The Washington Quarterly

Plan A-Minus for Afghanistan
Michael O’Hanlon and Bruce Riedel
Caught in the Muddle: America’s Pakistan Strategy
Paul Staniland
Pakistan’s Counterterrorism Strategy: Separating Friends from Enemies
Ayesha Siddiqa

WINTER 2011 Volume 34, Number 1

Will China Change the Rules of Global Order?, Gregory Chin and Ramesh Thakur, October 2010.
American and Chinese Power after the Financial Crisis, Joseph S. Nye, Jr., October 2010.
China in the Global Financial Crisis: Rising Influence, Rising Challenges, William H. Overholt, January 2010.
Helmut Kohl's Legacy for Germany, Michael Mertes, Autumn 2002.
The Illusion of UN Security Council Reform, Thomas G. Weiss, Autumn 2003.
The Role of Islam in Pakistan's Future, Husain Haqqani, Winter 2004-05.
The Shifting Sands of State Power in the Middle East, Alastair Crooke, July 2010.
Iran and the Great Sanctions Debate, Meghan L. O'Sullivan, October 2010.
Understanding the Geopolitical Implications of the Global Financial Crisis, Wu Xinbo, October 2010.
The Moral Logic and Growth of Suicide Terrorism, Scott Atran, Spring 2006.

Coping with a Conflicted China
David Shambaugh

The Emergent Security Threats Reshaping China’s Rise
Ely Ratner

The Militarization of Post-Khomeini Iran: Praetorianism 2.0
Elliot Hen-Tov and Nathan Gonzalez

India’s Relations with Iran: Much Ado about Nothing
Harsh V. Pant

Is China Playing a Dual Game in Iran?
John W. Garver

A Climate Coalition of the Willing
Thomas Hale

Turkey’s Eurasian Agenda
F. Stephen Larrabee


SECURITY CHALLENGES FACING THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION
This exclusive Washington Quarterly e-briefing book offers insights and policy recommendations from leading bipartisan strategic thinkers to help navigate some of the most critical and complex security issues facing the Obama administration and its newly-announced national security leadership.
Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis Mathew J. Burrows and Jennifer Harris (initially published in April 2009). Drafters of the National Intelligence Council’s 2025 report forecast potential effects of the ongoing financial crisis on the economy, the role of the state, and the shape of world order. Will reduced U.S. political and market clout be one of the casualties? More on Multipolarity/Multilateralism and U.S. Hegemony> Understanding the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy Debate Christopher F. Chyba and J.D. Crouch (initially published July 2009). Together, a former NSC official from each of the last two administrations identify eight key divergent views in the ongoing U.S. nuclear weapons policy, posture, and programs debates, and explain the most important areas of disagreement and consensus. More on U.S. Politics and Foreign Policy> The Other Side of the COIN: Perils of Premature Evacuation from Iraq Kenneth M. Pollack and Irena L. Sargsyan (initially published in April 2010). The United States is leaving Iraq, but how it leaves is tremendously important. The authors draw lessons from recent history around the world to foresee the risks, namely civil war resuming or problems between the Iraqi military and civilian government arising, and how to minimize them. More on Iraq> The Security Implications of Climate Change John Podesta and Peter Ogden (initially published Winter 2007-08). Within the next 30 years, climate change is expected to cause destabilizing migration, massive food and water shortages, devastating natural disaster, and deadly disease outbreaks that will present serious security challenges not only to directly affected countries, but to the United States and the entire international community. More on Energy and Environment> Weak States and Global Threats: Fact or Fiction? Stewart Patrick (initially published in Spring 2006). Little evidence underpins existing sweeping assertions about the connection between weak or failing states and transnational threats such as terrorism, proliferation, or disease, even though policy is being implemented accordingly. What characteristics of state weakness are really associated with which dangers? More on Foreign Aid and Economic Development>	American and Chinese Power after the Financial Crisis Joseph S. Nye, Jr. (initially published in October 2010). The United States has been widely blamed for the recent financial crisis, while China continues to grow and benefits from projections about the future. But be wary of the wrong long-term projections from the recent crisis that could lead to costly policy miscalculations. More on Asia> What Do They Really Want?: Obama’s North Korea Conundrum Victor D. Cha (initially published October 2009). Kim Jong-il may want nuclear weapons, but is that all? The former deputy of the U.S. delegation to the Six-Party Talks draws on North Korean positions that, even when contradictory, may explain core goals which lie beneath Pyongyang’s rhetoric and provocative actions. More on the Koreas> A Win-Win U.S. Strategy for Dealing with Iran Michael McFaul, Abbas Milani, and Larry Diamond (initially published Spring 2005). In its nuclear negotiations with the rest of the world, Iran has been pursuing a strategy of “heads you lose, tails we win.” The United States needs a bold and fundamentally different strategy that would engage the Iranian regime and people on two tracks, allowing U.S. diplomats to pursue arms control and democratization at the same time. More on Iran> Talking with Insurgents: A Guide for the Perplexed Daniel Byman (initially published in April 2009). Talks with insurgents are often necessary to end conflicts, but they can also be politically costly, fail, and even backfire. Policymakers and analysts should consider these eight questions, derived from Iraq and elsewhere, for Afghanistan and beyond. More on Terrorism> The Myth of a No-NATO-Enlargement Pledge to Russia Mark Kramer (initially published in July 2009). Recently declassified evidence undermines the contention that top-level assurances were provided to Gorbachev in 1990 not to enlarge NATO either eastward or to former Soviet states. No such assurances were ever given or sought. More Transatlantic Relations >

		Reshaping Rogue States Preemption, Regime Change, and US Policy toward Iran, Iraq, and North Korea		Global Powers in the 21st Century The Politics, Power, and Visions of China, Europe, India, Japan, and Russia		The Epicenter of Crisis: The New Middle East Examining Six Critical Countries in a Changed World
		The Battle for Hearts and Minds Using Soft Power to Undermine Terrorist Networks		What Does the World Want from America? International Perspectives on U.S. Foreign Policy		Contemporary Nuclear Debates Missile Defense, Arms Control, and Arms Races in the Twenty-First Century