Science and technology

Babbage

  • Algorithmic news

    I, reporters

    Feb 16th 2011, 20:22 by G.F. | SEATTLE

    SURELY no self-respecting hack would argue that a moment of insight or analytical expertise that lies at the heart of solid journalism can be reduced to a series of simple, easily reproduced tasks? There is, after all, no way that the spark of inspiration ignited by the nuanced and intangible intercourse of analysis and synthesis can be clasped, not to mention crammed into the rigid corset of algorithmic rules. Or can it? Jim Giles, a writer who has contributed to this newspaper, fellow journalist MacGregor Campbell and a team of researchers led by Niki Kittur, from Carnegie-Mellon University in America, decided to check.

    Under the rubric "My Boss Is a Robot" they are testing whether it is possible to draw on the sort of distributed creativity that the internet has made possible—and faddish—to perform the equivalent of journalistic piecework. To start with, the group has chosen to bash out the kind of article with which Babbage is all too familiar: a write-up of a newly released scientific research paper. Rather than assign the task as a whole to a single person, their system will try to tease apart and outsource different elements of analysis and production.

    The effort will not embrace a wiki-like approach, in which drafts are successively (and sometimes simultaneously) revised by unrelated parties who may or may not bring particular expertise to the table, and who can all see the current state of work. Instead, the group will atomise the process of writing an article into multiple steps which can be accomplished in isolation. (Part of the project is to see how reproducible—or not—such tasks really are.) Tasks might include writing a headline, summarising a chart, or providing a conclusion for a subsection of text. Each component will be assigned to multiple people without allowing them to see what the others have come up with. The collected products will then be sent out again for examination by another batch of eyes, again unable to compare notes. "You need redundancy for quality," explains Mr Giles. This competitive culling process is designed to judge which contributors excel, as well as reduce the need for editorial oversight by crowdsourcing part of that function.

    The team finds participants in its experiment via Mechanical Turk, an automated task-jobbing service built by Amazon.com, an online retailer, as part of its cloud and computation division. Amazon uses it for some of its data gathering and processing. Mechanical Turk allows anyone to post tightly defined jobs, dubbed Human Intelligence Tasks (HITs). Those assigning HITs can set tests that prospective workers must pass to qualify for the job, or limit employ to workers with a good track record rated by previous finished jobs for which the assigner agreed to pay. Each HIT has a price tag or range of fees attached, often exceedingly low by developed-world standards. One current HIT, for instance, consists in collecting museum and art gallery entrance fees, and pays $0.12 for each gathered item. A few firms, such as Clowdflower, offer a layer on top of Mechanical Turk to help companies indentify high-quality workers. (The service's name refers to the Turk, a chess-playing automaton built in the late 18th century later determined to be a fake.)

  • Video game hardware

    The epic battle of gaming gadgets

    Feb 16th 2011, 9:33 by T.Y. AND K.N.C. | TOKYO

    THE iPhone has not only overturned the cellphone industry, but the portable game market too. Its popularity has forced today's giants, Sony and Nintendo, to change in order to survive. 

    In the case of Sony, it means combining its portable Playstation console, called PSP, with a cellphone. The result, announced on February 13th by Sony Ericsson, was the Xperia Play. It will hit American stores first, in March. Sony will provide a platform for users to download and play selected PlayStation games by the end of the year. Sony will also release a new portable gadget called NGP (Next Generation Portable), with 3G wireless service this year. 

    The company may argue that it planned to do these things anyway—and surely it did have such plans in a filing cabinet somewhere. But the fire under their workbenches was Apple's runaway success, particularly with the iPad, which poses an even greater threat to game device makers than the iPhones' small screens.

    Nintendo has been scrambling to catch up too. When the iPad was released Nintendo's boss, Satoshi Iwata, dismissed it as a direct rival. And he maintained his nonchalance last month when he welcomed Sony's NGP as a catalyst to spur the market. The worry, however, is that the market may enjoy those rivals devices more than his. Nintendo's response, to be launched on February 26th, is the Nintendo 3DS. It is provides 3D images visible to the naked eye, avoiding the need to wear cheesy glasses.

    Moreover a gaggle of other competitors are eyeing the field, including Samsung's Galaxy tablet and smartphones, and even Panasonic, which is testing an online portable game device in America. Together, all this means today's gaming powerhouses are facing enemies on all sides. But they certainly have experience in getting past hostile environments to reach the next round.

  • Making the web legible

    Take it off

    Feb 15th 2011, 22:21 by G.F. | SEATTLE

    Readability's legibility conversion

    I printed the New Yorker article about Paul Haggis and Scientology and now there aren't any trees left in the world. Sorry, everybody. (@johnmoe)

    @johnmoe I saw how long the New Yorker's Paul Haggis article was and @instapaper'd it to my Kindle. No trees and fewer watts needed. (@kawika)

    CONTENT sites (other than this newspaper's, of course) often appear to view readers' attention as a commodity to be diced up, then bartered or sold. Part is flogged to advertisers. Part is handed off to editors who try to ensure visitors stick around the site for a bit—like flies in honey—rather than buzzing off elsewhere. Part is given up to navigational gubbins meant to make the site stickier still. Only a small portion is devoted to the reason people come to a website in the first place: the unique article, blog post, or other entry found there.

    Two years ago Arc90, a technology-strategy firm, created Readability. This free piece of software let readers reclaim 100% of their attention by stripping cluttered websites of all the superfluous bells and whistles. It began life as a bit of browser code encapsulated into a bookmarklet, a self-contained mini-program you plop into a browser's bookmark toolbar or in a bookmark menu. Tap Readability on a page with a block of continuous words and, lo and behold, everything but the text disappears. The software rewrites the text in reasonably-sized black type, and unfurls it over a white background that resembles a book page.

    The firm then released Readability's underlying code under a broad free license. Apple picked it up for a reading-mode feature in its Safari browser, and it was built into plugins for other browsers. Soon it became a common noun, at least in some milieus. Readability was inspired by Instapaper, a service developed by Marco Arment, a former head programmer at Tumblr. Mr Arment also had based his free service on a bookmarklet. Click Read Later, and a stripped-down version of a page is stored in your account on his server, along with a link back to the original page.

    Readability has since metamorphosed into a standalone company of the same name. It is now a fee-based web service with many elements in common with Instapaper, including archiving stories in your account, but aimed at providing a cash stream from readers to publishers. An Apple iOS app is around the corner. As a result, Readability competes with donation-based payment systems aimed at publishers like Flattr, Kachingle or Sprinklepenny. Like these, Readability collects a few dollars each month from every subscriber (though higher contribution are possible) and distributes about 70% of the revenue to participating publishers (its competitors distribute 80% to 90%).

    But it differs in important ways, too. First and foremost, the other three pitch themselves to users along the lines of public radio and television, aiming to cast publishers—whether humble bloggers or media conglomerates—in the role of put-upon content providers pleading for spare change. On the face of it, then, they are looking to ride on readers' guilt or selflessness.

    Richard Ziade, Readability's boss, prefers to rely on his customers' simple, unadulterated self-interest: I want to read this now, or I want to read this later, but I want to read it without all the irritating frippery. In this respect, Readability is more akin to crowdfunding operations, where a bonus is offered to entice a small-time donor to become a fully fledged patron. These extras range from a dinner with the creator of whatever it is that is being crowdfunded (often artistic projects) to what is, in effect, an exclusive advance pre-purchase. In Readability's case, the bonus is its core archiving and text-conversion function.

    Another difference is that unlike Flattr or Kachingle (but not Sprinklepenny), Readability does not require a content site to put a badge on every page for readers to click on in order to indicate that a micropayment has been made. Any such badge or widget means introducing new code in the website's innards. It also means readers cannot donate to unaffiliated websites.

    Although Readability does offer publishers the option of including "Read Now" and "Read Later" widgets on their content pages, which lets users dispense with a bookmarklet or a browser plug-in, it does not require that they do. Instead, the software tracks the pages it converts and archives, promising to hold the fees for all sites visited by its subscribers in the form of self-administered escrow. Any site that decides to adopt the widget will receive its share of fees collected from the service's inception. 

    However, the firm faces the same problems as any micropayment system. It must reach a critical mass of subscribers to make the revenue drip appealing to the biggest publishers who will then, hopefully, reel in more subscribers. The rub is that big publishers' sites typically brim with precisely the sort of unwanted clutter Readability targets. Removing it may annoy such clutter's main purveyors, ie, advertisers, who also frequently happen to be such sites' principal sources of revenue. True, for Readability to work its pruning magic, a page must load in full first; only once a visitor has beheld it in all its glory may he choose to pare it down. But that decision can be made rapidly—that is, after all, the whole point. Giving readers full command of their attention implies having to wrest some of it from the ad men. In this regard, at least, surfing the web remains a zero-sum game.

  • Eating algae

    Algal bloom

    Feb 15th 2011, 12:39 by E.B. | NEW YORK

    ALGAE have been infesting the ether of late. One television commercial features a buff faux boffin strolling around a virtual lab, waxing eloquent about their promise for greener energy. "Fuel", a documentary, hails them as a biotech alternative to ethanol and traditional fuel sources. Even the American Navy has been in the news for commissioning Solazyme, a producer of algae-based biofules, to provide the juice for some of its ships.

    The company initially focused on algae-based biodiesel but has since diversified into jet fuel and cosmetics—and food. In 2009 its chemists began a series of experiments to see how algal derivatives fare in the kitchen. Not bad, it turns out. Algae flour—something of a misnomer given its mushy, moist texture—can be used to make cookies, honey mustard and even a milk substitute, replacing butter, vegetable oils and eggs and removing the need for processed sugar and preservatives. Nutritionally, this translates into fewer calories, a healthy dose of the ever popular antioxidants, some salubrious micronutrients, as well as oodles of dietary fibre which makes these easier for the body to absorb.

    Crucially, cookies still taste like cookies and not, as some may fret, sushi—at least to Babbage's tastebuds. (He does not know whether the sentiment was shared by Barbara Boxer, a Democratic Senator pictured right cagily sampling an algal flour cookie.) Little wonder, then, that in November 2010 Solazyme teamed up with Roquette, the second largest starch supplier in Europe and the fourth largest in the world, to bring this new superfood to the market.

    This may yet prove a tough sell. For a start, consumers will need some convincing before they nibble on the stuff that many associate with the muck on the walls of fish tanks. Pitching algae as an alternative cooking ingredient or health food will doubtless appeal to some foodie fashionistas, for a while at least. But this strategy may deter more discerning types who dismiss any such notions as passing fancies.

    In fact, algae might be easier to deploy at an earlier stage of the food-production cycle. Nick Baily of the Belgrave Trust, a New York-based firm that helps individuals and companies to offset their carbon footprints, estimates that as much as 40% of food-related footprints (which account for about a fifth of the total in Britain) is attributable to the petrochemical fertilisers used in producing foodstuffs. Replacing such dirty fertilisers with the lighter-footed algae-derived sort may make a sizeable dent in carbon emissions, and spur environmentally conscious consumers to plump for foods grown using the technology. The cost of such algal alternatives will need to drop before they become widely used in agriculture. But at least farmers are more inured to dealing with muck than are food faddists.

  • Animal behaviour

    Clever hounds

    Feb 15th 2011, 9:05 by M.K.

    IN THE early 20th century, a horse named Clever Hans was believed capable of counting and other impressive mental tasks. After years of great performance, psychologists put the ruse to rest by demonstrating that though Hans was certainly clever, he was not clever in the way that everyone expected. The horse was cunningly picking up on tiny, unintentional bodily and facial cues given out not only by his trainer, but also by the audience. Aware of the “Clever Hans” effect, Lisa Lit at the University of California, Davis, and her colleagues, wondered whether the beliefs of professional dog handlers might similarly affect the outcomes of searches for drugs and explosives. Remarkably, Dr Lit found, they do.

    Dr Lit asked 18 professional dog handlers and their mutts to complete two sets of four brief searches. Thirteen of those who participated worked in drug detection, three in explosives detection, and two worked in both. The dogs had been trained to use one of two signals to indicate to their handlers that they had detected something. Some would bark, others would sit.

    The experimental searches took places in the rooms of a church, and each team of dog and human had five minutes allocated to each of the eight searches. Before the searches, the handlers were informed that some of the search areas might contain up to three target scents, and also that in two cases those scents would be marked by pieces of red paper.

    What the handlers were not told was that two of the targets contained decoy scents, in the form of unwrapped, hidden sausages, to encourage the dogs’ interest in a false location. Moreover, none of the search areas contained the scents of either drugs or explosives. Any “detections” made by the teams thus had to be false. Recorders, who were blind to the study, noted where handlers indicated that their dogs had raised alerts.

    The findings, which Dr Lit reports in Animal Cognition, reveal that of 144 searches, only 21 were clean (no alerts). All the others raised one alert or more. In total, the teams raised 225 alerts, all of them false. While the sheer number of false alerts struck Dr Lit as fascinating, it was where they took place that was of greatest interest.

    When handlers could see a red piece of paper, allegedly marking a location of interest, they were much more likely to say that their dogs signalled an alert. Indeed, in the two rooms where red paper was present and sausages were not, 32 of a possible 36 alerts were raised. In the two where both red paper and sausages were present that figure was 30–not significantly different. In contrast, in search areas where a sausage was hidden but no red piece of paper was there for handlers to see, it was only 17. 

    The dogs, in other words, were distracted only about half the time by the stimulus aimed at them. The human handlers were not only distracted on almost every occasion by the stimulus aimed at them, but also transmitted that distraction to their animals–who responded accordingly. To mix metaphors, the dogs were crying “wolf” at the unconscious behest of their handlers.

    How much that matters in the real world is unclear. But it might. If a handler, for example, unconsciously “profiled” people being sniffed by a drug- or explosive-detecting dog at an airport, false positives could abound. That is not only bad for innocent travellers, but might distract the team from catching the guilty. Handlers’ expectations may be stopping sniffer dogs doing their jobs properly.

  • Computing becomes a tradable commodity

    Clouds under the hammer, reloaded

    Feb 13th 2011, 19:31 by L.S.

    Buyer screenshotLESS than a year ago Babbage wrote an article, entitled “Clouds under the hammer”, in The Economist discussing whether computing capacity would become a tradable commodity. In the conclusion he sided with the sceptics, arguing that “virtual machines”—the main unit of measurement in cloud computing—would increasingly move about, but mostly within clouds controlled by a single company (“private clouds”) or trusted federations of “public clouds” (where anyone can buy capacity).

    One of the people quoted in the article, Reuven Cohen, the founder of Enomaly, a maker of software that allows firms to build public clouds, was more optimistic. He has now proven that he was right: today Enomaly will launch SpotCloud, the world’s first spot market for cloud computing.

    Fundamentally, SpotCloud works like other spot markets (for more screen shots click here). Firms with excess computing capacity—operators of data centres, cloud providers, hosting firms—put it up for sale. Others, who have a short-term need for some number-crunching, can bid for it. Enomaly takes a cut of between 10% and 30% depending on the size of the deal. But there is an important difference: SpotCloud is what Enomaly calls an “opaque market”, meaning that the firms offering capacity do not have to reveal their identity. Thus selling computing services for cheap on SpotCloud does not cannibalise regular offerings.

    Technically, the service is also not entirely what one would expect. Enomaly did not build a big central infrastructure—because the bandwidth demands “would have killed us”, in the words of Mr Cohen: files of virtual machines are very large. Instead, the firm works with Google App Engine, itself a cloud-computing provider, which gives Enomaly access to a decentralised global system. The buyer’s virtual machines files are parked on App Engine before being send to a seller’s servers. Buyers can also define in which country or even city they want their virtual machines to run.

    SpotCloud has been up and running since November in a closed trial—and has already attracted a lot of supply. It often comes from unexpected corners of the computing universe. For instance, an entertainment company has offered capacity on 4,000 servers that would otherwise sit unused (probably in a lull between making animated movies). In other cases, says Mr Reuven, firms offer the capacity of old servers, which otherwise would be thrown away at some point.

    The big question is whether there is also enough demand. Again, Mr Cohen is optimistic, and sees many ways in which Enomaly’s market place could be used: getting non-critical computing tasks done quickly and cheaply, testing new websites and quickly adding computing capacity in certain regions. But he also warns that SpotCloud is not for those who want long-term computing needs satisfied with the service-level guaranteed. Instead, it is for those who need capacity quickly and do not much care if the computing task has to be restarted if something goes wrong.

  • Artificial photosynthesis

    The Difference Engine: The sunbeam solution

    Feb 11th 2011, 11:50 by N.V. | LOS ANGELES

    FOR decades, your correspondent has watched, with more than casual interest, every new twist and turn in the quest for an “artificial leaf”. His hope has been that industry might one day replicate the photosynthetic process used by plants, and thus create forests of artificial trees for making hydrocarbon fuel direct from sunlight. Apart from helping offset the emission of carbon dioxide caused by burning fossil fuels, such man-made leaves could provide an endlessly supply of energy for transport. Finally, it seems, something is stirring in the forest.

    In his recent State of the Union address, President Obama drew special attention to the $122m research programme on artificial photosynthesis that is underway in laboratories across California. “They’re developing a way to turn sunlight and water into fuel for our cars,” said the 44th president. He might have added that the Joint Centre for Artificial Photosynthesis (JCAP), involving some 200 scientists and engineers from universities and research laboratories around the state, was seeking to make liquid hydrocarbons not from solar-powered electrolysis, biomass, micro-organisms or other round-about routes, but direct from sunlight—just as the chlorophyll in a leaf does.

    Sunlight is the world’s largest source of carbon-neutral power. In one hour, more energy from the sun strikes the Earth than all the energy consumed by humans in a year. Yet, solar energy, in the form of sustainable biomass, provides less than 1.5% of humanity’s energy needs. Meanwhile, solar panels contribute a mere 0.1% of electricity consumption.

    The problem is that the sun does not shine all the time. Night intervenes. So do clouds. If people are to rely on the sun for more of their energy, then a reliable form of storage is required. And the best way to store solar energy is to convert it into chemical fuel. That is what nature has been doing for millions of years.

    Unfortunately, artificial photosynthesis is still in its infancy. Researchers reckon that, at least in the laboratory, they can make fuel direct from sunlight far more efficiently than can the fastest-growing plants. But no-one can yet do so at a cost that would make the process economic. Nor can they make it robust enough to work continuously, year in and year out, under the full glare of the sun. And they are years away from integrating the various steps—from capturing the sunlight in the first place to producing the finished fuel—into working prototypes, let alone commercial-sized factories capable of producing something resembling petrol.

    Nevertheless, chlorophyll—the stuff of life—is as good a place as any to start. This large organic molecule has a magnesium ion at its core, surrounded by a ring of porphyrin. In nature, porphyrins are a group of organic pigments that give plants, corals and even animal skins their colours. One of the most common porphyrins is heme, the pigment in red blood cells. The porphyrin in chlorophyll absorbs strongly in the red and blue-violet parts of the visible spectrum, but not in the green. By reflecting such wavelengths, chlorophyll gives plants their colour.  

    It would be better, of course, if chlorophyll could absorb light across the whole of the visible spectrum. But plants take what they have been given. As such, chlorophyll’s job is to absorb all the energy it can from sunlight, and use it to transform carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and water from the soil into carbohydrates and oxygen. The energy stored this way is what makes it possible for practically all living things to survive and thrive.

    What makes chlorophyll so good at capturing sunlight is the way its ring-like structure can lose and gain electrons easily. When a leaf absorbs photons from sunlight, electrons in the chlorophyll molecules get excited from lower energy states into higher ones, allowing them to migrate to other molecules. That forms the starting point for chains of electron transfers that end with electrons being "donated" to molecules of carbon dioxide. Meanwhile, the chlorophyll molecules that gave up electrons in the first place accept electrons from elsewhere. These form the end points of transfer processes that start with the removal of electrons from water.

    In this way, chlorophyll acts as a catalyst that drives the oxidation-reduction reaction between carbon dioxide and water to produce carbohydrates and oxygen. In the pursuit of the artificial leaf, then, the main task is to find catalysts that can mimic the intricate dance of electron transfers that chlorophyll makes possible.

  • Eponymous heroes

    In two glorious dimensions

    Feb 11th 2011, 9:40 by G.F. | SEATTLE

    A frame from Sydney Padua's 2D Goggles.

     

    Mr Babbage stated that upon the first occasion he was disturbed by the noise of the defendant's organ, and he went out and requested him to cease playing, and to go away...The people in his neighbourhood encouraged the organ-men. He could not, he said, walk along the streets now without being insulted by persons living in the neighbourhood...Mr Babbage was engaged on works of great scientific importance, and of a nature which his persecutors could not understand.—Street Music in the Metropolis (London, 1864)

    CHARLES Babbage, this blog's namesake, disliked the street noise of London prevalent in the 1860s, a couple of decades after this newspaper was founded. He was joined in public campaigns to squelch the discord that kept knowledge workers from maintaining focus by Charles Dickens, Thomas Carlyle and Richard Doyle, among others. (Walter Bagehot's opinions on noise are unknown.) His antipathy was a watchword in his day. And now it is immortalised in cartoon form, along with alternative history versions of several of his inventions.

    The present Babbage came across 2D Goggles some months ago, a rousing episodic comic of Ada King, Lady Lovelace (née Byron)  and the eponymous Mr Babbage fighting the oral depredations of "The Organist", a foul besmircher of mental clarity. Lady Lovelace and Mr Babbage did collaborate, but their work together unfortunately fell short of incorporating sewers, monkeys and difference engines the size of buildings. "The Organist" has a backbone of facts over which artist Sydney Padua has built her fancy. This adventure recently concluded, with Lady Lovelace and Mr Babbage coming out smelling like roses (not monkeys). "It really is true that Babbage had this obsessive battle with the street musicians," says Ms Padua. "There are tons of documents. It was a byword. Any time anybody wrote a popular article about music in the 1860s, they had to mention Babbage."

    Ms Padua, a Canadian animator who lives in London, created 2D Goggles for Ada Lovelace Day, an annual event to celebrate and encourage women in subjects dear to this blog: science, technology, engineering and maths. As Lady Lovelace died aged 36, Ms Padua says "I just did the comic as a joke, and the punchline of the joke is that she didn't die. They built a difference engine and fought crime." That first sequence was vivid enough to cause readers to ask for more, expecting an entire tale.

    Ms Padua has read Mr Babbage extensively, examining work contemporary to his time available through Google Books, which is also the source of the book quoted at the start of this post. She notes that, as part of a project to build Mr Babbage's Analytical Engine, a more advanced computer than his Difference Engine, an effort is simultaneously underway to digitise Mr Babbage's personal papers. (A donation drive for the effort, Plan 28, ended without reaching its goal on February 1st. John Graham-Cumming, the man behind the programme, plans to proceed regardless. You may recognise Mr Graham-Cumming's name from his successful petition to rehabilitate Alan Turing, which resulted in a public apology by the then Prime Minister, Gordon Brown.)

    Ms Padua's portrayal of Lady Lovelace's obsession with and expertise in maths is likewise rooted in history. Lady Lovelace was the only legitimate child of George Gordon, Lord Byron, though she was raised apart from him and he died when she was nine. Her mother had her tutored rigorously in maths in an effort to keep rationality to the fore, and her father's madness in abeyance. Lady Lovelace's genius in maths had many admirers. "You couldn't make up this thing about Lovelace being brought up with this mathematical regimen because otherwise she'd go mad," Ms Padua says. Lady Lovelace is often credited with having written the first credible computer program.

    2D Goggles is a side project for Ms Padua, who works on both computer- and hand-animated films for her living. Her Babbage/Lovelace comics use a rough drawing style intentionally. She employs both paper and computer tablet to create them. She says that the heavy subcultural interest in steampunk—the expression of computational functions in the design and mechanical aesthetics of the 19th century—derives from the same motivation. "The thing about steampunk that's really attractive is that technology is so abstract now. You push a button, and it goes into the box, and it doesn't make a noise. It's very abstract. It doesn't satisfy the monkey brain."

    Ms Padua has so far written several stories of derring-do in addition to the Organist, including a visit from Her Majesty (Victoria, that is), interested in the mechanical device to which she had given patronage. More is to come. "If I did all the stories I would like to do, it would probably take me about 15 years," says Ms Padua.

    The artist is happy to foster additional awareness of both the stars of her comic. Common knowledge of them is limited, despite their crucial roles on the path to functional computers. "You can draw them, and in a sense bring them back to life," she says. She notes of Mr Babbage that "he should be much more famous than he is. He needs better PR." We are trying...

  • World creation

    Exquisite corpse

    Feb 10th 2011, 12:38 by G.F. | SEATTLE

    IN THE beginning, the city had a name, Urm, a smell (strong), and scarce anything else. Its outlines have emerged. The process of telling is the process of making. Townspeople fish the river with singing harpoons. The sky and people (as a mating ritual) are bioluminescent. An uncompleted dome towers over the city. If you fail to pay dues to a union that oversees maps, you may simply disappear, along with "buildings, streets; even whole districts".

    Urm is a construct arising from many minds, a crowdsourced city being built a few words at a time on top of Twitter with a hash mark serving as mortar between the bricks of the story. Novelist Nick Harkaway laid the first stone. He wrote on Twitter:

    From out of the city of Urm, which is imaginary, there arose in that year a great stink. #Urmcollab

    In Twitter parlance, "#Urmcollab" is a hashtag, which allows easy following of a single theme as it develops. No one owns a tag, nor is there membership involved. Mr Harkaway has put the hash tag to use in a simple experiment in unconstrained collaborative narrative construction with no intent and no planned end. This approach prevents someone from "trying to grab the narrative and take control of it", too, he says. "If you write three tweets, and you never come back to the story again", that's fine, he says. "There's no obligation inherent in it." (This Babbage was tipped to the project by Yoz Grahame, a community creator irresponsible for the Starship Titanic Employee Forum, discussed here earlier.)

    Mr Harkaway's first novel, "The Gone-Away World" (2008), is troubled with an absence of tangible fact, as nations peppered each other with reality bombs that peeled away the information content of matter. The world of the novel sees thoughts turned into reality—a bit akin to Stanisław Lem's Solaris—with a thin strip of sanity running around the planet's middle. His narrator is unreliable and possibly semi-material. Mr Harkaway's construct of Urm has a similarly hazy quality: what is stated becomes real within the story. He likened this quality to Jorge Luis Borges's "Tlön, Uqbar, Orbis Tertius"—a favourite of Babbage's—a story in which the discovery of a volume of an encyclopaedia about an Earth with different properties than the familiar one seems to change the world. Keen readers may see an echo, too, in China Miéville's "The City and the City", a tale of two cities that may or may not be invisible to one another.

    "Literally, I looked on this: wouldn't it be cool if people wrote 140-characters statements about an imaginary city", Mr Harkaway says from London. He decided to "throw three descriptive tweets into the world with the same hashtag in them; this is here, go play." So far, a handful of people have added a hundred or so tweets, including fellow speculative-fiction writer William Gibson, most recently the author of "Zero History". "People are putting it together into a little string of narrative. If the conventional narrative is a road, this has the potential to turn into a town or city." However, Mr Harkaway has no pretensions about its development. "Not everybody is 100% brilliant at condensing a literary idea into 140 characters," he says, although he adds that it doesn't matter. He has already been taken aback by the beauty of some ideas, such as "some fantastic stuff about fields upon fields upon fields of bladed weapons growing out of the ground".

    Mr Harkaway says, "Even if it stops dead right now, it says to me there is a ridiculously cool creative possibility inherent in things like Twitter that I would really never have credited." He says that he has a great interest in collaborative writing, but that the requirements and timing necessary to pull off projects make them difficult to assemble. Mr Harkaway has also been waiting for new forms of story to evolve from new media, such as deep non-linear narratives. "Nobody has yet kind of done the kind of thing where it's native to the web or native to social media", he says. Imagine, he suggests, "You are reading your iPhone and the FaceTime camera tracks where your eye is going, and that tracks your interest and determines what you see on the next page."

    The experiment has just begun, however, and Mr Harkaway has no suspicion of how it will end. "At a guess right now, the vast likelihood is that it will tail off, rather than become a big thing." But, he says, "If it's going to survive at all, it's going to survive without me. It doesn't need me to tell them what it is. The great thing about it is that I feel completely out of control."

  • The internet and media law

    Hot news v new media

    Feb 10th 2011, 12:06 by J.B.

    EVERY journalist loves a scoop. Lawyers are starting to love them too. They are hoping to use a 1918 decision from America's Supreme Court, stemming from an argument over war coverage between William Randolph Hearst (pictured above), a press baron, and the Associated Press, to protect the business models of traditional publishers against internet-based rivals. The case gives legal protection to "hot news", ostensibly to encourage news gathering. Although the facts of the original case concern telegraphs, the issues go to the heart of today's internet news business, the efficiency of markets and freedom of speech. 

    During the closing stages of the first world war Mr Hearst's International News Service (INS) was banned from Allied-controlled telegraph lines for what was seen as over-excited reporting of British losses ("Zeppelins set London ablaze!"). Unable to transmit its own news back from the front, INS started rewriting Associated Press (AP) dispatches instead. AP sued, and INS responded that AP had no case under copyright because it had rewritten the dispatches. Facts are not protected by copyright—only the expression of them in a specific piece of text. 

    Eventually a majority of the Supreme Court came to agree with AP. Justice Mahlon Pitney, writing the majority opinion, rejected the idea that there might be any intellectual-property protection for news itself. "It is not to be supposed that the framers of the Constitution...intended to confer upon one who might happen to be the first to report a historic event the exclusive right for any period to spread the knowledge of it," he argued. But he couldn't let go his conviction that INS wasn't playing fair, and that the rules of fair competition needed to be upheld. So he argued that the gathering of news did create a "quasi property right", and although that right should not constrain the newspaper-buying public, it should prevent a commercial competitor from using AP's news for its own gain. 

    In dissent, Justice Louis Brandeis argued that Justice Pitney should have just swallowed his moral indignation. "To appropriate and use for profit, knowledge and ideas produced by other men, without making compensation or even acknowledgment, may be inconsistent with a finer sense of propriety; but, with the exceptions indicated above, the law has heretofore sanctioned the practice," he argued. To create a new property right would just make a mess unless it could be clearly defined and enforced—and Justice Pitney's quasi-right for news seemed to do neither. Nearly a hundred years later, the courts are starting to test Justice Brandeis's point.

    The case now reviving interest in this antique dispute concerns a tiny website called Theflyonthewall.com. Its business was republishing share tips made by investment banks. The banks sued, and in the summer of 2010 they won. A court ruled that Theflyonthewall was unfairly appropriating some of the value created by the banks in researching and writing the reports, and required the site to wait for at least two hours before republishing them. Theflyonthewall, in turn, has had its case taken up by some of the Internet's big guns—including Google, Twitter and the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF), an internet lobby group. They supported the website's appeal to the Second Circuit Court, and made arguments on its behalf to the court. Now they are anxiously awaiting the results of that appeal, which could appear anytime in the next few weeks. 

    The Second Circuit is authoritative in intellectual property. It set the stage for the suit against Theflyonthewall in a 1997 decision which overturned an injunction granted to the National Basketball Association, preventing Motorola, a maker of telecoms gear, from broadcasting game scores over its pagers. In that case the Second Circuit ruled that specific criteria had to be met for the hot-news doctrine to apply. The information in question must be expensive to gather and time sensitive. One party must be free-riding directly on another's expenditure, and the two must be in direct competition. Finally, the free-riding must significantly reduce the incentive to gather information, and so threaten its quality or existence. The NBA failed those tests, but Theflyonthewall passed. 

    At the appeal, the Second Circuit was asked to reconsider whether Theflyonthewall should have triggered the hot-news rules–and, in particular, whether a information website could really be considered to be in direct competition with an investment bank. But, more interestingly, it was also asked to look again at the criteria for applying the hot-news doctrine in light of the new questions thrown up the internet. Are bloggers, for example, in direct competition with newspapers? Does Google free-ride or provide free marketing and distribution? How do you define the value of information, and what restrictions, if any, would enable a supplier to capture that value? Is there a public interest in the news being as widely disseminated as possible, and would that interest differ between, say, a share recommendation and the news that Port au Prince has been flattened by an earthquake?

    Even in the realm of more-or-less traditional news outlets, there would seem to be a lot of information sharing that would have to be carefully parsed if the hot-news doctrine were to be consistently applied. Jonathan Stray, an Associated Press journalist working with Harvard's Nieman Foundation, analysed the 121 unique articles thrown up by Google News concerning a school of Chinese hackers that penetrated Google, for example. His best reckoning was that only 13 contained original reporting

    Google's representative at the Theflyonthewall appeal argued that the internet makes the whole concept of hot news outdated. Breaking news goes from being unknown to widely known so quickly that there is no longer any chance to misappropriate its value. The EFF argued that more and faster information flow was generally a good thing. In the numerous collisions between intellectual-property law and the First Amendment since the hot-news doctrine was created, free speech has usually trumped property. So the EFF particularly urges the Second Circuit to test the hot-news criteria against this evolved body of First Amendment law.

    At the end of the day the real test of the hot-news doctrine will be that posed sceptically by Justice Brandeis. Whatever the Second Circuit decides in its forthcoming ruling, can it be enforced simply and efficiently?

  • National high-speed internet plans

    Broadband's big spenders

    Feb 9th 2011, 12:32 by I.M.

    VISITORS to South Korea cannot fail to be impressed by the speed of the country's online connections. While even basic broadband access is unobtainable across parts of the developed world, most South Koreans can enjoy high-speed fibre-optic services for just $30 a month. Closing this broadband gap has become a priority for some governments. In April 2009 Australia unveiled a hugely ambitious plan to bring superfast broadband connections to more than 90% of the population by 2018, at a cost to the public purse now estimated at around A$27 billion ($27 billion). The British and American governments also want to use taxpayers' money to plug the broadband holes in their rural communities.

    Why do governments feel such a need for speed? Many private-sector companies insist there is no commercial case for investment in high-speed networks. Although internet usage is soaring, network operators earn no more from traffic on bandwidth-gobbling sites like YouTube, which functions better over faster connections, than from customers accessing simpler web pages. Yet authorities increasingly see broadband as integral to economic prosperity, with the energy, education and health-care sectors among those set to benefit from the roll-out of improved infrastructure. That means broadband is bound up with governments' political fortunes, too.

    The question is whether such vast public-funding commitments as Australia's are desirable, or even effective. Critics say taxpayers' money would be better spent elsewhere and that broadband development is best left to the private sector. Others argue for less heavy-handed public-sector involvement. South-East Asia, notably, appears to have built its broadband lead by encouraging companies to stump up the huge investments required.

    A new study from the Economist Intelligence Unit, our sister company, makes some judgments about what governments should and should not be doing. While broadband rankings typically measure factors such as the speed, availability and retail prices of existing services, a measure created for the study, the government broadband index (gBBi), looks instead at the components of the highest-profile public-sector plans. Besides targets for speed and population coverage, these include the cost to the taxpayer as a percentage of annual government revenues and the deadlines for universal access. The gBBi also considers the regulatory aspects of the various plans. Here are the results:

  • Social networking

    Being there

    Feb 8th 2011, 17:46 by G.F. | SAN FRANCISCO

    NEW friends are hard to come by. This Babbage is married, has passed 40 and finds small children clustered at his bedside each morning. Marriage and parenthood create new social circles, but also bind one more closely into them. Until the children are grown, there is not much spare time for a parent to pursue new activities and have the time needed for the acquaintance that deepens into friendship. Indeed, even old friends may feel neglected along the way.

    Yet Babbage has new chums, to his surprise, arising from his obsession with Twitter. Your correspondent's online career stretches back to 1980 and the CompuServe dial-up service, where a live forum known as the CB (Citizens Band) Simulator allowed real-time chat at 110 bits per second. The notion was that it resembled the kind of conversation possible over CB radios, which were popular at the time.

    Of the same vintage were bulletin board systems (BBSes), into which you could make a connection to post messages in discussion groups, and also download software. The most sophisticated had multiple phone lines available at once, allowing chat among those simultaneously connected. Babbage participated in all that, and in each subsequent development in live and asynchronous online community, from Bitnet Relay via The Well, Internet Relay Chat and Instant Messaging to the current belle of the ball, Twitter.

    And yet, he writes abashedly, he never made what one might call true friends solely online during those three decades of chatter. Acquaintances, yes. Well wishers, colleagues, enemies, boors and even slightly disturbing fans. And such means have strengthened or maintained ties formed in the world of handshakes, hugs and tears. But there was never a connection that started with electrons and led to the consumption of fermented and distilled beverages, and that interchange of pure nonsense, deep thoughts, shared experience and common loss which underpins a strong tie. Never, at least, until Twitter.

    Despite—and perhaps because of—the trivial and by necessity shortened discourse on Twitter, several friendships have blossomed, recently confirmed in person. That description may sound a bit bloodless, but Babbage turns his steely eye upon his own soul and motives, not just those of others.

    Twitter enables the sort of chitchat impossible among strangers on email or instant messaging, and outside the scope of Facebook. Facebook's boss, Mark Zuckerberg, often describes his service as a way to connect with friends you already have. Facebook creates circles upon circles of acquaintance, but most conversation is among those already known to each other.

    Twitter, however, is a different beast. The asymmetry of follower and followee creates a different rhythm, allowing the possibility of falling into conversation with an unknown someone without invading his or her space. It is a simple matter to ignore or block those who you find uninteresting. And people you know and trust outside the electronic realm lead you to their friends, colleagues and family. Likewise, you may be on the receiving end of tendrils of acquaintance. The shared set of relationships and communication among those you know vets new people for you and you for them.

    Tweaks made to Twitter a few months ago that make a real-time stream generally available—instead of the retrieval of periodic updates—have blurred the lines between synchronous communications like chat and asynchronous methods such as email and forum commenting. Direct messaging on Twitter, a one-to-one method that may take place only between two parties who mutually follow each other, provides a trimmed-down email analogue without the weightiness and effort associated with handling yet more messages. Continuous speech is more or less possible without the overhead and commitment of a chat room or an instant-message session.

    Babbage tends towards gregariousness, online or off, and struck up Twitter conversations with several friends of friends in the past year. He found himself communicating at first through "mentions" on Twitter—the @name convention that allows you to point a reply or message in the public stream at someone—but then moved into direct messages, instant messaging and email. Those he grew to know best also blog and use Facebook. Over the course of months, he learned quite a bit about his newfound mates, cheering on their successes, sympathising over their straits and introducing them to new people. With a little trepidation, he finally met a few such people in person.

    While Tweet-ups, a mashup of tweet and meetup, are common, those typically involved likeminded groups of people who have met or continue conversations online. In my case, the meetings were at Macworld 2011, in San Francisco—the annual convocation of the Apple community and we reporters thereof. One hates to ruin a good thing. Would Babbage fail to live up to the expectations of his new frequent correspondents—or they to his? Does Twitter's distilling process remove the chaff and leave so much wheat as to provide a mistaken impression of personality and mutual interest?

    Babbage happily reports the results of his accidental experiment: those who are genuine in 140 characters are equally so over meals and laughter. Twitter is not a guarantee of friendly compatibility, but your correspondent found it an awfully close match.

  • Babbage visits CERN

    ALICE in wonderland and other stories

    Feb 4th 2011, 23:17 by J.P. | MEYRIN AND SAINT GENIS POUILLY

    PUTTING aside unfounded fears of stockpiling of weapons-grade antimatter or poking mini black holes that will gobble up Earth in a trice, there seem to be at least three less paranoid misconceptions about CERN. One consists in equating it with the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), admittedly its fanciest bit of kit. Another is to assume that the LHC's brief is to find the Higgs boson, period. Finally, it is to liken experimental particle physics to hunting—a trope which, to be fair, physicists themselves blithely perpetuate.

    Start with the last. What goes on at CERN has precious little to do with the romantic (to some at least) notion of tweed-clad gentlemen sniping at game. If anything, it is more akin to fishing with explosives, where throwing a heftier charge into a smaller pond shortens the odds of seeing a bigger fish float belly up. So, too, in particle accelerators like the LHC.

    Here, protons are sped up to a smidgen below the speed of light, the equivalent of lighting a sizeable stick of dynamite. Next, as they enter the LHC detectors, they are squeezed into a beam just 16 microns across, one-third the width of a human hair—a very small pond indeed. However, because the individual particles are so minuscule, even a compressed beam contains plenty of empty space and head-on collisions—the sort to generate the most energy and thus, by dint of Albert Einstein's famous equation, E=mc2, the heavy particles of most interest to physicists—are only expected extremely rarely.

    One such big fish is the Higgs boson, sometimes dubbed the "God particle", though the moniker makes most physicists cringe. It is the particle associated with the hypothetical "Higgs field" which is thought to pervade all space and whose interactions with other elementary particles give them their mass. This explains how they clumped together into galaxies, planets and people, rather than whizzing around eternally at the speed of light, as massless photons do.

    Many LHC scientists see netting the Higgs as a done deal, especially if its mass lies at the lower end of the range predicted by theory. A less massive Higgs means less energy would be needed to produce it, increasing the likelihood of doing so when protons merely graze each other. Since, statistically, this happens much more often than head-on collisions, several Higgses—or, strictly speaking, signatures left by the less fleeting particles into which the Higgs is thought almost instantly to decay—may already be buried in the haul of data from last year. (The obverse is that a lighter Higgs would be harder to tell apart from all the other particles created in the collisions than a heavier one; though a heavy Higgs is only expected to crop up extremely rarely, as a result of direct proton-proton impact, it would leave a more unmistakeable trace.)

     

    Out with the old

    This is all very exciting, of course, but only as the known unknowns of "old physics" go. The Higgs is the last unobserved piece of the Standard Model, a 40-year-old mathematical framework which links all the known particles and all of the fundamental forces of nature expect for gravity. Researchers your correspondent spoke to gave the impression of being far more aflutter talking about the unknown unknowns of what they refer to as "new physics".

  • Road safety

    The Difference Engine: Safety first

    Feb 4th 2011, 16:49 by N.V. | LOS ANGELES

    IT IS remarkable how risk-conscious people have become, especially on the road. Sure, some motoring maniacs will always push their luck, causing mayhem for themselves and others—and everyone makes mistakes from time to time, gets distracted, becomes impatient and is, perhaps, not as mindful of other road users as he ought to be. Nevertheless, the statistics for traffic accidents, at least in developed parts of the world, reveal a heartening downward trend.

    In the United States, for instance, the latest figures from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) show that 33,808 people died on American roads in 2009—the lowest level since 1950. That is still way too many personal tragedies. Even so, it represents a 9.7% decline from the figure in 2008, which was itself 9.7% lower than 2007's. The absolute number of fatalities may grab the headlines, but the more relevant statistic—the fatality rate per 100m vehicle-miles travelled—has also been inching steadily down over the past half century. In 2009, the American rate had fallen to 1.13 deaths per 100m vehicle-miles. Only Britain, Denmark, Japan, The Netherlands and Sweden fared better. For that, traffic authorities everywhere can thank the wholesale introduction of safety-belts and air-bags, as well as tougher drunk-driving laws.

    As could be expected, the recession has played its part in reducing the deathly toll on the road—especially among the most vulnerable group, 16- to 24-year-olds. They have suffered most from unemployment and hence have been exposed to fewer hazards on the road. The worry is that there could be a rebound in fatalities once the recovery gets seriously underway and the young resume their reckless driving habits.

    While horrifying, traffic accidents are far from being mankind’s greatest scourge. Around the world, they account for 1.2m deaths a year, compared with the 35m people who die from non-communicable illnesses such as cardiovascular disease, cancer and diabetes (5.4m of which are caused by smoking alone). According to the World Health Organisation, some 25m people all told have died in road accidents since horseless carriages took to the streets (the first such fatal accident occurred in London in 1896). That is the same as the number of people who have died over the past 30 years from AIDS.

    The irony is that, while the roads are safer than ever, motorists have become more safety conscious. Back in the early 1970s, when your correspondent built a car for himself, he considered its backbone frame—made of pressed-steel sections braced with steel tubing—as state-of-the-art as far as crashworthiness was concerned. With the engine and transmission amidships, the front third of the vehicle was effectively a dedicated crumple zone. Likewise, the rear had strategically placed structural members designed to collapse on impact and mop up excess kinetic energy if shunted from behind. An added virtue was that, being a mere 1,450lb (660kg), the car had very little inertia to overcome relative to most other vehicles on the road, and thus tended to be shovelled down the highway intact when hit from behind (as has happened twice) rather than being crumpled on impact.

    Today, though, he considers his beloved 39-year-old car a death trap, and won’t allow his wife or daughter to drive it or ride with him. The reason is not that he thinks it dangerous to drive. Over the decades he has upgraded—on a machine that was inherently safe to start with—the brakes, the tyres and the suspension, and made the frame torsionally even stiffer. As a result, the vehicle now has far more primary safety (the agility, stability and stopping power needed to avoid accidents) than the vast majority of modern cars.

    The problem is the vehicle’s secondary safety—the ability to save occupants’ lives if the car is, despite all its primary safety, actually involved in a crash. While the car's original seat belts have been replaced with four-point harnesses, it still has no air-bags, nor any side-intrusion protection. Viewed from the side, its occupants sit within a fragile eggshell of fibreglass. Tee-boned at a crossing, they would be instant spam in a can.

  • Emergent systems

    The forum at the end of the universe

    Feb 3rd 2011, 17:49 by G.F. | SEATTLE

    FAR OUT in the uncharted backwaters of the unfashionable end of the Starship Titanic website sat a specious message board with posts by the senior crew of the fictional ship. The site was launched in 1997 to support Douglas Adams's CD-ROM game of the same name, offering enhancements, misleading ideas, technical support and, of course, nonsense. The board provided clues and additional amusement to players and potential players of the game.

    This is not its story.

    Rather, it is the story of the Employee Forum, a thriving hidden society buried deep within the site, where lost travellers wandering down several dead ends inadvertently ended up. And they did not even need to pass a door labeled "Beware of the Leopard" leading to a disused lavatory. But the site's developers ensured the ride was not wholly smooth. As Yoz Grahame recently explained at MetaFilter, in "The Post That Cannot Possibly Go Wrong":

    ...one day, folks got a mail from the intranet admin, "Chris Stevedave", giving folks the link to the intranet and the current password, which was hurriedly followed by a second mail apologising for the accidental mail leakage and urging customers not to click the link, then a third email noting that Chris Stevedave had been demoted to Bilge Emptier Third-Class.

    (Stress and nervous tension are now serious social-networking problems in all parts of the internet. In order not to exacerbate the condition, Babbage will disclose in advance that the Employee Forum is alive and well.)

    Starship Titanic was an epic video game based on a story by Douglas Adams that he was also supposed to turn into a book, but—as is invariably the case with every story involving Mr Adams, deadlines, promises to keep said deadlines, promises following failure to keep promises to keep said deadlines, and so on—he did not. Monty Python's Terry Jones, a collaborator, pulled what is widely regarded as one of the hardest three weeks' work in history to complete the book in time. Mr Adams focused his efforts on the CD-ROM game, and, to a vastly lesser extent, the accompanying website. Commendably, the game's programmers wound up only a lot behind schedule. (The well-loved Mr Adams, who died in 2001, was also incapable of writing an introduction to his own site, either prior to its launch or after, until his sudden demise.)

  • Babbage visits CERN

    Out of the loop

    Feb 2nd 2011, 18:33 by J.P. | MEYRIN

    IT IS easy to equate CERN with the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), the multi-billion dollar device that sits in a 27 km loop underneath the Franco-Swiss country side and has come to symbolise mankind's scientific and technological prowess. But CERN is not just the LHC. There is plenty of unrelated, often quirky physics going on there, sometimes relying on surprisingly frugal methods. Finally, there are the scientists themselves. True, they spend most of their waking hours immersed in work. Yet, despite rumours to the contrary, they are, in fact, human. Below, a series of photographs capturing some of the lesser known aspects of life at Europe's main particle-physics laboratory.

    PS For more in-depth reporting from CERN, read here and here.

  • Crowdsourced lost and found

    Lostandfoundbook

    Feb 2nd 2011, 15:10 by C.L. | NEW YORK

    “TRYING to find the owner of a red Pentax camera I found on the corner of 34th and 7th Ave in NYC. With your help, I hope to find the camera owner and return this camera to him/her.” 

    Adelyn Zhou posted this message on her Facebook page on Thursday, January 27th, minutes after picking up a stray digital device in New York’s garment district. She added a selection of 13 snapshots from the camera, showing a hotel logo (but no name), a room number, the room’s interior, and a bunch of companions. Ms Zhou then tagged the photo album with some of her own friends, hoping someone might recognise something (or, less probably, somebody) that could help identify the owner.

    Barely an hour later, her wall and message box were crammed with comments, suggestions—and the name of the hotel. An enterprising friend had discovered it through a Google map search of the garment district. Three hours on, the camera was back with its rightful owner, a grateful 16-year-old French tourist who was staying at the New Yorker Hotel, a stone's throw away from where the camera had been found. (The tips kept coming for another few days—one amateur sleuth, for instance, accurately identified the hotel by its décor.)

    In 2008, a website called IFoundYourCamera.net was set up in Winnipeg, Canada, with the express purpose of aiding similar searches. Honest finders of lost cameras post photos on the site, along with information on where and when it was found. About 30 cameras have been returned to their owners since the launch of the site, according to Matt Preprost, its founder. That is about 10% of the searches initiated on the site, which now gets thousands of visits each week.

    The idea is noble, and clever, but it needs scale for the true potential of network effects to kick in. So, Ms Zhou plumped instead for Facebook which, with its 500m registered users, is more than just a social network. It is the world's ultimate lost and found.

  • Biofuels

    Off into the wild, green yonder

    Feb 1st 2011, 17:19 by T.P.

    SPOOKED by the spike in oil prices in 2008 and warily eyeing the latest spurt in fuel charges, airlines have noted that the costs of not going green are growing. In particular, they fret about the painful levies on carbon-spouting planes to be imposed under the European Union’s Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). From 2012 all airlines operating in the EU will be expected to cut emissions to 3% below the average annual figure for the period between 2004 and 2006, and by a further 2 percentage points in 2013. Although most emissions allowances up to the cap will be allocated to airlines for free, 15% will have to be acquired in auctions. Any further emissions will require trading in additional permits.

    Little wonder, then, that the queue of carriers hopping on the biofuel bandwagon is growing. Lufthansa, Ryanair and Easyjet are only the latest reported to be seeking a deal with Solena, an American producer of aviation biofuels. At the start of January it emerged that Qantas, the Australian flag carrier, will work with the same company to build a commercial-scale aviation biofuel plant on the outskirts of Sydney. Solena is already building a similar plant in London, which is scheduled to produce around 70m litres (16m gallons) of biofuel a year from 2014. Burning this instead of the equivalent amount of kerosene would reduce BA's carbon emissions by about 2% a year, as much as is produced annually by all flights going in and out of London's (admittedly small) City Airport.

    The reason for Solena's sudden popularity is that by making biofuels from waste, the company has dodged some of the problems that have bedevilled production of crop-based varieties. These include inadequate supplies of biomass to meet even today's demand, and the related worries about how the push for more such crops may encourage land-clearance and lead to rising food prices. To illustrate the point, Greenpeace, an environmental lobby group, calculated that a test flight by Virgin Atlantic in 2008 that powered one engine of a Boeing 747-400 with a 20% biofuel mix of babassu oil and coconut oil used the equivalent of 150,000 coconuts. If all four engines were powered by biofuels alone, 3m coconuts would have been required, leading the group to dismiss the exercise as a “high altitude greenwash”.

    Then there is the long list of exacting technical and commercial specifications aviation biofuels will need to meet. They must pack a lot of energy into a small volume, remain liquid at -50°C, come in chemically identical form all over the world, mix well with existing fuels, and improve, or at least match, those fuels' efficiency. All that without requiring any serious tweaks to existing aircraft.

    One-off tests of “drop-in” biofuels, ie, ones that can be mixed with standard kerosene, have been conducted successfully by airlines, including Qatar Airways, Continental, United, Air New Zealand and Japan Airlines. Lufthansa has gone further. In November 2010 it announced plans to carry out a six-month trial of the longer-term effects of biofuels on aircraft engines. Beginning in April, one engine on an Airbus A321 plying the route between Hamburg and Frankfurt route will run on a 50-50 mix of biofuel and kerosene. 

    Until more such tests have been carried out successfully, the 50-50 mix is all that certifying agencies will permit, so a wholly plant-derived aviation fuel remains a distant prospect. However, now that the ETS and other considerations have registered on the International Air Transport Association's (IATA's) radar, that industrial lobby group reckons biofuels could account for 6% of all aircraft fuel by 2020, reducing carbon emissions by over 4%, or more than 20m tonnes, from current levels.

    The technology does not come cheap. IATA predicts that an investment of $10 billion-15 billion will be needed to reach the 2020 target. The plants in London and Sydney are expected to cost $300m apiece. However, for an industry that is coming to see biofuels as a hedge against tighter environmental regulation, rising fuel costs and damage to reputation, it may be a price worth paying.

  • Babbage visits CERN

    Splitting protons and split personalities

    Feb 1st 2011, 14:08 by J.P. | MEYRIN AND CESSY

    THE main entrance to CERN, Europe's biggest particle-physics laboratory, lies in Meyrin, a quiet suburb of Geneva, just a few hundred yards from Switzerland's border with France. But the campus itself actually bestrides the boundary between the two countries. Now that the Swiss form part of the Schengen passport-free zone, the institute's dual citizenship seems almost trite. Even today, though, the Franco-Swiss nature of the enterprise is in evidence—less so, perhaps, in its spliced geography, no longer exceptional in a united Europe, than in its split personality.

    Take the two biggest experiments sitting on the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), the world's biggest particle accelerator and CERN's fanciest toy, that also straddles the border (see picture for the underground checkpoint). The largest, called ATLAS, lies 100 metres beneath Meyrin. The second biggest, known as CMS is located at the opposite end of the accelerator near the French village of Cessy. In many respects, they are very much alike. Both are global, rather than just European collaborations, each with their own staff (about 3,000 boffins each) and procurement. Both cost roughly SFr550m ($580m) to build and just under SFr20m a year to run. Although both are largely independent of CERN—which contributed less than a fifth of their material costs and so holds little direct sway—they rely on it for the subatomic cannon fodder from the LHC, computing infrastructure and humdrum things like cafeterias, offices, or sports fields.

    As science goes, both are general-purpose detectors designed to spot a broad range of particles. They share the same broad set of goals, too: to find the origin of mass, identify the particle nature of the dark matter whose existence cosmologists infer from gravitational effects in faraway galaxies, and, just maybe, find hints of the extra dimensions posited by string theory, the mathematical framework that attempts to reconcile quantum mechanics (which explains what goes on at the smallest imaginable subatomic scale) with general relativity (which describes the nature of space and time).

    But here the similarities end. The two experiments have, for instance, adopted two different, albeit complementary, technical approaches. ATLAS's plethora of sensors connected to an intricate system of 100m electronic channels contrasts with CMS's reliance on a huge magnet wrapped in layers of steel. At the risk of gross oversimplification—CMS's sensors are, in fact, no less fancy than ATLAS's, though there may be fewer of them—one could draw an analogy with the finicky precision engineering of Swiss stereotype, on the one hand, and France's penchant for the grand, on the other.

    The related traits of Helvetian punctilio and French flamboyance are on even starker display. All visitors to ATLAS, be they staff or otherwise, must run a gauntlet of tiresome security procedures, involving swiping passes, pressing buttons and walking through an air-lock like gate equipped with with weight sensors and retina scanners (though outsiders are thankfully spared interaction with the latter). As your correspondent soon discovered, the slightest misstep means that the mercurial system refuses entry, with the hapless visitor forced to begin anew. All this before donning a hard hat and catching the elevator to the base of the detector.

    Downstairs, a similar operation beckons, only this time it involves a few additional steps. Here, brandishing the swipe pass causes one of five metal receptacles to slide open, revealing a row of eight round slots, some harbouring a cylindrical fob attached to a dangling key. A red light indicates which fob to pluck, and thus which key to insert into a lock above. Turning the key opens the outside door of a gate identical to the one at ground level. Inside, another set of weight sensors (and retina scanners) awaits. Finally, if all goes well, the visitor can proceed to the experimental hall. Getting out involves the reverse process. The point of the exercise is, of course, to ensure that the proton splitting begins only after all personnel have removed themselves from the cavern, which radiation produced in the collisions briefly turns into a health hazard. To ensure everybody is safely out, ATLAS will not run before all 40 keys are back in their slots. (Incidentally, your correspondent had never felt so empowered; for a short while the fate of scientific progress rested, quite literally, in his hands.)

    Things could not be more different at CMS. Although an identical security system is in place at the French site, it was helpfully switched off for the duration of the maintenance break. Guido Tonelli, the CMS spokesman, assures that this was done simply in order to make the most of the short period when the LHC is off line by allowing scientists, engineers and technicians—and your correspondent—relatively unencumbered access to the apparatus. Once the beams start circling again regularly, all the proper checks shall be enforced to the letter.

    All these differences are, of course, most probably down to factors unrelated to the experiments' geographic location. Indeed, they are in all likelihood due to happenstance. But the thought that a host country's national character may rub off on über-rational boffins is an appealing one. Even if it is facetious—and entirely unscientific.

    PS Readers interested in Babbage's more serious observations about CERN may wish to read on, and take a look at the slideshow.

  • Babbage visits CERN

    Collide-o-scope

    Jan 31st 2011, 9:12 by J.P. | MEYRIN AND CESSY

    FROM the street, CERN, Europe's main nuclear-research laboratory straddling the Franco-Swiss border just outside Geneva, differs little from a typical university campus. Buildings, some timeworn, others spanking new, none more than a few storeys tall, are scattered amid a warren of narrow, tree-lined alleys whose names read like a "Who's Who" of particle physics.

    Every boffin to have left a mark on the field seems to be here, beginning with Democritus, one of the first ancient Greek thinkers to argue that all matter is composed of tiny, indivisible particles. This blog's patron managed to secure a spot, too, as did Marie Curie, her daughter Irène Joliot-Curie and Chien-Shiung Wu, the only women on the list of 57. Babbage and his female companions feature on road signs within striking distance of the cafeteria which, around lunchtime, bustles with the usual cross section of the academic milieu, from dreadlocked youths to buttoned-down doyens. Women do remain in the minority, though not to the extent the street directory would imply.

    However, the preponderance of men is not the only hint that this is no ordinary college canteen. For a start, there is a conspicuous, and somewhat disconcerting, absence of lunchtime banter. All discussions seemed to concern the niceties of advanced physics or engineering, and as such drew a blank from your eavesdropping correspondent, despite his undergraduate dalliance with the exact sciences. Even the flat-screen televisions on the walls, rather than offering the typical fare of sports or 24-hour news, continuously roll through status reports for the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), the world's most powerful particle accelerator and CERN's flagship project.

    At the moment all the charts are flatlining as the LHC reaches the end of its annual maintenance. This meant that The Economist was allowed to descend into its innards, off limits to outsiders when the thing is fired up and bunches of protons whiz in opposite directions around a 27 km circular tunnel running 50 to 175 metres beneath the countryside, before colliding at within a whisker of the speed of light. Physicists hope that the ensuing orgy of creative destruction produces fleeting, exotic particles that will help them to understand the nature of reality, no less.

    As goals go, it is hard to sound more grandiose. However, on witnessing the epic scale of the venture, it all suddenly rings far less hollow. At four points along its circumference the LHC tunnel crosses vast experimental halls, each housing arrays of sensors enclosed in a huge horizontal barrel. Standing before the largest of the lot, aptly named ATLAS, one cannot help but gasp in awe. Even Andrew Lankford, the deputy spokesman for the ATLAS collaboration who accompanied your correspondent, confessed to sharing the sentiment. Like most of the 3,000 or so physicists who work on the experiment, he rarely gets the chance actually to behold it. 

    And there is much to behold (see above, and note the figure in an orange hardhat at the bottom of the picture for scale). The device stretches 46 metres long and 25 metres tall, equivalent to an eight-storey building, and weighs 7,000 tonnes. Despite its colossal size, this is a precision instrument fitted with some of the niftiest sensors ever devised by man, connected to 100m separate electronic channels. Directly above it, a wide vertical shaft, impressive in its own right, rises 100 metres to a factory-like facility. As it happens, this is just across the road from the CERN campus. It takes no less than 20 minutes to drive (almost in a straight line and with no traffic to speak of) from there to another industrial-scale plant at the opposite end of the LHC loop—another indication of the project's sheer size. Set in the middle of an otherwise empty field with no other buildings in sight, this is the home of the Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) which, just like ATLAS, rests at the bottom of a shaft around 100 metres below the surface.

    At first blush, there is nothing compact about it (see right). However, Guido Tonelli, the spokesman for the experiment, kindly explained that the name has to do with the fact that though only about half the size of ATLAS, CMS weighs almost twice as much. (Dr Lankford had joked that if ATLAS put out to sea it would float; CMS, meanwhile, would sink like a lead weight.) That is because CMS is built around a huge magnet capable of producing a magnetic field 100,000 times stronger than the Earth's. This permits precise measurements of the momentum of any charged particle emerging from a collision, even highly energetic ones that zip through weaker magnetic fields without the slightest deviation, making them difficult to identify. However, confining the field requires wrapping the magnet in layers of heavy steel which accounts for most of the detector's mind-boggling mass of 12,500 tonnes.

    Dr Tonelli hopes that this design will give CMS the edge it needs to be the first to spot something new and interesting, like a trail left by the elusive Higgs boson, which is thought to give all other known particles their mass, and whose discovery is the LHC's most publicised goal. CERN is at pains to stress that before either CMS or ATLAS can claim victory, any sightings will need to be confirmed by the other. Since even LHC experiments face budgetary constraints, each collaboration had to decide which bits of kit to splurge on and where to scrimp and save. They opted for different trade-offs, and consequently adopted different technical solutions. This ought to lend further credence to any results replicated using the rival detector.

    In effect, this makes ATLAS and CMS mutually indispensable. Still, neither Dr Lankford nor Dr Tonelli makes any attempt to hide the fact that the race is on and both teams are in it to win. Despite lunchtime evidence to the contrary, it seems the sporting spirit is not wholly lost on physicists.

    PS For more on Babbage's sojourn at CERN, read on and take a look at the slideshow.

  • Video games

    Nintendo's magical new 3D toy

    Jan 29th 2011, 14:24 by T.S. | LONDON

    BABBAGE had a chance to play with the new Nintendo 3DS games console yesterday, a hand-held device with a 3D display that does not require the user to wear glasses. Yes, really. The 3DS can perform this "autostereoscopic" miracle because it can be pretty sure where the screen is relative to your head: it will be about 30 centimetres in front of your face, and your nose will be aligned with the screen's centre. Using a filter called a parallax barrier, the display can then direct two slightly different images, in different directions, towards your left and right eyes to create the 3D effect. There's quite a lot of wiggle room: you have to move the device quite far away, or move quite far off the central axis, before the 3D effect is lost.

    It is hard to describe how impressive this is; it just works. You turn on the device and the menus and logos pop out of the screen in bright, vivid 3D. Apple likes to talk about the iPad as a magical product, and there are very few other companies capable of devising gadgets that feel as though they have appeared from the future; but Nintendo has pulled it off with the 3DS. A slider on the side of the screen lets you control the depth of the 3D effect, and even turn it off altogether, which reduces the image to high-resolution 2D. Setting the 3D effect to about half-way seemed to be easiest on the eye. Nintendo advises 3DS users to take a ten-minute break every 30 minutes, which is probably not a bad idea, but its warning is likely to be widely ignored.

    There were only a couple of games to try out, notably "Super Street Fighter IV 3D", a beat-'em-up title, and "Face Raiders", a bizarre augmented-reality game that captures faces using the 3DS's built-in camera and then turns them into flying baddies you have to shoot while waving the console around. The 3D effect makes it much easier to distinguish foreground action from background scenery, and should make platform games easier. (There is considerable excitement in this Babbage's household about the 3D remake of "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time", an old Nintendo classic that has been updated for the 3DS.)

    As with Nintendo's previous hand-helds, the 3DS is backwards-compatible with existing games, though they will obviously only work in 2D. But millions of children will want to upgrade, which should help Nintendo fend off a growing challenge in portable gaming from Apple's iPhone and iPod touch devices. (Accordingly, I would not be surprised to see a 3D screen on the iPhone 6, due in 2012, if 3DS sales are strong.)

    But will the 3DS have an impact beyond gaming? Given the popularity of its portable consoles, Nintendo is likely to sell tens of millions of 3DS devices in the next few years (the 3DS will go on sale in February in Japan, and in March elsewhere). It could, in other words, be the device that takes 3D technology, which is still a minority sport despite the best efforts of television manufacturers everywhere, into the consumer mainstream. The 3DS has a built-in 3D camera, too, and will be able to show 3D video content supplied on plug-in cartridges, or streamed over a wireless connection. It makes today's 3D TVs, with their various kinds of glasses, seem clunky.

    The problem is that the autostereoscopic effect is relatively easy to pull off with a hand-held device being used by one person; the same technology is much harder to apply to TVs. There are various ways to make 3D TVs that do not require glasses, but they require viewers to sit in certain positions, or rely on "head tracking" to work out where viewers are and steer images to them accordingly. Autostereoscopic TVs are, in other words, still some way off. If consumers impressed by the 3DS then clamour for TVs that can also perform its glasses-free magic, they may decide to skip today's 3D TVs and wait for autostereoscopic models to arrive, probably after 2015. The 3DS may thus have the curious effect of boosting demand for 3D TVs in the long term, but depressing it in the short term.

  • Demonstrations

    Sukey take it off again

    Jan 28th 2011, 12:43 by T.C. | LONDON

    "KETTLING" is a term used in Britain to describe the confinement by the police of demonstrators in a small area. Once trapped, the demonstrators are kept there until they're too cold, hungry and tired to carry on with their protest. The technique has been in use for over a decade, but it hit the news most recently when the police used it against university and secondary-school students complaining about government plans to triple university-tuition fees. Supporters of the tactic say it is necessary to prevent the sort of vandalism and violence seen on November 10th, when protestors managed to trash the Conservative Party's headquarters at Millbank. Opponents say it amounts to a repression of the legitimate right to protest.

    Given that most protestors won't march into an obvious trap, the success of the tactic depends on an information imbalance between the police and the protestors. Police commanders have a birds-eye view of the situation, allowing them to funnel protestors down particular streets and then close them off before the marchers can react. At another protest on December 9th a few enterprising techies created a Google map of central London that could be updated in real time to show marchers the positions of the police and thus help them avoid getting trapped.

    Now a group of students from Univesity College London have taken that idea and turned it into a fully-fledged web app called Sukey (for readers perplexed by the name, remember that the phenomenon is called "kettling", and if you still don't get it, Google a nursery rhyme called "Polly, put the kettle on"). The app runs in the web browser of modern smartphones, and the idea is to allow users to update a map of the protest route in real time, showing the location of policemen, trouble spots and any streets that have been blocked off. Demonstrators can also send and receive updates via text messages.

    The project's website says that the primary purpose of the app is to keep peaceful protesters safe, which I'm sure is part of the motivation behind it, but it also looks like a great way for marchers to outwit the police. The app will go live on January 29th, when another round of protests against the new tuition fees is planned. The police are, presumably, aware of Sukey's existence. For those worried about using it, the developers insist that they have built in enough security to enable users to remain anonymous. It is possible that the police may try to subvert the app by feeding it false information. It will be interesting to see whether they can make kettling work this time around, or whether they try an entirely different tactic altogether.

  • Internet architecture

    The Difference Engine: No more addresses

    Jan 28th 2011, 10:54 by N.V. | LOS ANGELES

    REMEMBER the panic over the “millennium bug”, when computers everywhere were expected to go haywire on January 1st 2000, thanks to the way a lot of old software used just two digits to represent the year instead of four? Doomsters predicted all sorts of errors in calculations involving dates when the clocks rolled over from 99 to 00. In the event, the millennium dawned without incident. That may have been because of the draconian preparations undertaken beforehand. Or perhaps, as many suspected, the problem was grossly exaggerated in the first place. Certainly, the computer industry made a packet out of all the panic-buying of new hardware and software in the months leading up to the new millennium.

    Well, something similar is about to happen in the months ahead. This time, the issue concerns the exhaustion of internet addresses—those four numbers ranging from 0 to 255 separated by dots that uniquely identify every device attached to the internet. According to Hurricane Electric, an internet backbone and services provider based in Fremont, California, the internet will run out of bulk IP addresses sometime next week—given the rate addresses are currently being gobbled up.

    The Internet Assigned Numbers Authority (IANA) will then have doled out all its so-called "slash-eight" blocks of addresses to the five regional internet registries around the world. In turn, the registries are expected to have allocated all their remaining addresses to local network operators by October at the latest. After that, any organisation applying for new addresses will be told, sorry, none left.

    The issue is real and has been a long time in the making. The Economist first warned about it ten years ago (see "Upgrading the internet", March 22nd 2001). The problem concerns the address space of the existing version of the internet protocol (IPv4), which is only 32 bits wide. The total number of binary addresses possible with such an arrangement is therefore two raised to the power 32—or roughly 4.3 billion in decimal terms. Back in the 1980s, when the internet connected just a couple of dozen research institutes in America, that seemed like a huge number. Besides, the internet was thought at the time to be just a temporary network anyway.

    But with the invention of the web in 1990 came an explosion in popular demand. It was soon clear that it was only a matter of time before the internet would exhaust its supply of addresses. Work on a replacement for IPv4 began in the early 1990s, with IPv6 finally being made available around 1998 (IPv5 was an experimental protocol for streaming audio and video that has since ceased to exist). By giving the new internet version an address space of 128 bits, the designers pretty well guaranteed that it would not run out of unique identifiers for decades, or even centuries, to come.

    Two raised to the 128th power is an astronomical number. In decimal terms, it is roughly 340 billion billion billion billion—or, as Martin Levy of Hurricane Electric likes to say, “more than four quadrillion addresses for every star in the observable universe.”

    That will come in handy when the "internet of things" becomes a reality (see “Chattering objects”, August 13th 2010). Already, some two billion people have access to the internet. Add all the televisions, phones, cars and household appliances that are currently being given internet access—plus, eventually, every book, pill case and item of inventory as well—and a world or two of addresses could easily be accounted for.

  • Serviceable hardware

    Fiddly bits

    Jan 25th 2011, 10:13 by G.F. | SEATTLE

    THE least news from or about Apple ricochets around the twitterverse and blogosphere in seconds. The ne plus ultra of tiny bits was Thursday's bombshell that the firm has changed the type of screw it uses to secure its iPhone 4 case, followed by endless double entendres. iFixIt breathlessly announced the swapout using terms typically reserved for fiery sermons. iFixIt happens to sell a $10 screwdriver for this new screw style, along with replacement parts and tool kits that allow ordinary people to repair iPhones and other Apple products. The firm also provides free online illustrated instructions and videos.

    In the past, Apple used a standard Phillips-head (cross-shaped) screw. The new screw has five scalloped indentations. iFixIt says Apple calls it a "pentalobular" head, apparently, in internal repair documents. iFixIt says that Apple is not only using this obscure style for new iPhone 4 shipments, but also that employees in Apple Stores who disassemble iPhones for repair replace the Phillips-head screws with pentalobes. However, it is not difficult to remove such screws. Commenters on items that blossomed across the internet about the villainous pentalobe—surely, one of Superman's foes—note that other styles of screwdriver can also unlock the mysteries within the mobile phone. It is not unusual for a computer maker to use unusual screws. Torx, a six-pointed pattern harder to strip at tiny sizes than a Phillips, was once the style of choice.

    iFixIt posits Apple's motivation for the change thus:

    This screw head clearly has one purpose: to keep you out. Otherwise, Apple would use it throughout each device. Instead, they only use it at the bulwark—on the outside case of your iPhone and MacBook Air, and protecting the battery on the Pro—so they can keep you out of your own hardware.

    This is accurate, if incomplete. Apple has two complementary goals, the first of which the company would probably deny if it had not declined to comment on screws to Babbage. Setting the bar to disassembly higher allows Apple to make money from battery replacements. But a parallel goal is clearly to keep users from being their own worst enemies by tinkering destructively. In either case, Apple is not preventing repair. It merely discourages it, and iFixIt has already leapt over that hurdle.

    Apple makes a good living selling battery replacements, and that is hardly a secret. The firm's MacBook Air and MacBook Pro unibody models, as well as all iOS devices, lack batteries designed to be removed by purchasers. Apple says that to increase the amount of charge a battery can hold, its design is not amenable to the kind of compromises needed to allow cells to be swapped easily. Fair enough. But that is not the whole story. Apple's iPhone 4 battery is designed to handle 400 full power cycles before its capacity diminishes to 80% of the original. For those who exhaust their iPhone battery across a normal working day, that is not much more than a year of typical usage. Given that an iPhone may last for years, the mobile battery will almost certainly need to be replaced.

  • Science in Singapore

    Hailing in the rain

    Jan 24th 2011, 14:34 by J.P. | SINGAPORE

    BESIDES getting stuck in traffic, taxi punters in Singapore face another perennial problem. The unebbing flow of cabs coursing up and down the city's streets seems miraculously to dry up the moment it starts to rain. After all, there is nothing like a tropical downpour to make one favour a cab over other modes of public transport, many of which involve getting thoroughly drenched. Since sudden showers in the tropics are often confined to small isolated areas, they lead to a momentary mismatch between supply of taxis and demand for them in affected parts of the island. 

    Having lived in Singapore as a teenager, this Babbage is all too familiar with the predicament. So, it turns out, is Kristian Kloeckl of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). A frequent customer of Singaporean cabbies over the past six months, Dr Kloeckl was led to wonder whether taxi positioning data could be combined with accurate short-term weather forecasts (for the next 20-30 minutes) to dispatch more cabs to areas where demand is likely to spike.

    This is but one of a clutch of clever ideas devised by him and his colleagues from MIT’s SENSEable city lab as part of a project called LIVE Singapore! As with all the lab’s ventures, the idea is to collect, crunch and present in real time data about a city so that its inhabitants (and its authorities) can use them to inform everyday decisions and make urban life less of a chore. The team presented a progress report at the Future Urban Mobility workshop held at the National University of Singapore on January 12th and 13th. 

    The data the researchers have been looking at come from the myriad sensors which pervade modern metropolises, including those found in taxis and weather stations, as well as buses, trains, shipping containers, drainage canals and electricity grids. And people, whose mobile devices constantly log into base stations leaving trails of digital footprints.

    However, channelling all these disparate torrents into a single reservoir, so that they can be mixed and matched in novel ways, is harder than it sounds. First, different sensors tend to spew out information in different, mutually incomprehensible formats. Despite efforts by the IEEE, a professional body for the electronics industry, a universal data standard remains a distant prospect. So, one challenge for Dr Kloeckl and his team was to figure out a way of translating what they had got from different sources into a common digital vernacular. 

    Another was to create a messaging system to push data from the original sensor further down the line, and ultimately to end users. Available messaging systems, be they proprietary or open-source, tend to come with superfluous bells and whistles. So, a new one had to be devised from scratch with a view to making it as fast as possible at transferring data from one node in the system to another, and ensuring it could be scaled up easily to deal with larger loads as ever more users draw on information from ever more sensors.

    Finally, for all this to be of any use to the smartphone-wielding everyman, someone needs to design perspicuous, user-friendly apps. Here Dr Kloeckl and his team hope that by making the various data streams emerging from the LIVE Singapore! platform available to all and sundry, clever solutions will be developed to a plethora of problems, including many no one even knew existed. Once collated, such new, complex data streams will be fed back into the platform and out to other interested developers. 

    The faith in crowd-sourced innovation has not stopped the SENSEable city boffins from conjuring up several neat examples of their own. For instance, one nifty app shows not just what bus to take to get from one place to another merely by marking points on a map, but also which of the approaching buses that will take you there have any seats left. (This is possible thanks to the swipe-card system used across the Singaporean public-transport network, which requires passengers to tap in when boarding and tap out when alighting in order to charge the correct fare for the distance travelled.) Dr Kloeckl is also trying to bring ComfortDelGro, Singapore’s biggest taxi operator, on board to test a rain-driven cab dispatch system he and his team have been working on.

    Old Singapore hands have pointed out to Babbage that misaligned supply and demand may not be to blame for the taxi drought during a downpour. Rather, it is all down to misaligned incentives. Taxi drivers in Singapore charge S$3.50 ($2.70) booking fee that does not apply to customers who flag them down on the street. When it rains, they allegedly tend to roam around anticipating an offer of the more lucrative job (more likely in such inclement conditions), oblivious to any bedraggled figure hailing haplessly on the side of the road. If the skeptics are right, technological fixes, no matter how ingenious, will prove futile. And both Dr Kloeckl and Babbage will need to steel themselves for more cloudbursts.

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