Africa

Baobab

  • Two new reports on Sudan and Ethiopia

    A difficult pair

    Nov 5th 2010, 17:44 by C.H.

    JUST as a meeting of east African heads of states was delayed due to difficulties accommodating Omar al-Bashir, Sudan’s pariah president, two new reports have cast still more unfavourable light on the governments of Sudan and Ethiopia. The long-anticipated referendum on independence for southern Sudan, scheduled for January 9th 2011 is the focus of “Race Against Time”, by the Rift Valley Institute, a non-profit research organisation operating in the region. With optimism that the vote would proceed smoothly already waning in the face of overwhelming secessionist sentiment in the south, and equally overwhelming denial of such sentiment in the north, Aly Verjee, the author, goes a step further. Delays and disputes in planning for the vote, and their likely effect on the credibility of the process could, he says, end up reigniting the civil war that had become Africa’s longest when it ended it 2005, with 2.5m people killed and many more displaced over two decades. 

    With less than ten weeks until the referendum, the report argues that “the self-determination process is in peril.” Disputes over voter eligibility, registration and border demarcation between the two main political forces—the Sudan Peoples’ Liberation Movement (SPLM) in the south and the National Congress Party (NCP) in the north—mean the likelihood of the vote taking place on time within the agreed laws is small. Yet postponement would be dangerous: the SPLM fiercely opposes any deferral, interpreting (probably correctly) the NCP’s stalling as an attempt to derail the process, or to cast doubt on the credibility of the predicted outcome—that the south will vote to secede.

    Unpromising terrain to make recommendations from, but the institute does so nonetheless, calling for a new deal between the SPLM and the NCP that recognises that it is too late to hold the vote in strict accordance with the laws, and that parks some issues—such as physical border demarcation—until later. The referendum commission needs to act “with unprecedented speed” in order to overcome the logistical hurdles to hold a vote.

    How likely is this? It would assume goodwill on both sides. But the report also points out that “lessons need to be learned” from the conduct of the presidential election in April. The SPLM may smile wryly at the NCP’s pledge that they will accept the referendum result only on the basis of a “free and fair” process. The institute is forthright about the scale of the task ahead but is motivated most of all by a need to focus minds, within Sudan and without, on what is at stake. “At this final stage, brinkmanship, delay and broken agreements…threaten to turn the political and technical challenges into a national disaster. Only concerted international attention and skilful diplomacy can bring the process of self-determination in Sudan to a successful conclusion.”

    With Sudan, international expectations have long been low. A report on Ethiopia, from New-York based Human Rights Watch (HRW), indicates how far a country’s halo can slip. Once upon a time, the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) led by Meles Zenawi, the prime minister, was hailed as part of a new democratic dawn in Africa. The country became an “aid darling” for the West. Yet today, after suppression of opposition following the election in 2005 and a rigged poll earlier this year, life in Ethiopia is more akin to the days of the “Derg” regime, overthrown by the EPRDF in 1991.

    Ethiopia, desperately poor, remains one of the largest recipients of foreign development aid—some $3 billion annually. HRW argues that the aid has become subject to “political capture”, with the doling out of donor funds at local level used “to control the population, punish dissent, and undermine political opponents—both real and perceived.” HRW reached its findings after a six-month investigation in the second half of 2009, which ended with Ben Rawlence, its researcher, being deported.

    The Ethiopian population, says HRW, “pays a heavy approach for this approach to development.” But its ire is focused on the donors as well as the Ethiopian government. Speaking in London at the report’s launch, Mr Rawlence pointed out that development agencies—such as Britain’s DFID—recognised the harm the government’s actions caused, but turned a blind eye, because of policy that governments themselves “own” aid policy. Monitoring mechanisms which focus on fiscal controls simply did not detect the politicisation of aid.

    Such a situation poses a familiar dilemma for donors: aid is often misused, but stopping aid harms people in recipient countries. HRW is not calling for this. Instead, it calls on donors to acknowledge the politicisation of aid “across the board” in Ethiopia and to work together in bringing pressure on Ethiopia’s government when the current country assistance strategy expires in 2011. Easier said than done perhaps, but very necessary, especially if donors are to adhere to their own belief that “aid is most effective when defined by accountability and transparency.” Ethiopia, says HRW, is “a case study of contradiction in aid policy.”

  • The IMF's predictions for Africa

    Cautious optimism

    Nov 5th 2010, 16:22 by J.L. | NAIROBI

    THE IMF's most recent report on sub-Saharan Africa is cautiously optimistic. It predicts that the region's GDP will grow by 5% in 2011. Even better, a good part of this will be driven by medium-sized companies in non-petroleum economies. The IMF praises African governments for their "sound economic policy". African central banks, the Fund says, are handling currency fluctuations, budgeting and inflation better than ever. "The overall picture [for sub-Saharan Africa] is one of resilience in the face of one of the most wrenching periods for the global economy."

    True, but the report underplays the extent to which Africa was protected from the global financial crisis simply by not being a part of it in the first place, a kind of security by redundancy. The region hardest hit by the downturn was southern Africa, which also happens to be the bit of the continent most integrated into the global economy.

    Africa is entering into a treacherous period. The opportunities of increased trade are obvious, particularly when that trade is within Africa, but so are the political risks of failing to meet the Millennium Development Goals, ruining the land on which smallholders depend, and failing to employ more than a fraction of the young people flooding the job market. The IMF hints at what is already clear to many observers of a less diplomatic bent: sub-Saharan Africa will have to pass through a bottleneck around the year 2020, when the demographic, environmental and political pressures will be at their most crushing. If it can get through that, it should do fine. For now however, the IMF adds to the general bullish mood: there is money to be made in Africa, and more transparently than ever before.

  • A Congolese festival

    Hope amid chaos

    Nov 4th 2010, 12:23 by J.D | GOMA

    ON A basketball court in Goma, in eastern Congo, six groups of boys battle it out for the title of the city’s best dance troupe for 2010. The competition is as fierce as the heat. Twisting and spinning on their heads on the baking concrete, the breakdancers vie to show off their skills. As the electricity cuts out and the music is silenced, the competition stalls and everyone gets twitchy. But the power comes back on, the beat thuds around the court again, and battle resumes.

    This is the climax of the annual Skiff arts festival, now in its fifth year, run by Yolé Africa, a cultural centre in Goma, along with Alkebu Film Productions. In the course of ten days, over 12,000 people flock to film-making classes, to see film-screenings and dances and to hear singing and poetry. Congo is a byword for chaos, corruption and rape. Petna Ndaliko, the centre’s co-founder, says the festival is a rare chance to show it in a happier light. 

    Throughout the rest of the year Yolé Africa, which was set up in 2002 after a similar venture in Kampala, capital of neighbouring Uganda, offers all kinds of classes, films, music sessions and discussions. “There’s nothing else for young people here,” explains Mr Ndaliko. “They need a space to dream in a different way.” For nearly two decades, Goma has been brutally buffeted in the swirling chaos of eastern Congo and genocide-afflicted Rwanda, just across the border to the east.

    Mr Ndaliko has dreams of his own. He wants to build a proper cinema at his centre. The films he shows are in the open air, subject to the vagaries of Goma’s weather. He wants more girls to join his set-up: boys far outnumber them. But parents worry about tarnishing their daughters’ reputations and marriage prospects, he says, if they spend too much time with boys. He hopes that a permanent choir he is trying to form will prove satisfactorily innocent and encourage girls to join. Swaying in the yard outside Yolé Africa’s building, four girls sing in harmony, their voices ascending into the air.

  • An election in the Cote d'Ivoire

    Can they put it together again?

    Nov 4th 2010, 11:43 by The Economist online | ABIDJAN

    MANY in Côte d’Ivoire had begun to doubt that another election would ever happen. But after half a dozen delays and more than five years of wrangling, the country held a presidential poll on October 31st. The peaceful vote and huge turnout, as high as 80% by some estimates, showed how keen Ivorians are to make up for a lost decade of political and military deadlock. But there is a long way to go before the country—divided between north and south since 2002 after a short, brutal civil war—can be fully reunited, let alone recover its lost reputation. Côte d’Ivoire was once West Africa’s jewel, with political stability and cocoa-fuelled growth that were the envy of the continent.

    Neither the incumbent president, Laurent Gbagbo, nor his chief challenger, Alassane Outtara, a former prime minister and IMF man, achieved an outright first-round win. A former president, Henri Konan Bedie, in third place, seems to have been knocked out of the running. The hope is that the country will stay calm for a run-off and thereafter. Mr Gbagbo’s cheerleaders, known as the Young Patriots, have a record of taking over the streets when thwarted. Thousands of French citizens fled when rioters targeted them after a disputed poll in 2004. The next few weeks will be tense.

    The thorny question of nationality is still at the heart of the matter. In the boom years Ivorians welcomed peasants from neighbouring countries to work the land. But when jobs dried up, so did the hospitality. Mr Ouattara, a northerner, was ruled out of a previous poll on the ground that he was not Ivorian. The rebels who then seized the north said they did so because they were being made to feel second-class citizens.

    This time round, all sides have so far played by the rules and resisted making the sort of ethnic diatribes that helped spark violence before. In a second round they may be less restrained. Just over 9,000 UN peacekeepers are keeping watch. But with so much at stake, will either side accept defeat?

    Mr Ouattara will hope to count on the support of Mr Bedie in the run-off, as the pair are part of a coalition formed to stand up to Mr Gbagbo, who has run the country unelected for the past five years. If this coalition holds, Mr Gbagbo could be defeated. But the ageing Mr Bedie’s supporters cannot be guaranteed to switch their support to Mr Ouattara.

    A peaceful election is vital if the Ivorian economy is to take off again—or if the country is to reunite. Though it is still the world’s biggest cocoa producer, the number of beans flowing out of its farms is dipping because of a lack of investment and reform. And the military roadblocks that keep the two parts of the country apart cost businesses hundreds of millions of dollars a year. Whoever wins faces a daunting task, even if peace prevails.

  • South Africa

    Rev up the engine

    Oct 29th 2010, 9:57 by The Economist online | JOHANNESBURG

    PRESIDENT Jacob Zuma’s government announced a “new growth path” this week, with the aim of creating 5m jobs over the next ten years. Since the official unemployment rate stands at over 25%—and at almost 37% if those too discouraged to go on looking for a job are included—this should indeed be a priority.

    Sadly, however, there is not much new in the government’s plan. It amounts to little more than a long list of worthy suggestions (less corruption, more efficiency, greater cooperation with unions and so on). If conditions were right this might do it. But they are not.

    Since the African National Congress (ANC) came to power in 1994, growth has averaged 3.2%, not fast enough to make a dent in the high unemployment rate. In the four years up to 2008, when the global financial crisis struck, South Africa did achieve growth of more than 5% on average. But since then it has slipped into its first recession in 17 years. Last year the economy shrank by 1.8%. It has since picked up again. In his mid-term budget speech on October 27th Pravin Gordhan, the finance minister, said he expected GDP to expand by 3% this year, up from his 2.3% forecast in February, rising to 4.4% by 2013.

    The ANC says it hopes to cut unemployment to 15% over the coming decade. It will be lucky to reach 20%. Mr Gordhan, the finance minister, recently estimated that it would require economic growth of 7% a year for the next 20-30 years to make significant inroads into the ranks of the unemployed. In his mid-term budget speech, he lowered that estimated to 6% a year. That level of sustained growth has not been seen since the mid-1960s, and looks unlikely to return now.

  • Mulatu Astatke and Ethiopian jazz

    Mulatu Astatke, the father of Ethiopian jazz

    Oct 22nd 2010, 16:06 by G.M. | LONDON

    ONSTAGE 68-year-old Mulatu Astatke is as subtle and understated as the Ethiopian jazz he created. The music, a hybrid of traditional Ethiopian music and jazz, is subdued, somewhat melancholy, and at times psychedelic. Mr Astatke, the originator and composer of songs in this canon, plays his principal instrument, the vibraphone, with a light touch. Between songs, there is no small talk. He thanks the crowd, and coolly introduces the next number.

    Mr Astatke has completed a Radcliffe Institute Fellowship at Harvard and been an artist-in-residence at MIT in recent years. But the seeds of his “Ethio-jazz” were planted in the 1950s and 1960s when he studied classical and jazz composition in Britain and America and honed his techniques while at Berklee College of Music, where he was the first African student. On visits to New York he hung out with jazz musicians such as John Coltrane and performed with the Duke Ellington orchestra in Ethiopia in the 1970s.

    Mr Astatke’s name resurfaced in 2005, when his compositions appeared in the soundtrack of Jim Jarmusch’s film Broken Flowers. A busy time of performing, recording, teaching, and composing has since followed. 

    Mr Astatke is doing a world tour at the moment and Baobab spoke to him on his London stop when he performed at the Barbican Centre with the London-based group, The Heliocentrics.

    Baobab: While at Berklee in the late 1950s and early 1960s, you started to combine what you were learning about jazz theory with the Ethiopian music you had grown up with. How did that happen?

    Mulatu Astatke: My experiences in Boston and New York opened my eyes. I became a student of jazz composition and learnt how the music comes together. It helped me quite a lot, and helped me to find Ethio-jazz. There were so many great musicians at that time, and I lined up with everyone else to watch them. I met John Coltrane, I saw Bud Powell. Now I see people lining up to see me in Paris and Berlin. That's so beautiful to me. I’ve been very lucky.

    Baobab: Since then you seem to have focused on fusing traditional Ethiopian music with jazz and worked hard to develop a distinct voice and style. Is that fair?

    MA: Fusion and contribution, that’s my thing. There have been tribes in Ethiopia for centuries. Then we see Charlie Parker and the music he’s playing using diminished chords. I always say that Africa gave to jazz its whole feeling and conception. Not only the drums, but the science. Musicians are like scientists, just with different chemicals. There’s no difference between science and music, we just deal with sound. We are scientists of sound.

    Baobab: Ethio-jazz has a melancholy sound to it. Why is that?

    MA: We play five against twelve. This is a pentatonic scale that has been fused with a 12-tone progression. My thing was to combine these two without losing our character. The five is floating on top. You see this in Asia, in Japan, in Algeria. We have four different modes, and three modes for church music. It’s very beautiful. It’s all in how you approach the scales and the notes.

    Baobab: You’ve opened a jazz village in Addis to train young Ethiopian musicians. What are your goals for the centre?

    MA: It’s an information centre. We host jazz concerts and Ethiopian plays, and teach Ethio-jazz. We want to promote music to young pupils who have talent but who have never had a chance. We’re teaching the science of music—arranging, composing. I tell my students, learn the science of music first, don’t just jump in too quick. There is a line you have to follow. 

    Baobab: What kind of music are your students interested in?

    MA: Lots want to study Ethio-jazz, but many like dancehall, reggae and hip hop—music with more dancing and jumping. There are few outlets for classical and jazz. There are more and more guitar and bass players now because all they see on television is people with guitars jumping up and down.

    Baobab: Your music was featured in the soundtrack for Jim Jarmusch’s 2005 film Broken Flowers. How did that collaboration come together?

    MA: I was playing in New York and I was told he was coming to the show. I didn't know who he was but said to invite him anyway. He said he had been looking for the right music for his film for six years, and he thought my music was it. I said "no problem". Six months later he called, and that was it. And people have loved it.

    Baobab: In what other ways has your music reached a wider audience?

    MA: I’ve been sampled by hip-hop artists like Naz and now the Somali rapper K’Naan. Man, it’s exploding, I tell you.

    Baobab: You recently composed a score for an Ethiopian film called “Lalumbe.” How did you approach the project?

    MA: The film is a love story about people from the Hamer tribe in the south of Ethiopia. This was the first time I've worked with their tribal music and culture—hey hold drums on their back and jump and clap. I used different instruments and dancers to create beautiful fusion music for the film.

    Baobab: You’re also working on an opera. How is it shaping up?

    MA: I’m still working on it. The composition includes excerpts from Ethiopian hymns for Lent. The opera will include choirs, strings, trombones, and an ancient Ethiopian conducting stick. I hope to perform it in a church in Lalibela in North Ethiopia that is carved from a single stone and also in Europe. I decided to work on this project while I was at Harvard. It will be a big challenge for me but I want to see what people will say.

    Baobab: Do you think that the music you’ve created over the years is revolutionary?

    MA: It’s a cultural revolution. Why not give the world something different?. As long as you can play your own music and combine it with something else, you will have no problems. But it is a challenge, a beautiful and great challenge.

  • Print edition

    Nigeria's electricity crisis

    Oct 22nd 2010, 15:17 by J.D. | LONDON

    IN THE print edition this week we look at Goodluck Jonathan's plans for Nigeria's faltering electricity industry. Mr Jonathan is launching Africa's most ambitious privatisation scheme just months before a tight election in January in which he is standing. We also write about Ethiopia's ever-closer relationship with China and a big corruption case in South Africa. In the books and arts section, we review two new books on the battered yet resilient Zimbabwe.

  • UNESCO's dictator prize

    Reputation mismanagement

    Oct 21st 2010, 16:59 by A.R.

    WHICHEVER bright public-relations firm advised the unappealing president of Equatorial Guinea that he could spruce up his international image by throwing $3m the way of a UN agency must now be licking his wounds. Obiang Nguema, the despotic president of the tiny (but oil rich) African nation since 1979, is best known for the nastiness of his rule (especially in his prisons), the clumsy way he rigs election results (typically claiming the support of nearly 99% of voters) and the breathtaking corruption which sees the ruling family syphoning off a large share of government cash for its own ends. After achieving some notoriety in 2004, when posh British mercenaries bungled a coup attempt against him (the Wonga coup), Mr Obiang set about trying to improve his image. The latest wheeze was to offer cash to UNESCO, the UN agency responsible for education, to set up and name a science prize after him. Instead of refusing point blank to help a dictator launder his dirty image, UNESCO's board and staff disgracefully considered accepting. Only after months of campaigning by activists, journalists and eminent Africans, such as Desmond Tutu, did the UN this week finally agree to drop its plans to collaborate with the despot.

    The result of all this? UNESCO's not very high stock (based in Paris, it is widely seen as one of the least effective of all UN agencies, which is saying something) has fallen further—its director-general missed a chance to take a principled stand and to burnish her credentials as a fresh force at the institution. Months of negative press coverage of Mr Nguema have done him no favours either. Instead questions are asked about where the millions would come from: his own pockets (in which case, how did they come to be so stuffed?) or from state coffers. Either way looks bad. Not good PR for anyone.

    Read our leader on the proposed prize.

  • Africa's cities

    The new African jungle

    Oct 20th 2010, 13:46 by J.L. | LUSHOTO

     

    SITTING in an old planters house high up on the Usambara mountains in Tanzania the air is chill, the cows have Swabian cowbells from the German colonial period, and Catholic nuns compete with the Lutherans in production of jams, cheeses, yoghurts, and sides of gammon. It is not an idyll. On the contrary, life here is for many closer to purgatory, the trees hacked down, the soil ravaged, and the spirit of many of the young men broken. That story is coming, but for me, mzungu, visitor, it is quiet, pastoral, a place to read and think bigger Baobab thoughts.

    In this regard, I was recently sent the latest edition of the remarkably nourishing Lapham's Quarterly. This one is all about the city, with essays, thoughts, and illustrations on the city over the ages. It gets me thinking about a favourite subject of mine: African cities. There is not much written on the tropical black cities that lie between South Africa and Egypt. They are painfully hard, shiny, to me sometimes like bubonic swellings about to burst, yet at the same time post-modern, vital—cities of gold, of new ideas.

    One exception to the general dearth of thinking on the African city which I read recently is Cities of Change. This is a masterful architectural study of the Ethiopian capital, Addis Ababa, with wider application. The book was authored by Marc Angelil and Dirk Hebel, two professors at ETH in Zurich. As a technical university ETH is these days almost on a par with MIT and deserves be singled out for the intelligence and generosity with which it is approaching the question of future cities in poor countries.

    Still, no matter that I am taken with architecture, civic space, proportions, and so on, my interest is in the political risk presented by malfunctioning cities. Here Lapham's Quarterly gives reasons to be depressed. Africa is historically ill-equipped to build great cities—there are no reference points. The African city is simply happening, a causality without thought, without planning, without ambition. Consider, those of us who live in Africa, this entry from Sir Christopher Wren, the English architect, in 1708 . Wren is arguing for burial grounds to be removed from the city to the outskirts:

    "It will be inquired, Where then shall be the burials? I answer, in cemeteries seated in the outskirts of the town. A piece of ground of two acres in the fields will be purchased for much less than two roads among the buildings; this being enclosed with a strong brick wall and having a walk round and two crosswalks decently planted with yew trees... In these places beautiful monuments may be erected, but yet the dimensions should regulated by an architect and not left to the fancy of every mason—for thus the rich, with large marble tombs would shoulder out the poor."

    Wren goes on to argue that such cemeteries would have the purpose not just of the repose of the dead, but also bounding "the excessive growth of the city with a graceful border, which is now encircled with scavenger's dung stalls."

    Three centuries on, the appalling truth is that the aid industry, as well as the Washington and Brussels masters of benevolences, and not least African governments themselves, have focused on what is static, and ignored that which is shifting and dynamic. The countryside dominates, and the city is an afterthought. But this is not what economic history tells us. Give voice to a Wren, and the African city will lift up the villages. Remain heedless, and the failing cities will wreck everything else.

    This evening, under my mosquito net, I am struck by the writing of Oswald Spengler, a German, who in 1917 wrote "The Decline of the West": "I see, long after the year 2000, cities laid out for ten to twenty million inhabitants, spread over enormous areas of countryside, with buildings that will dwarf the biggest of today's and notions of traffic and communications that we should regard as fantastic to the point of madness."

    That holds true for Tokyo, not Kinshasa. The African city would be all too recognisable to Spengler, to Dickens and Balzac for that matter, as earthen streets of hope, workhouses, and detritus. According to Spengler, the city marks the end of "organic growth" and the beginning of "an inorganic and therefore unrestrained process of agglomerations."

    That makes me think of Lagos, which may be the third largest city on the planet by the end of the decade. By 2020 there will be thirty or forty or more African cities larger than Rome or Berlin. Many of them will be highly unstable. Will they have cemeteries with crosswalks decently planted with trees? I hope so. But equally they may not have public transport, security, or water. What is clearer to me is that African history will be the history of its cities, not its villages or wild areas.

  • Zimbabwe's power-sharing government

    Telling it like it is

    Oct 16th 2010, 17:30 by D.G.| JOHANNESBURG

    JUST last month, a seemingly upbeat Morgan Tsvangirai, Zimbabwe’s prime minister, told a conference of potential investors in South Africa that his country was “no longer a basket case” and was at last “on the road to recovery”. The leader of the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), the former opposition party, conceded that not all was well in his 18-month-old power-sharing arrangement with Robert Mugabe, the president, and the ruling Zanu-PF party. But at least he and his erstwhile sworn enemy were now working together in a transitional government, which had allowed “normalcy” to return. “We are beginning to have hope,” Mr Tsvangirai declared. 
     
    Barely three weeks later, that hope has been dashed. On October 4th the president and prime minister met to discuss the time-table established by the Southern African Development Community (SADC), a 15-member regional club that acts as the guarantor of the power-sharing deal, to implement the pact. Most outstanding issues were due to be resolved by the beginning of September. But almost nothing has been done.

    Moreover, to Mr Tsvangirai’s “utter surprise and disgust”, Mr Mugabe informed him at the meeting that one of the few steps he had taken was in direct violation of both the pact and the constitution: unilaterally naming ten new governors, all from Zanu-PF. Half of them were supposed to have come from the MDC. And the president is required to consult with the prime minister before making senior appointments.

    Mr Tsvangirai said he had previously taken a “leap of faith” in agreeing to work with a man who had abused power for decades, in order to “allow Mugabe to address the mistakes of the past” and to “help him rebuild his legacy”. But he regarded this as one betrayal too many. He cited a litany of Mr Mugabe’s offences, including other “illegal” unilateral appointments for the governor of the central bank, the attorney-general, five senior judges and six ambassadors. The president and his party had been acting “as if they own this country”, he said, and had brought international sanctions on Zimbabwe “through the flagrant abuses of human rights and the economic disaster they inflicted.”

    It is unclear where the disillusioned Mr Tsvangirai will go from here. He talks of a “war” between those who believe in freedom and democracy and those “who seek to maintain and abuse privilege”. He has called on citizens and foreign governments not to recognise the appointments, and asked SADC to intervene “urgently”. Yet he also says he plans to stay in the government and that he is committed to the power-sharing agreement, which is supposed to lead to new “free and fair” elections, possibly in the second half of next year.

    So far, Mr Mugabe’s only response to his prime minister’s outburst has been to call for fresh elections once the power-sharing government’s two-year term comes to an end in February, regardless of whether a new constitution is ready by then. He has swatted away suggestions for continuing the government after further negotiations, arguing that “the things happening are absolutely foolish and absurd”. The 86-year-old president is unlikely to change his dictatorial ways, and SADC is unlikely to be able, or willing, to force him to do so. As Mr Tsvangirai has said, the road ahead will not be easy.

  • This week in print

    South Africa's disappointing foreign policy

    Oct 14th 2010, 20:58 by D.R. | NEW YORK

    DURING apartheid, South Africa was the focus of one of the biggest human-rights campaigns in modern history. In recent years, however, human-rights abuses abroad have seemed of little concern to its leaders. The current issue of The Economist examines why the country has prioritised pragmatism over principle in its foreign policy.

  • Nigeria's music scene

    A celebration of frustration

    Oct 14th 2010, 19:43 by S.A. | LAGOS

    THIS is the week of Felabration, an annual music festival in honour of Fela Kuti, Nigeria’s most famous musician and a scourge of the establishment. Gigs and debates are taking place at the New Afrika Shrine, a huge and sweaty nightclub in Lagos, Nigeria’s mega-city of 15m.

    Kuti was one of the founders in the late 1960s of afrobeat, a fusion of jazz, funk and traditional African rhythms. Over energetic percussion and horn riffs, Kuti railed against Nigeria’s elite, often seen as diverting the country’s vast oil revenues into their own pockets. “Instead of workers, we have officials. Instead of buses, them dey ride motor-car,” he sang in a track called “Authority Stealing”. He also criticised western companies’ roles in such corruption.

    The line-up for today’s Felabration, 13 years after Kuti’s death, includes his sons Femi and Seun. Nneka, a female singer and winner of a Music of Black Origin award, is also taking part. In many ways, Felabration is an exuberant showcase of Nigerian talent. Africa’s most populous country is one of the continent’s leaders in the arts.

    But the festival also shows that, in some ways, little has changed during the country’s 50 years of independence (which was also celebrated this month). The vast gap between rich and poor persists, fuelled by corruption. Much like his father, Seun thus sings in one of his tracks, “We get problems for house, we get problems for school...our leaders no care for us.” Nneka is similarly subversive.

    While most Nigerians live without clean water and reliable electricity, wealthy politicians and businesspeople continue to be accused of foul play. Last week, Cecilia Ibru, the former head of Oceanic Bank, was sentenced to six months in prison for fraud. She has agreed to hand over 190 billion naira ($1.2 billion) worth of assets, including 94 properties around the world.

    Perhaps Kuti still resonates with so many because so little has changed since his heyday—though he was also a fantastic musician. In reality, most Nigerians might say that they have little to f/celebrate.

  • Piracy and Somalia

    On the high seas

    Oct 12th 2010, 16:36 by J.L. | NAIROBI

    EUROPEAN and NATO naval forces together with an assortment of fighting ships from other navies including China, Russia, Indonesia, Phillippines and elsewhere were supposed to disrupt piracy in the Indian Ocean and bring the number of ships being seajacked there under control. That has not happened. According to Ecoterra, a Kenya-based group which tracks Somali piracy, 24 foreign-flagged vessels are presently being held hostage in Somalia with a total of 434 hostages on board. The Europeans do not include Yemeni and Iranian vessels in their count: they say there are 17 foreign-flagged vessels with 369 hostages anchored off Somalia. 

    Like Edward England and the other English pirates who worked the 17th and 18th century pirate round in the Indian Ocean, the Somali pirates operate according to the seasons. The winds are now favourable for increased attacks in the Red Sea. That means many commercial vessels sailing to and from the Suez Canal will have to sail in convoy with navy protection and steer a time-consuming course from Somali territorial waters. 

    Even that is no guarantee of safety. Among the hostages being held at the moment are a British couple, Paul and Rachel Chandler, who were seized from their yacht in Seychellois waters a year ago. The capture last week of a cargo ship in Tanzanian waters underlines the operating range of the pirates. Even distant Mauritius has cautioned sailors that pirates may begin to operate in its waters. An escalation in violence is possible with a decision by Spain apparently to subsidise some of the costs of putting armed guards on Spanish tuna boats operating in the Indian Ocean. Some diplomats in the region are bitter about this. They believe it was the Spaniards propensity to pay ever increasing ransoms to get its Basque and Galician fishermen released that kicked off the piracy industry. Although pirates make sophisticated use of middlemen, agents, lawyers, and publicists, it remains at heart a thuggish and duplicitous business. The pirates holding the Chandlers have reduced their ransom demand to around $1m. Ecoterra says family and friends of the Chandlers have already paid $430,000 to clan elders with no results other than, possibly, better living conditions.   

    It is not just the Spanish fishermen who have been complicating the issue. China has made it difficult for Taiwanese fishing boats to get official recognition. Some of them have cut dubious deals with Somali warlords to fish in Somali waters. One such vessel, the Jih-Chun Sai, was captured in March with 14 crew members; it may have entered Somali waters illegally on earlier voyages. Similarly, several of the Thai fishing boats captured by pirates appear to be ghost vessels with no license to fish tuna in the Indian Ocean. 

    The audacity of the pirates does not help. Ecoterra claims that a 300,000-tonne Marshall Islands-registered oil tanker, the Samho Dream, with 24 crew members, was seized by just three pirates. In other cases, pirates have captured vessels from under the nose of patrolling naval force, gaining control of the ship's bridge in five minutes—ahead of even the fastest naval response. In addition to the welfare of the crews the threat of environmental disaster complicates attempts to rescue oil and chemical tankers. 

    The African Union this week asserted maritime security as a priority for the continent. Since Africa borders some of the world’s busiest shipping lanes, the AU says, the continent needs to develop its navies and landlubbing police to counter the threat posed by piracy. But the experience of dealing with Somali pirates suggests that the answers lie in better security and prospects on land, not in the pitching seas into which few African navies have ventured since independence.

  • Aid in an age of austerity

    Aid and austerity

    Oct 11th 2010, 15:52 by The Economist online

    IN THE print edition this week, we have a piece on the Global Fund, the main multilateral agency dealing with AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria, and the difficulties of extracting money from donors in these austere times. Here on Baobab, we have delved deeper into the issue.

    Before the meeting the Global Fund distributed three hypothetical financing scenarios to show what was at stake. In the first scenario, the fund gets $13 billion, the minimum investment needed for the organisation to tread water. In practical terms, this would result in 4.4m people being on antiretroviral therapy, compared with 2.5m in 2009 (and compared with the current global need, estimated at 15m). The annual distribution of insecticidal nets would reach 110m, saving an estimated 16m life-years. The prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission would reach 610,000 mothers annually compared to 345,000 in 2009. In scenario number two, it gets $17 billion, the minimum to ensure that progress can be maintained. In the final option, it gets $20 billion which would allow faster progress towards achieving the health-related Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).

    When the party was over the Global Fund was left with $11.7 billion in pledges, not even enough to keep treading water. In development, disappointment and cynicism are commonplace. But the fact that the Global Fund could be so under-funded just weeks after the world pledged anew its commitment to the MDGs still comes as a shock. 

    The problem is not that the donors think that the Global Fund is an ineffective health financing mechanism. An independent report by the EU found that aid disbursed through the Global Fund had made a significant contribution to tackling HIV/Aids, tuberculosis, and malaria. Recent research from the Centre for Global Development paints a positive overall picture of the fund. 

    According to a recent study on malaria financing by a research programme in Nairobi, global funding for malaria is already 60% short of the $4.9bn needed to properly control the disease in 2010. Precise funding allocations haven’t been announced but past trends give some clues. The Global Fund has historically allocated 29% of its budget to combat malaria and  so it probably spent about $795m on malaria in 2009—around 40% of global malaria spending. Financing for the Global Fund will be up by roughly 20% from 2008-2010, this will remain far below what it needed to guarantee coverage.

    Multilateral aid makes it hard for individual countries to take credit because it obscures the ultimate source of funding. So some hope that governments may increase their giving rather than giving more to the Global Fund. This is unlikely though so the challenge will be to find more money. According to Professor Bob Snow, one of the authors of the study mentioned, this should include putting pressure on malaria-endemic countries with large domestic incomes—such as Gabon and Equatorial Guinea—to do more to help themselves. “A failure to maintain the momentum will mean money spent so far will have been for nothing” said Mr Snow. Existing treatment levels will be maintained under the minimal Global Fund replenishment but a smaller proportion of the infected will be treated as these diseases continue to spread. 

    There is a sense in the aid community now that efficiency appears to strictly mean “more with less”. Not that aid commitments were on track before the recession. But global debt and widespread belt-tightening are likely to provide convenient excuses. The latest OECD estimates suggest that rich countries will fall short of their promises for 2010 by $20 billion and won't come close to their commitment to provide aid equivalent to 0.7% of GNP. Some countries, such as the Nordic ones and Britain, might but a lot of it could be through clever accounting.

    One encouraging shift in the global development effort is that the donor roster is growing. If aid from the West suffers it will be partially offset by aid from non-traditional sources, such as Brazil, China and other emerging economies—what the development community refers to as “south-south co-operation”. It was estimated that these new donors contributed between 8%-10% of total aid in 2006. But the interventions of this new club of donors tend to focus on infrastructure, agriculture and opening up the extractive industries rather than health.

    Ultimately, African governments will need to cover costs in the health sector. According to Paula Akugizibwe, Advocacy Coordinator for the AIDS and Rights Alliance for Southern Africa, “the colossal funding gap will test the strength of African governments’ rhetorical commitments to the fight against HIV”. Unfortunately, African governments don’t have a great track record with respect to fulfilling promises to their citizens either. Overall, the outlook appears bleak for the global fight against disease.

  • Mine nationalisation in South Africa

    Political minefield

    Oct 5th 2010, 14:06 by D.G. | JOHANNESBURG

    TO THE horror of liberals within South Africa's ruling African National Congress (ANC), the nationalisation of the country’s mines is officially back on the party’s agenda. Pressed by worried investors on his attitude to such a move, President Jacob Zuma has always simply insisted that nationalisation was “not government policy”. But after months of persistent campaigning, the ANC’s powerful Youth League has managed to get the party to agree to a thorough investigation of the whole issue. It will report back to the next party policy conference in 2012.

    Some have interpreted this as meaning that the divisive topic will now be put on the back burner for two years while the study is being carried out. But they did not reckon on Julius Malema, the Youth League’s irrepressible leader, who has made the nationalisation of the mines—which has little to do with youth matters—the clarion call of his movement. He is now threatening to “disrupt” the operations of any mining company that resists nationalisation and to withdraw the league’s backing from ANC leaders who refuse to adopt its stance on the mines when they come up for re-election in 2012.

    Interestingly, the National Union of Mineworkers, the country’s biggest and most influential union, has hit back, claiming that such statements threatened the livelihoods of the 400,000 workers in the mining industry. It refused to be “blackmailed, indoctrinated and manipulated by juveniles”, it said, calling on the ANC “to provide much-needed leadership to rein in its youth wing” so as to prevent “serious damage” being done to the reputation of South Africa’s mining industry. The Youth League has in its turn accused the union of being in cahoots with mine bosses and investors and caring little for the workers’ interests.

    Under the 1955 Freedom Charter, drawn up by the ANC and its supporters at the height of apartheid and still regarded by many as the party’s Bible, “the mineral wealth beneath the soil” was to be “transferred to the ownership of the people as a whole”. Nearly half a century later, a law was passed bringing this into effect. Under it, the state became the “custodian” of all the country’s mineral and petroleum resources, with the power to provide licences to public or private companies wishing to exploit those resources, but for no longer than 30 years. The state retains legal ownership.

    But the Youth League wants to go further and nationalise the means of production as well as the resources in order, it says, to distribute the profits among the people as a whole. But some suspect the league’s sudden passion for nationalisation is more to do with wanting to bail out their black-economic-empowerment buddies in the mining sector, many of whom fell on hard times during the commodity slump in 2008-09. It is even whispered that some youth leaders have accepted money in return for pushing the nationalisation agenda, which the league has hotly denied. But, whatever Mr Malema and his friends say, state ownership of the mines is unlikely to happen any time soon.

    Susan Shabangu, the ANC’s minister of mines, is on record as saying that there would certainly be no nationalisation “in my lifetime”. Last month, Kgalema Motlanthe, South Africa’s deputy president, assured investors in London that the government would resist all nationalisation pressures. Besides, as Trevor Manuel, a former finance minister and now minister of national planning, has pointed out, not only does South Africa’s constitution guarantee property rights, but any such move would be prohibitively expensive. The market value of listed South African mines is about 850 billion rand, more than a third of the country's total GDP. The government had other more pressing priorities, such as education and health, Mr Manuel said.

    Even so, the nationalisation debate is likely to rage on for at least the next two years, scaring away much-needed potential investors.

  • A new book on Nigeria

    My Nigeria

    Oct 5th 2010, 13:40 by O.A. | LONDON

    ON MONDAY night, Baobab enjoyed a glass of wine and a book presentation by Peter Cunliffe-Jones, the former West Africa bureau chief of AFP in Lagos. Mr Cunliffe-Jones has collected his impressions and analysis of Africa's most populous country in a volume entitled "My Nigeria". The same title might have been used by his grandfather who at one stage was the country's acting colonial governor. On the fiftieth anniversary of Nigeria's independence, Mr Cunliffe-Jones tackles questions both essential and obvious: how bad is corruption and what can be done about? Why is average life expectancy still so low (47 years at birth)? Can a state as diverse as Nigeria function well? Should it even exist?

    Mr Cunliffe-Jones's heart is in the anecdotal material, the sideways glances and sly comparisons (he spent some time contemplating last night what Indonesia and Nigeria have in common and why their capital cities feel so much alike). He delights in sharing linguistic quirks. He also enjoyed musing that even in colonial times, what we now like to call civil society was necessary to curb "the natural rascality" of the political class, which he thought applied equally to Westminster MPs expensing their duck ponds and Nigerian party bosses on the take.

    Baobab is off to Nigeria next week so will have good opportunity to see how accurate Mr Cunliffe-Jones's observations still are.

    (The event was organised by the Royal African Society and hosted by the School of Oriental and African Studies)

  • The UN mapping report

    A final draft from the UN

    Oct 4th 2010, 14:45 by J.L. | GILGIL

    A UNITED NATIONS report documenting atrocities in the Democratic Republic of Congo during the 1993-2003 Congo wars is published today. The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Navi Pillay, should be credited with pushing through with the publication after a draft of it was leaked earlier this year. The report charges that Burundi, Uganda and Rwanda were all involved in mass killings in the jungles of eastern Congo. Men were shot in the back, women and girls were raped and then cut up.

    Rwanda rejects the findings. The Rwandan foreign minister, Louise Mushikiwabo, says the report is a "moral and intellectual failure—as well as an insult to history." The Rwandan president, Paul Kagame, earlier this year intimated to Baobab that he found the UN's work selective and unscholarly. Mr Kagame's inner circle—most of them Tutsis who grew up outside of Rwanda—are angry that the UN can pick through the catastrophe of the Congo wars without putting them into context of the 1994 genocide against Tutsis in Rwanda. Uganda is also upset. Its foreign minister, Sam Kutesa, says the report is all rumour, with no proper reporting standards. In fact, the authors detail several hundred incidents, nearly all with several corroborating eyewitness reports.

    The length of time that has elapsed since the killings means there is not much chance a Srebrenica-like mass grave will be found. Besides, the UN needs Rwanda to continue with its deployment of troops to the UN mission in Darfur. Similarly, a withdrawal of Burundian and Ugandan troops from Mogadishu, under an African Union peacekeeping mandate, would see the collapse of the UN-backed Somali transitional government. The report may shame those who killed the innocent, but judicial action and sanctions are unlikely. Then again, the point of the report was never to create a comprehensive history of the Congo wars. It was to give a voice to the dead who have otherwise dissolved without trace in the steaming jungle.

    Related items: "Accusations against Rwanda" (Baobab), "Revisiting the killing fields" (from the print edition)

     

  • Print edition

    Morphine in Africa

    Oct 1st 2010, 14:44 by J.D | LONDON

    IN THE print edition this week we look at morphine in Africa. Ninety percent of the world's morphine is distributed in rich countries but in poor countries it is hard to get hold of. This means that Africans with AIDS, cancer and other diseases get little pain relief. In the business section, we look at Wal-Mart's efforts to expand in Africa after the Arkansas-based "Beast of Bentonville" offered over $4 billion for Massmar, a retailer with 288 stores in 14 countries in sub-Saharan Africa.

  • Millennium Development Goals

    The future of giving to Africa

    Oct 1st 2010, 11:46 by J.L. | NAIROBI and NEW YORK

    JOHN MCARTHUR is the brain behind the brain of Professor Jeffrey Sachs. Mr McArthur heads Millennium Promise, the philanthropic arm that oversees Mr Sachs's oft-praised and much-criticised Millennium Villages. Week in, week out, he tries to persuade companies and rich individuals to underwrite some of the running costs of the villages. There are 80 of them, in 10 countries. Mr Sachs conceived the villages as a  solution to the end of rural poverty in Africa. A $1.5m* disbursement to each village, over five years, in a range of projects, was meant to germinate success in surrounding communities. Many of the villages have been successful, lessons have been learned, but they have not yet been scaled up to a point of significance. 

    Mr McArthur, who is a strategist and academic as well as a fundraiser, represents the pro-aid school of thought, which argues that aid to poor countries has been insufficient and poorly spent. Sceptics say projects like the Millennium Villages hog too much money and dialogue for too little in return. For a typical exchange between the two sides, listen here. Baobab talked to Mr McArthur about aid to Africa and the continent's prospects. 

    Baobab: Tell us about Millennium Promise. What are your ambitions? What have you achieved so far?

    John McArthur: Millennium Promise was established in 2005 as a charity dedicated to helping achieve the Millennium Development Goals. We focus on scalable models that can help the poorest communities escape extreme poverty, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. Our flagship initiative is the Millennium Villages project, which shows how a targeted and integrated set of low-cost practical investments can help tackle the challenges of agriculture, education, health, infrastructure, gender equality and business development. We pursue the project through a partnership with the Earth Institute at Columbia  University and the United Nations Development Program. Our recent report, Harvests of Rural Development, showed breakthrough results, including three-fold increases in maize yields and access to drinking water, a 30% reduction in child stunting, and a more  than a 50% reduction in malaria parasitemia. 

    Millennium Promise has also helped to launch new initiatives focused on specific issues. For example, we incubated Malaria No More, a partnership aiming to end malaria deaths by 2015. More recently we have launched Connect To Learn, a partnership with the Earth Institute, Ericsson and [the pop star] Madonna, that focuses on dramatically expanding access to secondary education, especially for girls, while leveraging modern communications technology to improve the quality of that education. 

    Baobab: The Millennium Development Goals jamboree in New York City last week passed off last week with little fanfare. There is clearly a lack of political will in many rich countries to meet their aid commitments to  Africa. Do we have any chance of realistically meeting the MDGs by 2015?

    JM: One of the most remarkable things about the aid discussion is how much it varies from country to country. The Cameron government's commitment to maintaining the UK's aid trajectory reflects inspired political  leadership alongside a strong commitment to aid among the British  public. South Korea became an official OECD donor this year and is highly committed to doing more. On the other hand, the situation is tough in Italy, France and Germany, which have fallen so far behind on  their promises for 2010, with little internal consequence. 

    Many low-income countries are already on track to achieve individual MDGs, so the key is to make sure they have the resources available to achieve all the MDGs. The MDGs require much more than money, but they cannot be achieved in low-income countries without adequate money since the nurses, medicines, bednets, fertiliser bags, safe water points and so forth all come with a price tag attached. As long as rich-country aid budgets are stuck at around 0.3% of national income, there won't be enough resources available for every developing country to achieve all the MDGs—even setting aside countries in conflict or which are governance disasters. 

    Baobab: It seems to me that rural Africa has to go hi-tech and low-tech, avoiding consumptive middle technologies. Can you tell us a few of the technologies for African villages you are most excited about.

    JM: I'm most excited about two types of technology. One is rapid medical diagnostics. I was recently at a clinic in rural Tanzania and watched a community health worker with a primary school education use a pin prick method to test a child's blood for malaria within 15 minutes. The ability to provide simple, low-cost diagnosis and treatment protocols  offers transformational opportunities for rural health service  scale-up. The other big technology is mobile connectivity, since it allows all sorts of "leapfrogging" across all sectors. Mobile phones are connecting markets, expanding access to banking systems, and overhauling the way health services can be delivered in the rural areas  where most Africans live. Wireless-enabled computers will undoubtedly  soon start to penetrate classrooms in the same previously remote areas.  I anticipate we will soon see agricultural support services start to leverage mobile technology much more as well. 

    Baobab: Where do you stand on the aid debate? Do you accept any of the arguments put forward by sceptics, to the effect that in some cases aid  creates dependencies that damage countries more than they help them?

    JM: It is a distraction to debate if aid is good or bad. It is crucial to focus on where large-scale aid has worked, why it has worked, and how those lessons of success can be scaled across the board. I think there are actually two aid debates, one that aims at provoking public attention and one that aims at solving practical problems. The public debates are a bit mysterious because they typically reward hyperbole and misframe issues and people as if they represent polar opposites. The practical debates typically have more convergence. Most people agree that aid systems should be focused on scaling known technologies, with measurable results backed by clear points of accountability. 

    Baobab: To what extent do you think Africa will suffer the effects of climate change? Is it something we should be preparing for?

    JM: The decline in precipitation in the Sahel since the 1970s is one of the world's most significant changes in climate patterns. It is of major consequence, since major drops in precipitation and increases in temperature are clearly linked to conflict—likely due to the social strain caused by crop failures. A water strategy for irrigation and livelihoods, including insurance systems, has to be part of any long-term view, especially for dry bits of Africa. 

    Baobab: Africa has 1 billion people, half of them children. It is likely to have 2 billion before 2050. What are the political risks associated with this? In light of such rapid growth, should the aid industry be displaying a greater sense of urgency?

    JM: The worst political risks are that we have an additional billion people living in places of extreme environmental and economic strain, and these conditions can be ingredients for conflict, locally and beyond. The demographic challenge remains one of the world's least appreciated. The underlying demographic momentum is a deep trend, but the strains can still be curtailed through efforts to support a voluntary reduction in fertility rates around the world, including through reductions in child mortality and increases in girls' education. Fortunately there are countless pioneering Africa professionals who are helping to make the best-case scenario possible.

    Baobab: Finally, can you give us some sense of your best and worst case scenarios for Africa in the medium term?

    JM: A best case includes child mortality dropping from 1 in 8 to 1 in 30, secondary education rates soaring, core economic infrastructure taking hold, and an African Green Revolution taking off in agricultural  productivity across the continent, which underpins transformational growth in agribusiness, services, and manufacturing, backed by a competitive real exchange rate. A majority of African countries can escape the need for foreign aid within a generation. A worst case includes economic stagnation amidst ongoing disease burden and  extraordinary demographic and environmental pressures. I think the best case scenario is doable, and we all want to see it.

    Related item: read The Economist's take on the Millennium Development Goals.

    * Correction: the original figure given of $5m was spread over three years in installments of $1.5m. Sorry.

  • Education in Africa

    The worst place to go to school

    Sep 28th 2010, 11:54 by J.L. | NAIROBI

    AMONG the many development reports released last week, one of the more provoking was this one by the Global Campaign for Education (GCE). It details countries with the worst education systems. Topping the list is Somalia. Ethiopia and Eritrea are not far behind. But some of the findings look suspect. Are schools in Comoros really among the worst in the world? By what standard is Congo ranked far ahead of Uganda? It is unclear how much GCE researchers got out and about—and the ranking reflects this. Under its banner 1 Goal, GCE has relied on advocacy by footballers and other celebrities. It wants donors to increase education funding to poor countries from $4 billion to $16 billion by 2014.

    Baobab agrees, but the failure of the report to take a clearer and colder look at the future is dispiriting. Education for African children is a right, yes, but it is also a strategic imperative: a crowded planet cannot afford an undereducated continent. The report notes that 48% of African children do not finish primary school. Yet it does not spell out what this means. For instance, what are the consequences in terms of lawlessness, terrorism, and regional stability of having 70% illiteracy in Somalia? Baobab is no scaremonger, but in this case the charities who backed GCE, including Oxfam and Save the Children, would have done better to have concentrated minds rather than hearts.

  • More music tips

    More music tips

    Sep 28th 2010, 10:13 by J.L. | NAIROBI

    CAUGHT in the Millennium Development Goals blues last week, Baobab put out a request for some vital African music. The idea was to think harder about the coming few years for Africa – with headphones on. Tips came in from African government officials, from businessmen, academics, and journalists. Some of the funkiest choices came from my own colleagues. Who would have thought?

    Leading the way was Congo with Tabu Ley Rochereau (cited several times), Papa Wemba, Konono No.1 and Zazou Bikaye Cy 1 (see also). From Senegal comes Baobab's namesake, Orchestra BaobabBenin offers a guitarist, Lionel Loueke and Nigeria Fela Kuti and Asa. From KenyaNairobi Beat and Nameless & Amani. Venture Zimbabwe-ward for Oliver Mtukudzi. Out of South Africa, in 1983, came a white pop-punk band that broke the mould, Via Afrika. Highly recommended was a 1974 search for the blues by an American jazz musician, Samuel Charters as was this West African psychedelic album, Funky Fuzz. For those with a taste to delve deeper, a Zurich-based journalist, Hannes Grassegger, suggests a couple of blogs: Awesome Tapes from Africa and and Voodoo Funk.

  • South African politics

    Cracking the whip

    Sep 24th 2010, 16:26 by D.G. | DURBAN

    PRESIDENT Jacob Zuma was said to be fighting for his political life. His once ardent supporters were supposed to be joining forces to oust him, perhaps even before the end of his first term in office. In sum, a party shindig in Durban this week was heralded as “make-or-break time” for him. What the ruling African National Congress (ANC) had done to Thabo Mbeki in 2008—by “recalling” him from the presidency—they could do again. But the plotters and whisperers have so far underestimated their man.

    Amid increasing internecine back-stabbing in both the party and its wider alliance with the Congress of South African Trade Unions (Cosatu) and the communists, and after weeks of strikes that brought the country to a virtual standstill, Mr Zuma has come back fighting. To resounding applause from 2,000 delegates at the party’s national general council, a five-yearly event, he hit out at those engaging in rumour-mongering, smear campaigns and even vote-buying in support of their preferred leadership candidates, despite the party’s ban on lobbying ahead of the ANC’s conference due in 2012, when the party’s leadership will be elected. 

    At some point, all liberation movements have to deal with “all sorts of opportunistic tendencies”, he said. Organisations that fail to deal with such threats tend to vanish. The time had come for the ANC to act. “We have no choice but to reintroduce revolutionary discipline,” he said, without explaining what such a fearsome-sounding punishment might be. “If we fail to do so, we would be weakening the very fibre and existence of the ANC”. All must abide by the party’s principle of submission to the decisions of the leadership. 

    This, coupled with an injunction that “juniors must respect their seniors” was a dig at Julius Malema, the incendiary head of the party’s Youth League. Reprimanded in May by the ANC’s disciplinary committee for sowing disunity, the irrepressible youth leader has continued to do just that, with the president increasingly as his target. According to reports from the conference, most of which took place behind closed doors, there has been no sign of his being in the slightest bit cowed by Mr Zuma’s latest threats. But he may push his luck too far. At least one youth leader has been expelled from the party before.

    Cosatu, which has also accused Mr Zuma of weak leadership, seems more willing to kiss and make up after being thrown a few sops in the president’s speech. He reiterated his determination to crack down on corruption and nepotism, to speed up land reform, to pursue a “new growth path” with emphasis on job creation, and to set up a national health insurance scheme—all union demands. He also promised that the ANC would listen more to its alliance partners and consult them on senior appointments. 

    So Mr Zuma is safe for now. The ANC has always been a broad church, ranging from dyed-in-the-wool Marxists to out-and-out free-marketeers. Mr Zuma was catapulted into power by a diverse group united in only one goal: to remove Mr Mbeki. That having been achieved, it is hardly surprising that the party has again split into warring factions. 

    There is no obvious rival for the leadership, although Kgalema Motlanthe, Mr Zuma’s mild-mannered and apparently clean-handed deputy, has a growing band of fans in the party and in the country at large. There is no suggestion, however, that he is plotting against the president. With the critical backing of his fellow Zulus, Mr Zuma seems for the moment to be holding the ANC together. But this could change if he fails to follow his tough words up with action.

     

  • Eritrea

    A state of siege

    Sep 23rd 2010, 16:15 by J.L. | NAIROBI

    NO ONE in Africa does big brother better than Eritrea. The Horn of Africa country is a military state. In its paranoia and willingness to shoot itself in the foot it is comparable with North Korea and Niyazov's Turkmenistan. But Eritrea is less eccentric than the other pariahs and President Isaias Afewerki is more austere. Money does not seem to be the motivation, just control.

    For several years I have been trying to travel to Eritrea and to see Mr Afewerki's revolutionary Marxism at work, but my visa application keeps getting denied. Earlier this year I came close. I received a call from Mr Afewerki's office. Would I be interested in meeting the president? "Absolutely," I replied. "See you tomorrow morning then," said the official. "You do realise that I am in Kenya? There is no flight that can get me to Eritrea in time." "So you are refusing the meeting?" "I am not refusing, I just need more notice." "You refused." With that, the official hung up.

    I will try again. It is not just the imperative of reporting the Eritrean point of view, getting an impression of the economic conditions, the morale of the people, and the condition of the political prisoners, and so on. Selfishly (as someone fixated on architecture), I want to see the stunning modernist lines of Asmara, experience the high altitude, the burning blue sky, go to the cafés, admire the handsome customers, and to drive the road that drops away from Asmara to the heat of Massawa on the Red Sea.

    It is unlikely that the authors of an International Crisis Group report on Eritrea released this week will be invited to the country anytime soon. The ICG labels Mr Afewerki a tyrant, who uses rhetoric, conscription, imprisonment, and violence to pound his people into submission. Eritrea, the report says, has become "a siege state, whose government is suspicious of its own population, neighbours and the wider world. Economically crippled at birth, it is a poor country from which tens of thousands of youth are fleeing, forming large asylum-seeking communities in Europe and North America. But Eritrea is an extreme reflection of its region's rough political environment, not its sole spoiler. More effort to understand the roots of its suspicions and greater engagement rather than further isolation would be a more promising international prescription for dealing with the genuine risks it represents."

    In other words, more attention needs to be paid to Eritrea because it is failing. The ICG is the most meticulous misery-monger, but it has not invested much in recent years in reporting on Eritrea, or Ethiopia—its much larger neighbour and nemesis. So this report is almost as welcome as a visa for Baobab to have a look at Eritrea for himself.

  • Monday MDG blues

    Tuning out and tuning in

    Sep 20th 2010, 16:49 by J.L. | NAIROBI

    THIS week marks ten years up for the United Nations Millennium Development Goals. Within the next five years, the world's poorest countries are supposed to eradicate extreme hunger and halve the proportion of the population living in extreme poverty, provide universal primary education, empower women, eliminate child and maternal mortality, turn back the dark tide of AIDS and malaria and other diseases, and preserve biodiversity.

    Africa has made a lot of progress on the goals since they were drawn up in 2000. But the ground is shifting under it: it is unclear if burgeoning consumer markets and more competitive economies will be able to outrun population and environmental pressures. Some of the criticism of Africa's performance this week will come from Western countries who have not delivered the aid to Africa they promised a decade ago. Judging from the overwrought press releases from various charities in my mailbox, the hand-wringing of the aid industry will be even more wearing. The best-case scenario of aid honchos this week is to win pennies and press conferences from world leaders. But the resulting platitudes hog space that should be occupied by radical ideas. So in my view (precisely because of the gravity of the issues), this is a week to tune out doctrinal discussions coming out of New York and instead to spend time thinking for ourselves, say, about African urbanism, or how Africa can reshape its villages with hi-tech and low-tech initiatives, while avoiding consumptive middle technologies.

    What better way of tuning in than with African music? Here Baobab, in his blogging infancy, has to tip his kufi cap to Afropop Worldwide. The eponymous American radio show has superbly covered music from Africa since 1988. The country-by-country guide to African musical acts on its website is a better place to start the week than another MDG op-ed. For his part, Baobab will be turning up the volume on Getatchew Mekuria & The Ex—a masterful mix of Ethiopian jazz and Dutch punk. Other musical tips for stale debates would be gratefully received.

     

  • Meeting Morgan Tsvangirai

    Meeting Morgan

    Sep 16th 2010, 17:11 by A.R. | JOHANNESBURG

    RARELY does Zimbabwe's prime minister, Morgan Tsvangirai, speak so frankly in public about his relationship with his old rival, President Robert Mugabe, as he did on Thursday September 13th at an Economist conference in Johannesburg. Describing his weekly Monday meetings with Mr Mugabe as cordial ("he's as human as you are") he argued that the president is willing to contemplate a graceful exit from power within the coming years. Why? "Because he will want to secure his legacy, he will not want to be remembered as a villain. Robert Mugabe believes he has left Zimbabweans talking across the political divide. And as a victim of his repression, I can say reconciliation is the only solution. Some say we must have instant justice, an eye for an eye against those who did us wrong, but an eye for an eye may leave Zimbabwe blind".

    The prime minister is criticised in some quarters as weak, with Mr Mugabe and his powerful colleagues who control (among other things) the armed forces and security forces running rings around the leaders of the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), who won the 2008 election but were only able to form a power-sharing government in 2009. Mr Tsvangirai retorts that a gradual process of co-operation and reconciliation has already brought considerable benefits—Zimbabwe's economy grew by 4% or so last year and may do better this year, with inflation low and investment partly returning. The problem is that reconciliation may soon fall apart, if an election, which is likely late next year, causes sharp divisions and a return to thuggish violence against MDC supporters. Mr Tsvangirai, however, argued that "benchmarks" could ensure a fairer election next year. He meant a new voters' roll, more monitors, an independent electoral commission, an outcome to be announced promptly. Maybe so. But would Mr Mugabe (and would neighbours such as South Africa) meekly accept an outright MDC win, which polls suggest is most likely?

    Mr Tsvangirai concluded that Zimbabwe is a "post conflict" society, one where locals and foreigners have to give up on old confrontation and think about recovery. "The nation's destiny is not to be held to ransom by Robert Mugabe. He's going to move on. We must think of the 55% of Zimbabweans younger than 15". That would be nice, but the last time this correspondent interviewed Mr Mugabe, the 86-year-old said he would only be standing down "when I am one hundred years old". So just 14 years to go then.

     

About Baobab

On this blog our correspondents delve into the politics, economics and culture of the continent of Africa, from Cairo to the Cape. The blog takes its name from the baobab, a massive tree that grows throughout much of Africa. It stores water, provides food and is often called the tree of life.

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