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IMF: Federal Reserve Need Not Consider Additional Stimulus

Imf Stimulus

First Posted: 06/ 8/11 08:31 AM ET Updated: 06/ 8/11 08:31 AM ET

TOKYO (Stanley White and Tetsushi Kajimoto) - The Federal Reserve does not need to consider additional monetary policy stimulus as the world's largest economy is likely to pick up in coming quarters due to growth in exports and disposable incomes, IMF acting chief John Lipsky said on Wednesday.

A slowdown in growth in the United States and other major economies is likely to be temporary, caused by a spike in energy prices, the acting managing director of the International Monetary Fund told Reuters in an interview.

There is a risk of high unemployment as economic recovery will be slow, and it is appropriate for advanced economies to maintain accommodative monetary policies, Lipsky said.

"Our expectation is current U.S. monetary policy is consistent with a return to moderate growth," he said, when asked if the Fed needed to embark on additional quantitative easing.

Lipsky would not be drawn into discussing any details of a proposed second euro zone bailout of debt-laden Greece.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Tuesday acknowledged the U.S. economy had slowed but offered no hint of additional stimulus. If the current lull in the economy is more prolonged, that could put the Fed in a bind as it has exhausted many of its policy options.

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The Fed has already slashed overnight interest rates to near zero and bought more than $2 trillion in government bonds, a policy known as quantitative easing, to pull the economy from a deep recession and spur a recovery.

The Fed's current $600 billion round of government bond buying, known as QE2, is due to end this month.

Almost all advanced economies also face the challenge of improving their public finances to reduce debt burdens, Lipsky said. Emerging market economies also need tighter fiscal and monetary policy to cope with inflationary pressure, he said.

Greece has gone through very strenuous efforts to cut spending and privatize assets to reduce its debt burden, Lipsky said.

Current plans to support Greece do not involve restructuring the country's debts, Lipsky said.

Lipsky was more cautious in his comments on the IMF's involvement in what euro zone sources say is a new 80-100 billion euro bailout package now taking shape and which effectively would replace a 110 billion euro deal agreed only a year ago.

He also dismissed as hypothetical the idea that private-sector lenders will voluntarily agree to roll over Greek debt.

"When you use the term new programme, right now we are talking about bringing the existing programme back into good focus," Lipsky said.

"There is a need for the programme to be adequately financed and that's being discussed right now. Any of this talk (on Greek debt rollovers) is completely hypothetical."

Lipsky, whose term as the Fund's No.2 official expires in August, is currently serving as acting managing director after Dominique Strauss-Kahn resigned on May 18 following his arrest in New York for attempted rape. Strauss-Kahn denies the allegations against him.

Lipsky refused to be drawn on whether the IMF should abandon its tradition of choosing a European to lead it, saying he was sure member countries would chose an appropriate candidate.

The IMF has a June 30 deadline to pick a successor to Strauss-Kahn, following a nomination period to June 10.

French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde and Mexican central bank governor Agustin Carstens have so far been nominated for the next IMF chief.

(Editing by Tomasz Janowski and Neil Fullick)

Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions.

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TOKYO (Stanley White and Tetsushi Kajimoto) - The Federal Reserve does not need to consider additional monetary policy stimulus as the world's largest economy is likely to pick up in coming quarte...
TOKYO (Stanley White and Tetsushi Kajimoto) - The Federal Reserve does not need to consider additional monetary policy stimulus as the world's largest economy is likely to pick up in coming quarte...
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2 minutes ago (10:16 AM)
we all know where the IMF gets it's "stimulus"­.. tweet a weener in a dollar bill to china.. how 'bout
9 hours ago (12:54 AM)
I don't understand­,disposabl­e income,wha­t is that?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Carolab
62 and liberal in Minnesota
10 hours ago (12:11 AM)
WSJ
5/27/2011

Despite some disappoint­ing U.S. economic data, foreign-ex­change markets’ hammering of the dollar makes little sense to many commentato­rs who feel the euro ought rather to be in the eye of a storm.
“The fact that Greece and the peripheral­s are hurtling towards the cliff edge doesn’t seem to have been a factor in recent [currency] trade,” wrote UBS AG strategist Simon Penn rather sniffily Friday morning.

The Royal Bank of Scotland Group struck a similar note.

“The market shrugged off any fears of contagion from Europe and piled aggressive­ly back into the euro,” its analysts wrote. “This is quite telling considerin­g the degree of uncertaint­y heading into a weekend where anything could happen in Europe.”

Reports of continued Chinese interest in owning peripheral euro-zone bonds is one factor cited as being behind the euro’s poise. This makes sense, of course, but markets seem to be ignoring the fact that U.S. debt is hardly short of buyers either.

This week’s three Treasury auctions were fantastica­lly well received, with interest at the five-year sale the strongest since 1997.

So, despite the current focus on the dollar’s home grown worries, perhaps euro bulls might be well advised not to get too comfy, especially as the end of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s second program of quantitati­ve easing looms next month.

It is sure to mean more volatility and could well see the dollar fight back, according to analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. The market is very long of the euro against the dollar, for one thing and pricing in a lot of near-term monetary tightening in the euro zone compared with the U.S.
How much the end of quantitati­ve easing is priced in, meanwhile, is hard to tell, but to the extent that the debate is now shifting towards U.S. tightening­, the risk is that euro/dolla­r will move lower in the months ahead, according to the bank’s G-10 analysis team.

The euro may be settling into a range between $1.4150 and $1.42 as the market’s look to a shortened week of trade ahead in both the U.S. and U.K. However, Bank of America Merrill Lynch suggests that it could fall all the way back down to $1.32 when the Fed stops the dollar presses in mid-June.

http://blo­gs.wsj.com­/source/20­11/05/27/e­uro-bulls-­beware-the­-end-of-qu­antitative­-easing-is­-nigh/
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
kamact
Market Observer
13 hours ago (9:38 PM)
Not to be trusted,..­.The IMF and TBTF banksters want to impose economic slavery on billions
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ryan Magdangal
14 hours ago (7:52 PM)
He is so wrong! This is so we'll be the foot stool under the Rothchild boot!
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HMDMSR
Workers of the world, unite!
15 hours ago (7:33 PM)
Wow, Richard Koo UNLOADS On Paul Krugman: He Got It Wrong On QE2, And Now Obama Has An Awful Situation

Gregory White | Jun. 7, 2011

Read more: http://www­.businessi­nsider.com­/richard-k­oo-paul-kr­ugman-qe2-­2011-6#ixz­z1OjLzxYWc

http://www­.businessi­nsider.com­/richard-k­oo-paul-kr­ugman-qe2-­2011-6
17 hours ago (5:40 PM)
If you did exactly the opposite of IMF recommenda­tions, you'd be right 80% of the time.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
cadawa
18 hours ago (4:47 PM)
Lipsky is a JP Morgan investment banker. Trust him not.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
cadawa
18 hours ago (4:00 PM)
When you make a prediction­, especially one that contrary to reality as this one, it's necessary to provide some evidence for your beliefs.
This sort of pie in the sky pronouncem­ent is a very good reason why we need to shut these guys down. We need a Federal Bank that is accountabl­e to the people, not a rich man's cargo cult.
12 hours ago (9:50 PM)
In spite of it's name, the Federal Reserve is actually owned by the nation's private banks. So what more can we expect from it?
12 hours ago (9:59 PM)
The IMF is even worse: It is directly responsibl­e for the loss of governabil­ity in more than a few debtor nations, including Mexico.

Don't think it couldn't happen in the USA.
18 hours ago (3:49 PM)
The IMF; of the plutocrats­, by the plutocrats and for the plutocrats­.
19 hours ago (2:53 PM)
You heard the boss,let them eat cake!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
redsoxpagan
20 hours ago (2:41 PM)
Given the inhumane results of the disastrous austerity measures the IMF has imposed or supports, I've only one thing to say to this goon: Shut the h*&% up!
20 hours ago (2:35 PM)
He fails to recognize that we need massive growth, not moderate growth, to get unemployme­nt back to reasonable levels. The IMF doesn't care about unemployme­nt, it cares about bankers.
20 hours ago (2:29 PM)
We gave the Fed trillions of dollars and all we got was a broken economy.
21 hours ago (1:33 PM)
The IMF is a criminal enterprise backed by U.S. dollars.

The greedy U.S. has its fingers in every little pie of corruption and greed.

The IMF has caused untold misery, poverty, and deaths.
20 hours ago (2:23 PM)
And done so remorseles­sly, and will continue to do so if and until the stultified sheeple awake from their catatonic state.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Rickyrab
PhD student, Bloustein, bookworm, transit
20 hours ago (2:37 PM)
So? Why not simply defund the IMF? After all, if it uses our dollars, it's contributi­ng to our debt.