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After Tunisia and Egypt, which Mideast country's leadership is most vulnerable to anti-government protests?

A backlash against autocratic governments is gaining traction, leading to unprecedented protests in many Mideast capitals.  Do you think more dominos will fall? Who is likely to step down next?

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    The so-called Egyptian revolution is a critical, perhaps fatal time for the power of social media and the international free press, especially Al Jazeera which, more than any other news agency, has provided massive coverage of the upheaval since the first day it started.
    If Mubarak and his cronies remain in power until September, and manipulate the free elections and the stay on as out-of-sight quasi-rulers, other autocratic powers around the world will violently clamp down on social and international media and do so knowing they can get away with it.
    People using social media will come to realize it has serious shortcomings, especially if those using it to try and overthrow regimes are arrested, beaten, imprisoned -- or worse.
    The end result may be that the international press and social media may be then viewed as political gossip that endangers peoples' lives and careers.
    The influence of journalism may well be at the crossroad where it's influence, if Mubarak wins, will from then on be treated as little more than bad reality television theatrics that people watch but which doesn't influence public behavior and expectations.
    Rudy Haugeneder
    Canada

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    The "problem" in Egypt apparently has nothing to do with the security of Israel.

    Yet the furor in the media has erupted to the point that every 'story' contains reference to the very 'real dangers' ISRAEL faces because of the unrest in Egypt.

    This is not honest reporting but media lining up to support an ignoble entity.

    Incidentally, Egypt and Israel sighed a peace treaty in 1979 which has cost the United States about $4-5 BILLION per year starting in 1979 to perpetuity.

    Of course Israel recieves $3 BILLION to Egypt's ~$2 BILLION per year, Israel having had its Air Force destroyed, preemptively, while it was on the ground.

    Not!! Just the opposite.

    Israel destroyed the Egyptian Air Force ON THE GROUND before a shot was fired in the 1967 war.

    Thus, another preemptive invasion of a sovereign state in the region by the so-called Jewish state.
    -----------------------------------------------------------
    Sadly, America invaded Iraq preemptively for no good reason whatever on behalf of the squealing cowards in Israel!! That has never been the American way!

    Four thousand USA military dead, many, many more wounded, and best guess of up to a half million non-combatant Iraquis killed. To say nothing of the $100s of BILLIONS squandered.

    Even though there is no formal mutual defense treaty between the USA and Israel, we "respect that establishment of religion" SOLELY to protect its "right to exist" - and ignore those who would say that equity demands a more even-handed policy between Israelis and Palestinians.

    Doesn't this situation anger anybody else?? The USA being at the service of a foreign entity despite the absence of a treaty?

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  • I think that other very vulnerable Mideast's country is Yemen. Terrorist groups use its territory for training and its government never was strong. The case of Jordan is complex too, but until now, its government showed the capacity to solve different political problems during decades of conflicts across all the region where it is located. Domingo A. Trassens

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  • I was going to say Iran, because they had already tried protesting the last election and may now rally up again in the wake of the Egyptian public's "success".

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    Syria also looks interesting. The ruling oligarchy is Alawite, members of a sect of Shi‘ah Islam, dominating a Sunni Arab population, and the el-Assad "royal family" runs an extremely unpopular kleptocracy with increasingly close ties to Shi'ah Iran. This is NOT something the majority Sunni Arab population approves, and along with the poverty caused by the "inefficient and corrupt centrally planned economy" [1] the levels of popular dissatisfaction are at least as high in Syria as in Egypt.

    Well, hell. When has any "centrally planned economy" NOT been "inefficient and corrupt"? Just look at Detroit.

    Which is also turning Arab, come to think about it.

    ===
    [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syria#Economy

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  • By the way, just like Greece, Tunis, morocco,, and Algeria are not in the Middle East,

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      Niggle, niggle, niggle. Would you like "the Islamic world" better than "the Middle East"?

      For the record, that lets Israel out of categorization as a "Middle East" nation.

      On which point there's certainly a helluva lot of justification. I'd contend that "the Middle East" is more a psychopathic mindset than a geographic location.

      Consider, for example, Dearbornistan....

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  • Seems it may be Algeria: "Algerians Defy Protest Ban
    Thousands of protesters flooded the streets of the Algerian capital Algiers on Saturday, defying a ban on demonstrations and calling for political reform in the North African country."

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