Newt Gingrich shows signs of slide in Iowa
Newt Gingrich has gone from surging to slipping.
Under a barrage of negative TV ads and after weeks in the spotlight, Gingrich’s poll numbers have begun to recede in Iowa — a downward trajectory none of the previous 2012 GOP presidential front-runners were able to reverse once it started.
Continue ReadingThough he’s still in the first-place spot he held a week ago in Public Policy Polling’s survey of the state, he leads Ron Paul by a single point — a virtual dead heat — in data collected at the beginning of the week. In a poll conducted Tuesday by Republican-leaning Rasmussen, he trails Mitt Romney by 3 points.
In the RealClearPolitics aggregate of data from a range of state polls in Iowa, Gingrich has fallen from a 31-point high on Sunday to 27.2 on Thursday. He still leads Mitt Romney (18) and Ron Paul (16.7). But Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry and Herman Cain — were never able to gain points on the RCP aggregate after they started losing them.
“The fact that his favorability could drop 20 points in a week once people really started scrutinizing him does not speak well to his resiliency over the next 19 days,” PPP pollster Tom Jensen said, referring to the Jan. 3 caucuses. “I would expect that he’s going to keep falling and really could end up down in third place with Bachmann and Perry behind Romney and Paul. That’s where I would expect the race to be a week from now.”
On the online futures speculation website Intrade, Gingrich’s closing value crashed 15 points in two days, his most precipitous fall on the online exchange site since his surge began.
The Romney and Perry campaigns say their internal polls show Gingrich dropping, with Perry improving and Paul’s numbers holding strong.
“I think everybody is kind of in awe of how volatile the race is,” said Republican National Committeeman Steve Scheffler, who heads Iowa Faith & Freedom. “I just think anything can happen. It’s kind of unprecedented what you see happening in Iowa now.”
The RealClearPolitics index shows that Gingrich’s Iowa peak came almost four years to the day of Mike Huckabee’s 2008 high point. On Dec. 13, 2008, Huckabee was at 35.0 in the RCP Iowa polling index. The former Arkansas governor still had enough of a lead to defeat Romney on caucus night, but his numbers tumbled during the last three weeks of the Iowa campaign before John McCain seized momentum in New Hampshire.
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Readers' Comments (30)
Easy come... easy go.
America and the GOP will miss the STINK Newt brings to any election.
Newt:
pudgy, pompous, pontificating, pandering, pr!ck
NEWT CAN'T WIN
http://www.newtcantwin.com/ is a great hub for Conservatives to learn about Zany Newt.
Ah those discerning Iowa Hawkeye voters! They look into their stockings for the best snappy, high octane choice for Prez. In one stocking is warm taffy (how'd it get that way-oh yeah, it came from Romney's kitchen.) In the middle stocking is that hard candy built like marbles, the product of Newt's camp. Ah yes-the long stable stocking has been filled with sweet pralines and nails. (Who put the nails there-oh yes Ron Paul is like that in places, so cold and hard). At last we come to the ditzy stocking. It's full of "Bless You" candies in the shapes of hearts and crosses. This one is compliments of Perry, Santorum and Bachmann. Iowa voters have so much to be cheery about this time of year. If only they could get behind Secretariat. But there ain't no such horse in this race.
Ron Paul: I'm reluctantly doing the media's job in EXPOSING NEWT GINGRICH
http://youtube.com/watch?v=...
No, Duh!
Considering this was the rallying point for anti-Obama hysteria
including the claims that Obama was -- gasp -- a s's's'ssocialist!
How would if look if mandates were understood to be a mainstream, pro-business solution pioneered by the Heritage Foundation?
Hush-a you mouth, boy!!
But he will still beat your guy Mittwit!
AngelEyez = paid shill for Romney?
Before we give Obama another 4 years by nominating Gingrich we should listen to those alarming us that Gingrich will lose to Obama by a larger margin than McCain.
Gingrich will lose the female vote.
Gingrich will lose the Independent and moderate vote.
Gingrich will hurt the other Republicans that would be on the ticket with him causing them to also lose.
Gingrich already caused the greatest Republican seats lose in the House's history.
Gingrich does not have the ground organization needed to defeat Obama.
Is this wishful thinking on the GOP establishment's part?
You're a mean one, Mr. Gingrich. Don't exploit the poor whos in Iowaville that don't know about your sordid past violating ethics rules and dumping wives for mistresses.
I can't wait for Mr. newt "I will be the nominee" gingrich to crash and burn. Lol.
I don't believe the American people are in "awe". The American people are in denial and disbelief. How names like Mutt and Gnewt resurface. How social and fiscal conservatives are trying to reconcile. Did every GOPer talk to G-d before they decided to run?
Ron Paul is climbing and will take Iowa. Dr. Paul is the only candidate with a plan to cut the spending, cut the debt and reign in the Federal Reserve. We may only have one chance left to get this right so vote for Ron Paul or you can vote for one of the liberal rinos of Newt, Romney or Huntsman.
Ron Paul in 2012!
As purchasing price parity applies to object not to people, here is the next round:
1. Yes, a Republican member of the house, had the Newt plan scored. Mr. Gingrich, a member of congress since 1978, should recall that ideas are nice, but numbers are brutal. If one is to 'sell this candidate", it is based on experience, and leadership, someone who has successfully balanced the budget deficit. There are two versions of tax policy... where we will get, in an ideal situation, and where we are today, in a deficit that was bad under bush, but become 35% worse under obama in just 3 years. So while of course, a zero percent tax rate is the best for all, it does not fund our military, it does not build our bridges, and it does not give pell grants to needy and deserving students to "live the American Dream", to become mobile and fulfill their full potential.
2. There are statuatory rates and effective rates. i suggest everyone look that one up before going to the debate. Perry and Bachman know the difference. As does Romney. For example, the top 15 banks domiciled in the United States pay an effective tax rate of 11%. The energy industry pays almost 28%, effectively. Who is being subsidized by opportunistic accounting and 'discretion' over realizing their "losses" and bad investments based on what the bean counters say, when the CEO decides, it is appropriate to "message earnings' due to (pick one): a) the collapse of [fill in financial institution here] b) Europe's crisis c) contraction in risk appetite due to slow growth in Emerging Economies d) Blame Obama for bad regulation e) Blame it on Bush because Barney frank said so. And who are the good guys in the cowboy hats who buy some equipment (creating jobs) drill a hole and get some oil or natural gas to power the world. As long as it is done without environmental damage, the men and women of the energy industry do "god's work". Why are they so demonized by the Energy Consuming States?
3. I am happy to hear Newt admit that he was wrong on Palestine, as his history degree is in American history, he should refrain from engaging in the cultural classification of a people, who have a history that predates the Incas in MesoAmerica. When one qualifies that their expertise is American history, we can see why such an error in foreign affairs was made.
4. Romney and 5 bankruptcy... versus like 300 companies that did not go bankrupt.... i'll take those odds any day. A connection may get you in the door, but to achieve the pinacle of a large investment firm, like Bain Capital takes talent, economic knowledge and perserverance.
Thankfully, this is the last debate before the all important Iowa caucus. I think it is okay to make an exception to the 11th Amendment, passed by Reagan and attack each other. Obama has to sign a Defense Authorization Package...
As purchasing price parity applies to object not to people, here is the next round:
1. Yes, a Republican member of the house, had the Newt plan scored. Mr. Gingrich, a member of congress since 1978, should recall that ideas are nice, but numbers are brutal. If one is to 'sell this candidate", it is based on experience, and leadership, someone who has successfully balanced the budget deficit. There are two versions of tax policy... where we will get, in an ideal situation, and where we are today, in a deficit that was bad under bush, but become 35% worse under obama in just 3 years. So while of course, a zero percent tax rate is the best for all, it does not fund our military, it does not build our bridges, and it does not give pell grants to needy and deserving students to "live the American Dream", to become mobile and fulfill their full potential.
2. There are statuatory rates and effective rates. i suggest everyone look that one up before going to the debate. Perry and Bachman know the difference. As does Romney. For example, the top 15 banks domiciled in the United States pay an effective tax rate of 11%. The energy industry pays almost 28%, effectively. Who is being subsidized by opportunistic accounting and 'discretion' over realizing their "losses" and bad investments based on what the bean counters say, when the CEO decides, it is appropriate to "message earnings' due to (pick one): a) the collapse of [fill in financial institution here] b) Europe's crisis c) contraction in risk appetite due to slow growth in Emerging Economies d) Blame Obama for bad regulation e) Blame it on Bush because Barney frank said so. And who are the good guys in the cowboy hats who buy some equipment (creating jobs) drill a hole and get some oil or natural gas to power the world. As long as it is done without environmental damage, the men and women of the energy industry do "god's work". Why are they so demonized by the Energy Consuming States?
3. I am happy to hear Newt admit that he was wrong on Palestine, as his history degree is in American history, he should refrain from engaging in the cultural classification of a people, who have a history that predates the Incas in MesoAmerica. When one qualifies that their expertise is American history, we can see why such an error in foreign affairs was made.
4. Romney and 5 bankruptcy... versus like 300 companies that did not go bankrupt.... i'll take those odds any day. A connection may get you in the door, but to achieve the pinacle of a large investment firm, like Bain Capital takes talent, economic knowledge and perserverance.
Thankfully, this is the last debate before the all important Iowa caucus. I think it is okay to make an exception to the 11th Amendment, passed by Reagan and attack each other. Obama has to sign a Defense Authorization Package...
Well of course this wouldn't last. Newt is out of touch. Romney is THE ONLY one who even has a chance at defeating Obama, and even for him it will be difficult. The Democrats are slowly becoming optimistic about 2012, and if they unite Republicans are done.
The Republicans have wasted so much time. I think they'll lose in 2012...
Newt:
Taking that recent "pledge" to not commit adultery was laughable. Didn't you make a similar one, in front of God, when you married your first wife?
Just go away!
Being an egotistical megalomaniac, that kind of logic would go right over his swelled head.
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