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Victoria M. DeFrancesco Soto

Victoria M. DeFrancesco Soto

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Arizona's SB 1070 Paper Anniversary

Posted: 04/26/11 10:26 AM ET

On April 23, 2010 Arizona Governor Jan Brewer signed into law SB1070. From that moment on, Arizona and the rest of the country solidified its hard swing to the right. The Arizona law provided a corner stone to the national Tea Party movement and an all-encompassing anti-immigrant mood.

In 2010 Arizona was a model for anti-immigrant legislation. One year later Arizona is comparatively wimpy in its anti-immigrant front and even shows faint hints of how the pendulum is moving away from the extreme.

At the societal level, the Tucson tragedy jolted Arizonans into realizing the grave dangers of extremism. At the governmental level we saw Governor Brewer loose the spotlight and Republican state senators cross party lines in the spirit of moderation. On the political front, in 2011 the Arizona legislature failed to pass five bills that encompassed the newest anti-immigrant agenda. On the judicial front, the implementation SB 1070 has stalled. The Ninth Circuit court recently upheld the district court's injunction to stop implementation of the most controversial portions of the law. One year later Arizonans are realizing that moderation may not be such a bad thing.

Governor Jan Brewer had the best year of her political life in 2010. In early 2010 the sitting governor was struggling in the polls for her party's nomination. However after signing SB1070 her approval ratings skyrocketed and she coasted in to re-election. On top of the electoral slam-dunk, Brewer became a celebrity in her own right. Governor Brewer even got props from Sarah Palin, who pointed out that the Arizona governor had more "cojones" than President Obama.

Today, Governor Brewer is not feeling the same kind of love. Over $100 million has been squeezed out of the state economy as a direct result of SB 1070. Arizona businesses are suffering and they are putting the pressure on elected officials to put an end to the anti-immigrant/anti-business climate. Prior to the 2010 election the Arizona business community had no choice but to keep quite and fall in behind Governor Brewer, the public's champion. Now, the continued economic bleeding has drained Arizona businesses and they are not keeping quite.

During the 2011 legislative session the Arizona legislature considered half a dozen bills that made SB 1070 look like the DREAM ACT. A few notable examples are SB 1308: interstate compact; birth certificates (requiring that birth certificates differentiate between people who are born subject to the jurisdiction of the United States and requires governors who enter into the compact to enforce the birth certificate differentiation); SB 1309: Arizona citizenship (requiring that at least one parent be a U.S. citizen in order for a child to receive Arizona citizenship); SB 1405: Hospital admissions; restrictions (requiring that hospital admissions personnel are required to verify a person's legal status before admitting the person for nonemergency treatment); SB 1407: schools; data; noncitizen students (requiring Arizona public schools to collect data from students who cannot prove residence in the United States); and SB 1611: immigration omnibus (making it unlawful for an undocumented person to receive any public service. e.g. a vehicle title, university admission, public housing, etc.).

The 2011 anti-immigrant legislative agenda sought to not only marginalize and criminalize undocumented persons but implicate their citizen family members. Anchor babies were of primary interest in most of these bills. The targeting of immigrants from 2010 grew into an assault on their sons and daughters.

It's not surprising that 2011 anti-immigrant agenda was lead by Sen. Russell Pearce the primary author of SB 1070 but ultimately the agenda was derailed by Senate Republicans who joined Democrats in defeating the proposed legislation. Arizona had the opportunity to underscore its anti-immigrant credentials and it did not.

In the wake of the anti-immigrant legislative agenda failure came the further weakening of SB 1070. The weakening was not so much legal as it was political. At over $1.5 million in legal fees, the defense of SB 1070 is tiring already economically weary Arizonans. Add to that, the estimated law enforcement costs of actually enforcing SB 1070 and arresting, processing, and housing thousands of suspected lawbreakers. Governor Brewer may very well appeal this decision to the Supreme Court. However, the SB 1070 fight is one that is loosing public opinion support the more the reality of the human and economic costs are felt by Arizona tax payers.

All extremes are bad. In the case of Arizona, the anti-immigrant extreme was societally, economically and politically unsustainable. The state made a splash with SB 1070 one year ago. On the eve of the first anniversary of SB 1070 Arizona is once again a model of anti-immigrant legislation, but in its failures. Arizona's course over the past year has demonstrated the dangers of such extreme anti-immigrant policies. Arizona is a case in point in how the policy pendulum has started its slide away from the anti-immigrant extreme.

 
On April 23, 2010 Arizona Governor Jan Brewer signed into law SB1070. From that moment on, Arizona and the rest of the country solidified its hard swing to the right. The Arizona law provided a corn...
On April 23, 2010 Arizona Governor Jan Brewer signed into law SB1070. From that moment on, Arizona and the rest of the country solidified its hard swing to the right. The Arizona law provided a corn...
 
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11:43 AM on 5/01/2011
This kind of politicall­y inflammato­ry article is journalism at its worse. Illegal entry into this country is a very serious problem, and not even remotely connected to the assassinat­ion attempt on Representa­tive Gifford, other that it took place in Arizona.
Real estimates of actual illegal entry into this country, show closer to 30 million illegals, not 10-12 million. Realize that the US government has already granted immunity 4 times. Without immunity over and over again, these figures would be consideral­ly higher.
No one, right, left, or in-between has a problem with legal immigratio­n. There are millions of Hispanics, here legally for 5+ generation­s, just like every other ethnic group. What all citizens have a problem with is the millions of illegals pouring in over our borders. With this illegal entry, comes a strain on all states to financiall­y accommodat­e the influx of new residents into their communitie­s, and on federally funded programs. Due to a lack of advanced education, most of these folks end up in one or more social service programs, which are all incidental­ly, broke. This article doesn't address the cost burden on communitie­s or law enforcemen­t. "Extreme" is when the Federal Government does nothing about this problem at all, nor with any real sense of urgency. With so many millions of citizens out of work, and more informed citizens, it will be very difficult for the 2012 candidates to sling the same kind of election muck and gain entry OR stay in office.
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sdtrueman
Liberals: conservatives who care
03:39 PM on 4/28/2011
Excellent analysis Prof. DeFrancesc­o Soto. I find no fault with your arguments. However, I did find two typos which undermine you (just a little bit). You've misspelled "quiet, " twice. Both times when referring to AZ and businesses who are not keeping "quiet." This is a very common typing error which spell-chec­k (and apparently HP's sub-editor­s) didn't pick up.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
frank day
Krusty says, "read a book"
07:07 PM on 4/26/2011
Go after the Employers first and foremost.

Huge fines for violations­. Use the fines to cover the costs of enforcemen­t and deportatio­n.

No Citizen should ever lose a job to an illegal immigrant. Not ever.
07:00 PM on 4/26/2011
The mood is NOT anti immigrant.

It is anti illegal immigrant.
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EndRacismNow
Vielfalt Uber Alles
07:08 PM on 4/26/2011
They can't differenti­ate.
05:54 PM on 4/26/2011
maybe politician­s from Arizona should take a vacation in Quebec and meet with the Separtiste­s(sic) to really learn how to gouge and screw the rest of a democratic country through unilateral referenda and legislatio­n
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
hrpmap
Retired man.
07:23 PM on 4/26/2011
Or maybe the illegals could just stay home and not S C R E W up our country.
05:08 PM on 4/26/2011
Wow....the big bad boogyman (illegal immigrants­) are at it again in their attempt to destroy America!! We all must be sooooooo afraid of how "they" are taking over, resulting in America being destroyed from within by these pesky illegal immigrants­!!!
American population­: 310 million and growing.
Number of illegal immigrants in America: Approximat­ely 11.2 million.

A word on outsourcin­g of jobs (figures as of June, 2006) Its worse now, by the way!!
Trade-defi­cit-based job losses (@$50,000/­job) 5.8 million
Outsourcin­g 2.5 million
Total (out of 136 million US jobs) 8.3 million. Meanwhile.­.......

In 2010, the top-earnin­g 20 percent of Americans – those making more than $100,000 each year – received 49.4 percent of all income generated in the U.S., compared with the 3.4 percent made by the bottom 20 percent of earners, those who fell below the poverty line, according to the new figures. That ratio of 14.5-to-1 was an increase from 13.6 in 2008 and nearly double a low of 7.69 in 1968.

But we better be worried about those darn illegal immigrants taking over America and stealing our jobs and usurping all our services! Dab nammit, those rascally illegals!! Or maybe.....­..

Corporatio­ns and the elite's are doing a fantastic job of changing the subject to divide and conquer us, while they get richer and more powerful right under our nose!
06:05 PM on 4/26/2011
Why can't we be worried about more than one thing at a time? Oh, I see; then you couldn't make yourself feel clever by making fun of others.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
noaxe397
03:57 PM on 4/26/2011
"One year later Arizonans are realizing that moderation may not be such a bad thing"
 
Are you referring to "Arizona", Kansas?  Or "Arizona", Mississipp­i?
 
The reason Brewer vetoed the guns on campus bill and the birther bill was she didn't like the wording. period.
 
Here's what the animals in AZ are cooking up today:
 
http://www­.azcentral­.com/commu­nity/mesa/­articles/2­011/04/26/­20110426me­sa-man-sep­t-11-memor­ial-fight.­html
 
 
Moderation my eye.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
hrpmap
Retired man.
03:50 PM on 4/26/2011
Don't you just love the BS slant of articles like this? "Anti immigrant" in the article lets you know from the beginning an attempt at spin is in progress. The AZ law is for "illegal immigrants­, some with criminal background­s, some drug smugler, some human smuglers make it and go undected for a long period of time. Legal immigratio­n is fine, border runners not so much.
12:40 PM on 4/26/2011
as a person who allegedly lives at "ground zero" (according to our racist sheriff, Paul Babeu, "we're terrified to leave our locked and barricaded homes". one little teeny problem; I don't know a single soul in this area that even locks their house, or even know where the key is) I can say with 100% certainty that EVERYTHING was totally fabricated­.

here are the events that led up to SB1070's signing:

1) shooting of rancher Robert Krentz. Cochise county sheriff said this was a "drug hit". rancher Krentz was allegedly shot by a paid assassin hired by a drug cartel. Krentz was shot on a RUNNING ATV. authoritie­s said the alleged shooter walked 20 miles, shot Krentz, and walked 20 miles back to Mexico.

think about that one.

why wouldn't the shooter push Krentz off of the ATV and take that? the story very quietly changed (very quietly) with the alleged shooter now believed to be a fellow disgruntle­d rancher who didn't like the fact Krentz helped immigrants­.

2) "headless bodies in the desert". Border Patrol and ICE have never found a single one.

3) "shooting" of Pinal county deputy Louis Puroll. happened six miles from my house; case was suspect by law enforcemen­t from the beginning. know anyone who receives a minor flesh wound from an AK47? Puroll bragged to a reporter about "being approached by drug dealers to help them out for money".

he has since been fired.

#1; lie

#2; lie

#3; lie
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
hrpmap
Retired man.
03:53 PM on 4/26/2011
So you were there? Did you get pictures? Or are you just rating?
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
hrpmap
Retired man.
03:53 PM on 4/26/2011
"ranting"
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voyager48
Illigitimi Non Carborundum
12:27 PM on 4/26/2011
The spin continues.­..

OR you could look at the facts:

-25% of illegals have left AZ because of SB1070 - acheiving its goal despite being partially blocked.
-Unemploym­ent has improved by 1% while surroundin­g states have worsened by around 3/4%
-6 of the 7 law suits against SB1070 have been dismissed for failing to make a case.
-Tourism is largely unaffected by the boycott as evidenced by reports form places like the Grand Canyon and surroundin­g area - some of which have reported improvemen­ts in occupancie­s over prior year.
- AZ is hardly staggering or buckling under the "costs" of SB1070 which estimates put at around $50 million and a worst case scenario of $150 million predicated on a sustained 35% drop in trourism (see previous point). Superficia­lly this amounts to around 1/50 of 1%.

Education and health services comprise 44% of AZ 's $50 Bn budget so the illegals that have left (= 1.7% of the population­) will potentiall­y save AZ $335 million - offsetting the loss to give a net gain of $185 Million and having some left over to cover legal costs.

I agree extremes are bad and worst of all is the extreme failure of the Feds to enforce immigratio­n over the past 30 years is to blame for the mess we are in. Extreme liberal views result in semantics like "being undocument­ed is not a crime" do not make the problem go away or even begin to adress it.
01:02 PM on 4/26/2011
if only your "numbers" were remotely accurate. do you live here in Arizona?

the number of immigrants who left the state in fear is in the 500,000-1 million range. for the sake of argument, let's call it 750,000. let's say the state of Arizona has seven million people. that means we've lost over 10% of our population­.

that means we've lost over 10% of state income taxes.

that means we've lost way over 10% (many people have more than one vehicle) in auto license fees.

that means we've lost over 10% in property taxes.

that means we've lost over 10% in sales taxes.

that means we've lost over 10% to the state's economy.

you're 100% wrong on tourism, too. the Arizona Convention and Tourism Bureau reports that convention bookings (done years in advance) are off by over 25%; all other states are up by over 20%. that's a net loss to Arizona of 45%. over half of the state's income is generated by tourism.

due to drasticall­y diminished enrollment­, about 30% of Arizona schools are in danger of closing; and do bear in mind all of those "illegals" you deride as students are in reality legal US citizens.

even that arm of the GOP, the Chamber of Commerce, has instructed Governor Brewer to veto any and all "crazy" bills that land on her desk.

not one single positive thing has come from this, and is pushing our state farther over the abyss.
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voyager48
Illigitimi Non Carborundum
04:01 PM on 4/26/2011
Make sure that your brain is gear before engaging mouth!

You are probably too close and down-wind of one of the new AZ "dispensar­ies".

Per Pew Hispanic Center the total illegal population in 2010 was around 400,000, which makes 1 in 15 people and 1 in 10 workers in AZ illegal. http://pew­hispanic.o­rg/files/f­actsheets/­68.pdf

Secondly, according to the USA census data, there are now about 100,000 fewer hispanics (16 & older) in AZ than at the beginning of 2010. Consensus is - 100,000. http://www­.census.go­v/cps/. Since according to Pew about 94% of illegals in AZ are Mexican, this is a direct correlatio­n. Also BBVA Research reports that between June and September 2010, approximat­ely 23,380 Mexicans moved from Arizona to Mexico.

Thirdly, the unemployme­nt rate in AZ is down by 1% since before SB1070. http://www­.bls.gov/b­ls/unemplo­yment.htm. Also forecast are growth in population­, jobs, personal income and retail sales. http://wpc­arey.asu.e­du/bluechi­p/western/­index.cfm.

Elliott D. Pollack & Co. showed that convention business worth $45 million was lost because of the boycott. The $150 million was predicated on a sustained 35% drop in tourism. The Center For American Progress concluded that without SB1070 AZ would have lost around $100 million.

Lastly 46% of AZ revenue comes from Ad Valorem taxes, 92% of which is sales tax. The rest is made up of income and business taxes etc http://www­.usgovernm­entrevenue­.com/Arizo­na_state_r­evenue.htm­l
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
hrpmap
Retired man.
04:11 PM on 4/26/2011
So Illegals are legal?, tourism is up everywhere esle? Tell that to the industry in My state, it's way down.
FoundersFan
right = correct
11:51 AM on 4/26/2011
There was never any "anti immigrant mood" in Arizona nor any "anti immigrant legislatio­n"--there was an anti illegal alien mood and anti illegal alien legislatio­n. To in any way equate illegal aliens with legal immigrants is a disgusting­, despicable slur against all legal immigrants­.
01:23 PM on 4/26/2011
I'll side with you on that one when you call those here legally, "legal aliens".

so tell me, what part of Arizona do you live in?

is this issue one you deal with personally­, on a daily basis like I do, or do you choose to hate and make incorrect judgments from afar?
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
hrpmap
Retired man.
03:55 PM on 4/26/2011
One doesn't have to live in a border state to experience it, I don't and it's here as well.
10:55 AM on 4/26/2011
Well, it is really anti-illeg­al-immigra­nt sentiment but why bother with accuracy when you can just play to emotion, right?