% 18% 11% 13% 1%
Mar 2008 9% 22% 33% 17% 16% 2% 1%
Feb 2008 6% 17% 36% 22% 11% 7% 1%
Jan 2008 12% 13% 45% 15% 6% 8% 1%

Among those saying they approve of the way Bush is handling his job, 83% say excellent, very good, or good and 16% say bad, very bad, or terrible. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Bush is handling his job, 54% say very good, or good and 45% say bad, very bad, or terrible.

A total of 2% of Americans say they think the financial situations in their households are getting better, 54% say staying the same, and 43% say getting worse.

Household financial situation

Getting better

Staying the same

Getting worse

Undecided

Jan 2009 2% 54% 43% 1%
Dec 2008 5% 50% 41% 4%
Nov 2008 10% 35% 51% 4%
Oct 2008 5% 47% 32% 16%
Sep 2008 - 56% 42% 2%
Aug 2008 19% 42% 36% 3%
Jul 2008 7% 31% 61% 1%
Jun 2008 4% 40% 55% 1%
May 2008 13% 42% 43% 2%
Apr 2008 6% 39% 54% 1%
Mar 2008 7% 46% 46% 1%
Feb 2008 8% 45% 41% 6%
Jan 2008 22% 25% 49% 4%

Among those saying they approve of the way Bush is handling his job, none say getting better, 82% say staying the same, and 18% say getting worse. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Bush is handling his job, 4% say getting better, 36% say staying the same, and 59% say getting worse.

Looking to a year from now, 38% of Americans say that they think their household financial situations will be better than today, 45% say the same as today, and 12% say worse than today.

Household financial situation a year from now

Better than today

The same as today

Worse than today

Undecided

Jan 09 38% 45% 12% 5%
Dec 2008 36% 44% 15% 5%
Nov 2008 40% 34% 21% 5%
Oct 2008 26% 43% 15% 16%
Sep 2008 39% 37% 15% 9%
Aug 2008 30% 42% 24% 4%
Jul 2008 17% 41% 30% 12%
Jun 2008 21% 34% 37% 8%
May 2008 26% 49% 16% 9%
Apr 2008 19% 31% 37% 13%
Mar 2008 31% 41% 25% 3%
Feb 2008 17% 52% 25% 6%
Jan 2008 28% 41% 24% 7%

Among those saying they approve of the way Bush is handling his job, 31% say better than today, 56% say the same as today, and 4% say worse than today. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Bush is handling his job, 42% say better than today, 41% say the same as today, and 16% say worse than today.

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting national surveys of consumers since 1985.

Sample Size: 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of all adults age 18 and older living in telephone households in the continental United States.

Sample Dates: January 15-18, 2009

Margin of Error: ± 3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

How do you rate the condition of the national economy these days - would you say it is excellent, very good, good, bad, very bad, or terrible?

Do you think the national economy is getting better, staying the same, or getting worse?

Would you say that the national economy is in a recession, or not?

A year from now, do you expect the national economy to be better than it is today, the same as it is today, or worse than it is today?

How do you rate the condition of the financial situation in your household - would you say it is excellent, very good, good, bad, very bad, or terrible?

Do you think the financial situation in your household is getting better, staying the same, or getting worse?

A year from now, do you expect the financial situation in your household to be better than it is today, the same as it is today, or worse than it is today?

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy?

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