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Private sector jobs gains beat forecasts

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NEW YORK | Wed Feb 2, 2011 12:57pm EST

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. private employers added more jobs than expected in January, the 12th consecutive month that companies took on staff, adding to hopes that the weak American labor market is slowly improving.

The private sector added 187,000 jobs in January, compared with a downwardly revised 247,000 jobs in December, a report by payrolls processor ADP Employer Services showed on Wednesday.

The ADP figures come ahead of the government's more comprehensive January labor market report on Friday, which includes both public and private sector employment.

But ADP figures for December -- both initial and revised -- turned out to be much stronger than the government report showed, adding to doubts about the reliability of ADP as a predictor of payrolls.

Markets showed little reaction to the data, and some analysts said investors could be wary of ADP after December's numbers.

"People are discounting it because of (December's) shocker and a couple of days later, it proved to be wrong," said John Canally, investment strategist at LPL Financial in Boston.

Still, he said, "it's 12 months in a row that ADP showed job gains. That's the longest stretch since 2006 to 2007. Companies are cut to the bone. You are not going to see any more layoffs."

The January ADP figure was above economists' expectations for gains of 145,000 in a Reuters poll.

Even though most indicators lately have suggested the U.S. economy is picking up steam, job creation has been slow since the end of the recession in June 2009.

Analysts have closely watched data on private payrolls, which tend to show the bulk of new job gains.

In the markets, investors were more focused on the civil unrest in Egypt. U.S. stocks opened slightly lower, pulling back after Tuesday's strong advance and Egypt President Hosni Mubarak's announcement of his decision to step down at the end of his term. But they later climbed back into positive territory.

U.S. Treasury debt prices were up slightly, while the euro was down against the dollar..

Friday's Labor Department report is expected to show a rise in overall nonfarm payrolls of 145,000 in January, based on a Reuters poll of analysts, and a rise in private payrolls of 155,000.

Analysts have said severe snow storms that hit the country during the survey period could result in a much lower figure.

Macroeconomic Advisers LLC Chairman Joel Prakken said the ADP data was not significantly affected by the weather and he did not see an impact on Friday's payrolls data either.

 
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Comments (9)
delovett3 wrote:

0.16% of the US unemployed now have jobs. Just to put the 187000 into perspective.

Feb 02, 2011 9:26am EST  --  Report as abuse
Gotthardbahn wrote:

After last month’s debacle it has become clear that this ADP report needs a lot more fine-tuning to be taken seriously as a leading indicator. The lack of even a market ripple this AM after its release shows most, if not all, market players feel much the same way.

Feb 02, 2011 9:31am EST  --  Report as abuse
Rhino1 wrote:

Someone told me today that the “unmanipulated” unemployment rate is approximately 22%. Believe what makes you happier.

Feb 02, 2011 9:42am EST  --  Report as abuse

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