Need

Phone
Survey
of
Cairo
and
Alexandria
February
5‐8,
2011
Pechter
Middle
East
Polls



Interna'onal
Republican
Ins'tute
(IRI)
‐
Advancing
Democracy
Worldwide

N=1000
Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Methodology and Key Findings
These
results
are
from
the
343
randomly
selected
interviews
landline
and
cell
phone
–
enough
to
be representa;ve
‐‐
completed
so
far
in
Cairo
and
Alexandria,
from
last
Saturday
through
Tuesday.

The
poll
was funded
by
The
Washington
Ins;tute
for
Near
East
Policy. Key
Findings: •This
is
not
an
Islamic
uprising.

The
Muslim
Brotherhood
is
“approved”
by
just
15%,
and
its
leaders
get
barely 1%
in
a
presiden;al
straw
vote.

Asked
to
pick
na;onal
priori;es,
just
12%
choose
shariah
over
na;onal
power, democracy,
or
economic
development.

Asked
to
explain
the
uprising,
economic
condi;ons,
corrup;on,
and unemployment
(30‐40%
each)
far
outpace
“regime
not
Islamic
enough”
(7%). •Surprisingly,
asked
two
different
ways
about
the
peace
treaty
with
Israel,
more
support
it
(37%)
than
oppose it
(22%).

Only
18%
approve
of
either
Hamas
or
Iran.

And
a
mere
5%
say
the
uprising
occurred
because
the regime
is
“too
pro‐Israel.” •El
Baradei
has
very
li\le
popular
support
in
a
presiden;al
straw
vote
(4%),
far
outpaced
by
Amr
Musa
(29%) But
Mubarak
and
Omar
Suleiman
each
get
18%. •A
narrow
plurality
(36%
vs.
29%)
say
Egypt
should
have
good
rela;ons
with
the
U.S.

And
just
8%
say
the uprising
is
against
a
“too
pro‐American
regime.”

S;ll,
something
over
half
disapprove
of
our
handling
of
this crisis
and
say
they
don’t
trust
the
U.S.
at
all.

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Why do you think the Egyptian people rose up now? And what’s the second most important reason? (open ended)
Multiple responses allowed Poor economic conditions Corruption Unemployment/Lack of Job Opportunities Poor delivery of services like electricity and water Regime not Islamic enough Regime Too Connected to the US Regime Too Supportive of Israel Example of Tunisia Population growth Political repression/no democracy Abuses by security services/arrests/torture etc Succession issue/Gamal Mubarak/Hosni too old etc. Example of Iraq Other Don't know Refuse to Answer Total The first most important reason 22% 21% 17% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 0% 0% 4% 3% 100% The second most important reason 16% 15% 16% 4% 3% 3% 4% 5% 1% 6% 3% 3% 1% 0% 15% 4% 100%

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Who do you think should be the next President of Egypt? (open ended)
Percentage Hosni Mubarak Gamal Mubarak Omar Suleiman Mohammed Al Baradei Mohammed Badi Amr Moussa Ayman Nour Ahmad Shafiq Others Don't know Refused to answer Total 16% 0% 17% 3% 0% 26% 1% 2% 1% 19% 14% 100%

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Do you believe that Egypt should or should not have a good relationship with the United States? Do you feel that way strongly or only somewhat?

36%

29%

18% 17%

Strongly should

Somewhat should

Strongly should not

Somewhat should not

Don’t know

Refused

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Do you approve or disapprove of how American President Barack Obama has handled the crisis in Egypt? Do you feel that way strongly or only somewhat?

53%

17% 14%

16%

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Strongly disapprove

Somewhat disapprove

Don’t know

Refused

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Do you think that Egypt should or should not annul its peace treaty with Israel? Do you feel that way strongly or only somewhat?

Strongly should

Somewhat should

Strongly should not

Somewhat should not

Don’t know

Refused

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

For each one of the choices below, can you tell me if you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove?

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly Don't know disapprove

Total

The uprising in Tunisia against Ben Ali

40%

15%

4%

11%

30%

100%

The Egyptian national association for change

37%

20%

8%

9%

24%

100%

The current government in Iran

5%

14%

17%

23%

42%

100%

The Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt

4%

11%

15%

37%

33%

100%

The referendum to divide Sudan

3%

4%

10%

48%

34%

100%

The Hamas government in Gaza

7%

10%

10%

30%

43%

100%

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Of the answers below regarding Egyptian foreign policy, which one of the following is your first choice.

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Please fill in the following sentence with your first choice. In 5-10 years, I hope to see an Egypt:

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls

Contact:
Adam
Pechter ampechter@pechterpolls.com 609‐977‐2140

©
2011

Pechter
Middle
East
Polls