IRAN: Does Ahmadinejad have Khamenei's OK, or not?
Western observers, including the the Los Angeles Times, jumped on recent comments by Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei that appeared to be a ringing endorsement for firebrand president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as he prepares to compete for a second term next year.
Under the headline "Supreme Leader sees Ahmadinejad for second term in office," the official Islamic Republic News Agency on Monday reported Khamenei's weekend remarks urging the current government to begin acting as if it were going to have another four years in office.
Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani, a rival of Ahmadinejad, suggested he would abide by Khamenei's remarks. But he spoke in a manner that could have been laced with a hint of the sarcastic dissimulation for which Iranians are famous.
"We thank our wise leader who has indicated the boundary for criticism and stressed legal monitoring and emphasized cooperation and understanding among officials to prevent turmoil," Rafsanjani told reporters Tuesday morning on the sidelines of a meeting.
But some Iranian observers said Khamenei's remarks were overplayed in the press. One said Khamenei's comments were meant to encourage officials to work harder and not to slack off during their final year in office. Just like Iraqi politicians like to claim they have the support of revered Ayatollah Ali Sistani, Iranian politicians like to say Khamenei backs them even if he doesn't.
Hassan Rowhani, Iran's former nuclear negotiator, told reporters Tuesday that Khamenei's remarks were misconstrued. "The supreme leader did not mean that this government can extend its term for another four years," he told reporters. "The supreme leader meant the Cabinet should think in terms of long-term plan ... and should not slow down."
Many Ahmadinejad opponents remain optimistic that he's on his way out. Ahmad Zeidabadi, a leading Iranian dissident, rated Ahmadinejad's chances at "zero," primarily because Khamenei no longer favors him.
"Khamenei preferred a more good-looking president with more moderate language," he said.
Ahmadinejad owed his victory in 2005 to hardline Basiji militia supporters "who chose him out of the blue" to oppose the moderate Rafsanjani, who was widely perceived as corrupt, Zeidabadi said.
Plus, "people are not happy with Ahmadinejad. Whoever you ask in the street swears at Ahmadinejad. They hate him."
Still, he said, Ahmadinejad "has won over forces loyal to Khamenei and it is dangerous for the supreme leader if a confrontation comes up. Khamenei never wants to dismiss Ahmadinejad. He is waiting for his term to end."
Indeed, regardless of whether Khamenei is backing the current president or not, some reformists have already announced they will jump into next year's presidential fray. Mehdi Karrubi, for example, is the mid-ranking cleric and former speaker of the Iranian parliament who lost to Ahmadinejad in the first round of 2005 elections. Earlier than usual, he announced that he will run for president next year.
At least two other moderates, former president Mohammad Khatami and Rowhani, who is close to Rafsanjani, are openly musing about making presidential runs.
— Borzou Daragahi in Beirut and Ramin Mostaghim in Tehran
Photo: Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, right, speaks with Syrian President Bashar Assad, center, and Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad during a meeting in Tehran earlier this month.
Credit: Sajad Safari AFP/Getty Images
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Our dear, beloved president is the most handsome president in the world. He is also the most wise. Handsome and wise this is our president. We believe you are all jealous how good looking he is.
Posted by: Nejat | September 01, 2008 at 10:30 AM
You are right. Iran's leader has a history of supporting every president. Even Ayatollah Khomeini, supported Mr. Bani-Sadr until the last day. Ayatollah Khamenei, also see it necessary to support a government which is in place, he supported Mr. Rafsanjani, then Mr. Khatami and now Mr. Ahmadinejad. The leader think it is the choose of people and should have every support to act.
This is the reality in Iran, maybe many dont like it, but it is real politic in Iran now.
Posted by: dario | August 29, 2008 at 05:32 AM
This is like asking if Bush supports Cheney! ..Duh!
Posted by: reza | August 27, 2008 at 11:09 AM
The situation inside Iran (as to who is in/out of favor with the ailing Ayatollah Khamenei) is very opaque.
A story today brings a bit of good news.
Iranian cleric blasts Ahmadinejad
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1219572137344&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
Posted by: tanstaafl | August 27, 2008 at 10:26 AM
Political analysis: "Khamenei preferred a more good-looking president with more moderate language,"!
You guys are really hitting the dirt with this kind of analysis and commentary!
BTW is Ahmadijejad uglier that Sarkozy or Brown or even Markel (Let alone Bush who looks like a retarded monkey and cannot make a sentence without 2-3 grammar and pronunciation errors!)?
Posted by: Kiumars | August 27, 2008 at 10:09 AM