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Friday, 23 March 2012

South-East Asia Special Report 2012

South-East Asia does not get as much spotlight as China and India do, but that is a basic injustice rather than a comment on the region’s performance. The region has demonstrated resilience even as the global economy has struggled and its capital markets boast an impressive growth story, one that shows few signs of slowing.

 

To see the full IFR Asia Special Report on South-East Asia, click here.



Top Merrill dealmaker Orcel to leave for UBS - sources

(Reuters) - Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Andrea Orcel, the architect of many of Europe’s biggest banking deals including the break-up of ABN Amro, is leaving to jointly head UBS’s investment bank, three people familiar with the matter said.

The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen at the company's headquarters in Zurich

P&M;: Top investment bankers move at Credit Suisse

Jim Amine has become the sole global head of Credit Suisse’s investment banking business, following the departure of his former co-head Luigi de Vecchi who is going on sabbatical.

DERIVATIVES: Bank credit exposure from derivatives falls

US commercial banks’ net credit exposure from derivatives fell 15%, or US$74bn, to US$430bn during the fourth quarter of 2011, according to a report from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency this week.

IFR Editor-at-large Keith Mullin

Rebranding = better client service? I don't think so

Have the strategy and brand consultants been out sprinkling their magic retooling dust on investment bank marketing folks who’ve got too much of last year’s budget left over?

As Portugal and China remind us, the crisis is far from over

There is no doubt a question in the air; are we experiencing a bit of a wobble in a market gagging to put on more risk or have we been more optimistic than we should have been and are now in a period of re-evaluation and reflection? The answer isn’t all that clear.

Comment: Banking reform... Esperanto vs the Middlemen

If you think the advent of a common tongue in banking will solve the problems of finance, you are probably disappointed that Esperanto did not usher in a new age of world peace.

IFR Comment: UK retail sales plunge, QE back on BoE agenda?

Whatever way one wants to look at the UK retail sales data they were weak. This might provide the first indication that households squeezed to the limit and are now cutting back further on their spending.

Analysis: Macquarie's hybrid hampered by complex structure

A US$250m hybrid Tier 1 issue for Australian bank Macquarie struggled to garner strong investor support this week, hampered by the complex nature of the structure in a sign that banks still have to cover a lot of ground to educate buyers on new hybrid structures.

Rep. Barney Frank gestures while speaking at a news conference

US banks may get breathing room on Volcker rule

(Reuters) – US banks may get breathing room on the Volcker rule’s looming crackdown on proprietary trading, after a Federal Reserve official pledged to ease firms into compliance and Representative Barney Frank asked regulators to scrap their original proposal in favor of a simpler approach.

IFR Comment: A wakeup call from global growth risks

The economic outlook was supposed to be getting better, wasn’t it? We would reiterate that what we have seen with risk markets and bond yields of late is a post-Greek world where tail risk was being priced out. That is, it was not that things were going to get better, but that the risks of more messy outcomes has been severely reduced.

Analysis: Lloyds paves way for trickier names in US market

The US bond market reached a milestone this week when it opened its doors to the UK’s Lloyds TSB Bank – the first time one of the riskier European financials has made it back to the Yankee market since last year’s sovereign debt crisis.

EURO CORPORATES: Softer market prompts return of NIPs

Softer corporate credit indices and secondary market widening slowed the flow of new supply on Thursday, with only steelmaker ArcelorMittal brave enough to launch a deal.

EQUITIES: Erickson Air-Crane IPO makes a second lift-off

Erickson Air-Crane is having some problems with a key customer, cash-strapped Greece’s Hellenic Fire Brigade, but is not letting that stand in the way of its IPO ambitions.

EQUITIES: Sun rises again on solar IPOs

The solar industry has a habit of flying too close to the sun (think last year’s Solyndra debacle), but a revival of the industry’s investment case appears to be under way.

EQUITIES: Japan pachinko operator plans HK IPO

Dynam Group, Japan’s second-largest pachinko parlour operator in terms of sales, is looking to list in Hong Kong as early as April to raise US$200m– $300m.

Top Stories from this week's IFR Magazine

Released online Fridays
16:00 London / 11:00 New York


A Goldman Sachs sign is seen on at the company's post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange

Upfront: Holier than thou

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

Goldman Sachs’ commitment to the bottom line apparently came as a shock to at least one of its employees. Greg Smith’s highly public resignation from Wall Street’s most consistently profitable firm dug the knife deep into senior management for their quest to boost earnings over their commitment to clients – or “muppets” as they are now universally known.

US banks are told: Stay home

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

It doesn’t pay to be global. That was the clear message handed down by the US Federal Reserve when it published stress test results that penalised those banks with internationally-diversified asset bases. Some analysts said that view was the natural conclusion from the relative performance of US banks, without being able to see the Fed’s workings, which were not disclosed.

Picky buyers give wings to EM high-yield

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

The emerging market high-yield space is flying again, after a few jitters last month. But in a healthy sign that investors are not buying credits blindly, the performance of recent deals is mixed, as well-known borrowers from familiar countries and sectors fare best.

DBS-backed CB offers free lunch

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

A pair of unusual equity-linked issues last week highlighted the difficulties of finding the right structure and terms in Asia’s fast-improving market. The two investment grade deals showed how the Asia ex-Japan convertible bond market has turned the corner in 2012 after an insipid 2011, but while one was an example of an issuer extracting maximum value from the product, the other was a sign of how easily terms can be misjudged.

IPO insiders waste no time cashing in windfall gains

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

Improved IPO performance has prompted a rush by company insiders on a number of recent hot deals to seek an early release from six-month restrictions preventing them from selling stock.

Ford proves Dim Sum draw

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

Ford Motor has priced its first Dim Sum bond after an overwhelming response from investors. The US vehicle maker attracted orders totalling Rmb10bn (US$1.56bn) from 120 accounts for its offshore renminbi bond issue, far exceeding the rumoured target of Rmb500m–Rmb750m. The book reached Rmb1bn within an hour of opening.

Urgency on DIFC Investment’s US$1bn requirement

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

The clock is ticking on the investment arm of Dubai International Financial Centre’s search for up to US$1bn of syndicated loans that it urgently needs to meet the June maturity of a US$1.25bn Islamic bond.

Historic CDS auction approaches

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

Credit default swap users are confident of a successful Greek auction on Monday, while conceding that the final settlement price is hard to predict.

Adidas capitalises on stock high with CB

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

An all-time stock high and rampant demand for investment-grade paper in the European convertible market combined to attract adidas to issue its first convertible bonds since 2003. The €500m move follows the US$3bn jumbo offering by Siemens last month, which was coincidentally also its first visit to the equity-linked market in nearly a decade.

Western Digital deal sees drop-outs

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

Western Digital’s request to lenders to recommit to a US$3bn financing package backing its acquisition of Hitachi Global Storage Technologies before a March 7 closing deadline should have been a slam dunk for lenders queueing up to join juicy M&A deals.

Greek hold-outs remain steadfast

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

The stand-off between Greece and holders of its foreign law bonds that have yet to accept proposed amendments to their notes is unlikely to be broken before the final deadline of 9pm CET this Friday, March 23.

 

Latin America Special Report 2012

One wonders how your average Latin American policymaker has avoided developing a squint, having to keep one eye firmly on domestic markets while the other is fixed so intensely on Europe’s unfolding Greek tragedy. Yet it is a measure of how LatAm financial markets have bolstered their resilience to foreign shocks that at this juncture a squint is likely to be the worst byproduct of the eurozone crisis.



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People & Markets

Passers-by walk in front of a branch of French bank Credit Agricole in Marseille

Credit Agricole targets fund cash

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

Credit Agricole is in talks with a number of pension and insurance companies about using their cash to co-originate loans, as the French bank seeks to maintain lending to corporate clients while at the same time shrinking its balance sheet.

Signs of Spring for investment banking

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

The stars may at last be aligning for a resurgence in activity for US investment banks, with many investors showing signs that they are in the mood to put on risk. The rally in the US equity markets also portends a strong underwriting environment.

Nomura cuts in fixed income

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

Nomura is to cut about 30 fixed income jobs following a two-month review of the franchise by global head Steve Ashley, who took over the business at the start of the year. The move is in an effort to bring down costs amid an industry-wide downturn in trading.

Mary Schapiro, Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission

SEC steps up attack on IPO reforms

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

Opposition from the Securities and Exchange Commission and investor advocates is threatening to dilute US reforms backed by both major political parties that aim to make it easier for small companies to go public.

Greg Smith

Sour leaver creates Goldman Sachs storm

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

The highly public resignation of Greg Smith, a London-based executive director of Goldman Sachs’ equity derivatives team, created a brief media storm about the firm’s strategy last week, with both sides vocal in their defence.

Top Merrill dealmaker Orcel to leave for UBS - sources

22 March 2012

(Reuters) - Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Andrea Orcel, the architect of many of Europe’s biggest banking deals including the break-up of ABN Amro, is leaving to jointly head UBS’s investment bank, three people familiar with the matter said.

More from People & Markets

Bonds

FIG WRAP: SG taps March 2017 senior in weakening market

22 March 2012

Borrowers appear to be awakening to the fact that the senior unsecured market remains fragile and that issuance windows can shut very quickly.

Analysis: Lloyds paves way for trickier names in US market

22 March 2012

The US bond market reached a milestone this week when it opened its doors to the UK’s Lloyds TSB Bank – the first time one of the riskier European financials has made it back to the Yankee market since last year’s sovereign debt crisis.

CAF plans up to US$2bn in debt issuance for 2012

21 March 2012

Regional development bank CAF plans to raise US$1.5bn-$2bn in the debt market this year, as it looks to grow its lending portfolio by 8%-10%, according to Gabriel Felpeto, director of financial policies and international issuance at the bank.

EUROPEAN FIG WRAP: KBC sees strong demand for second deal in 3 weeks

20 March 2012

The tone in FIG primary remains remarkably strong, but the secondary market seems to be taking a breather. “It is a touch weaker today but overall we are still able to sell paper quite easily,” a dealer commented.  

FIG WRAP: Macquarie hybrid T1 coupon talked in low 10s

19 March 2012

Initial price thoughts on the coupon on Macquarie’s hybrid Tier 1 issue, the first non-domestic Basel III-compliant Tier 1 paper from an Australian bank, have been set in the low 10s. The deal is a 45NC5.25-year Reg S US dollar bond and follows a roadshow undertaken by the issuer in Switzerland, Hong Kong and Singapore on March 8 and 9.

More from Bonds

Equities

EQUITIES: Japan pachinko operator plans HK IPO

22 March 2012

Dynam Group, Japan’s second-largest pachinko parlour operator in terms of sales, is looking to list in Hong Kong as early as April to raise US$200m– $300m.

STRUCTURED EQUITY: Siemens returns

21 March 2012

Siemens was back in the structured equity market yesterday, though not in a way most would expect or recognise. The German firm was looking to offload in the money due April 2015 warrants in medical and safety technology company Draegerwerk, and used a novel twist on the bond plus warrants structure to do so.

DKSH up 7.2% on debut in active trading

20 March 2012

Swiss outsourcing company DKSH made its debut this morning with a positive start that eased some of the tension around the first major marketed IPO in Europe since July 2011.

DERIVATIVES: VIX futures warn of rising volatility

19 March 2012

The CBOE’s volatility index might have hit five-year lows, but if the VIX futures market is anything to go by, investors don’t expect current levels to remain for long as fears over European sovereign debt shift from Greece to other peripherals and many investors question the strength of an apparent US recovery.

More from Equities

Video Spotlight

Businessmen's political battle heats up in Hong Kong

21 March 2012

Two wealthy businessmen vie to lead Hong Kong against a backdrop of escalating friction between residents of the former British colony and the mainland. Tara Joseph of Reuters Television reports.

Spain feels heat on debt

13 March 2012

Spain is under fire over its deficit targets, while global markets wait for word from the Fed on policy, but the betting is for no change in policy. Analysis from Reuters Insider and City Index in London.

Bellwether

From the practice of placing a bell around the neck of a castrated ram to lead the flock

Long-term stupid, or just rich?

IFR 1925 17 March to 23 March 2012

WE’VE ALL HAD those conversations (usually in the pub) when we describe our dream scenario of being able to tell the boss to stuff his job. Given that no other bank is going to employ Greg Smith, the (now former) London-based head of US derivatives at Goldman Sachs, one can only assume that the man who washed the firm’s dirty linen in the pages of the New York Times has ceased to care about trivialities such as a working wage.

IFR Super League

IFR Super League Update - Game Week 28

15 March 2012

The separation at the top of the table continued last week, with Pandemonium easing further ahead of WhyDembeleDifferent, and the rest of the field falling off the pace.

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