Can we add a 3rd option, "unfortunately yes"?

It's unlikely for Mrs. Kirchner to shoot for reelection when the chances to finish her 2nd period remain uncertain. External tailwind does not last forever and her policies are not sustainable. Better leave now than empty handed.

I wish she run and get reelected, so to face the consequences of the Kirchners' own mistakes

What else is she going to do? Get a job in a boutique at the Alto Palermo shopping centre. Now that would be a sight!

Interesting you characterize her as a shoo-in. If my memory serves me correctly, I believe this periodical predicted dire consequences for her following the death of Nestor Kirchner.

Unfortunately she will probably give it another go - Seems that in many political cultures it is hard to let go of power (including ours - see long tenured senators, congressman, and even a president - FDR).

George Washington was wise to know the time to bow out. Probably would be best for Cristina and the country if she did likewise, in terms of helping the political culture along (avoid personalism, corruption that accompanies long administrations, sense of entitlement, dampening influx of new leadership, etc.).

This is nothing against Argentina - a country I liked very much - but just a point of view about politicos staying on way past their time, everywhere in the world.

Opposition is too atomized and diverse to present an alternative. Most candidates abandoned and ran the hills tail in legs.

The best positioned candidates of the opposition are:

-Alfonsin. Son of one of the most-failed presidents, who abandoned his mandate leaving economic havoc under hyperinflation. He’s a joke.

-Macri. Represents the corrupt Argentine stereotype. He’s rightwing, so the right’s image is ruined.

I live in Argentina and, of course, I trust the newspapers here as far as I can throw them. I'd love to read the Economist's analysis of Argentina as a whole and the presidential election as well (though the former matters to me more).

She will probably be forced to run by the minions that surround her that know they will end up in jail for corruption if another party wins. But all her options to keep her idea of economic and social progress going are running out. We have to expect a collapse of her politica movement, another economic collapse and her government to be unable to continue. And she knows it.