Elysée

France’s presidential election

  • The French media

    Denouncing Pravda and the Taliban liberals

    Apr 6th 2012, 13:19 by S.P. | PARIS

    APOLOGIES to those readers for whom the following is one self-referential detail too far, but in light of a previous posting I thought that the editorial by Laurent Joffrin in this week’s Le Nouvel Observateur might be of interest. It is quite telling about the current political debate in France. Mr Joffrin is a respected senior French journalist, who currently edits the weekly news-magazine and was previously editor of Libération, a left-wing daily.

    His editorial is entitled “The Economist, Pravda of finance”. For those who don’t read French, here is a rough translation of his argument:

    These French really are useless.

  • Nicolas Sarkozy’s economic programme

    What's French for U-turn?

    Apr 5th 2012, 21:02 by S.P. | PARIS

    I HAD to pinch myself while sitting through Nicolas Sarkozy’s press conference this afternoon. For the past six weeks or so, with one eye on the far-right Marine Le Pen, the presidential candidate has focused his campaign on such matters as immigration, protectionism for European firms, security and tax exiles. Today, however, he reinvented himself as a champion of fiscal prudence and sound public finances.

    With a 32-point programme, itemised and costed, Mr Sarkozy sounded an alarmist note about the need to get French public finances under control. He said that France faced a “historic choice”, at a time when “certain countries in Europe are on the edge of a precipice”.

  • The French media

    France-bashing and The Economist

    Apr 4th 2012, 8:07 by S.P. | PARIS

    Enlarge

    OUR cover story and report on France has stirred quite a bit of interest here over the past week. It was an item on the France 2 main evening news on Friday (choose vendredi, and forward to 12.17) and led Le Grand Journal, the flagship evening show on Canal +. Most of the daily papers have written about it; and I’ve spoken about it on various radio and television shows, including a debate on Mots Croisés on Monday night on France 2, which devoted a special segment to the article.

    Often, the French media are fairly, if not outwardly, hostile to what they call “Anglo-Saxon” France-bashing (although I don’t agree that this is what we do).

  • Nicolas Sarkozy

    The comeback kid

    Apr 2nd 2012, 19:11 by S.P. | NANCY

    NICOLAS SARKOZY was in his element this afternoon, campaigning from a platform at a solar-power plant in eastern France, surrounded by workers in overalls and hard hats. This is his campaign backdrop of choice. It speaks of muscular industriousness, and is a nod to the working-class vote that helped propel him into the presidency in 2007 and which he so badly needs this time.

    He duly praised French industrial prowess and adaptability: the vast site, at Toul-Rosières, is a former air base now converted into a solar-energy farm, and capable of generating enough electricity to supply 60,000 households for a year.

  • The French election

    An inconvenient truth

    Apr 2nd 2012, 17:56 by The Economist online

    WHEN it comes to the dangers facing their economy, France's politicians are curiously silent

  • François Bayrou

    The disappearing third man

    Mar 30th 2012, 15:40 by S.P. | PARIS

    WHAT on earth has happened to François Bayrou? Not so long ago, the centrist candidate was being hailed as France’s third man. Le Point magazine splashed him on the cover and called him "the prophet". At the start of the year, he was the only candidate who could boast a consistent poll surge. Between November 2011 and the end of January, his first-round score jumped from 7% to 12%. With Nicolas Sarkozy lurching to the right, and François Hollande to the left, the middle looked like Mr Bayrou's for the taking.

    Latest polls, however, look desperate for him.

  • Electoral mathematics

    The first-round effect

    Mar 29th 2012, 13:37 by S.P. | PARIS

    FIVE polls in a row have now put Nicolas Sarkozy ahead of François Hollande in the first round. All of them are by different polling institutes, confirming a trend first spotted by Ifop in mid-March. The latest one, by CSA, gives Mr Sarkozy a handsome four-point lead, of 30% to 26%.

    The question of who is ahead is consuming much airtime in France right now. But given that all polls also still make Mr Hollande the ultimate winner, does it actually matter who tops the voting in the first round?

    The theory is that a first-round lead gives a candidate the critical momentum needed to secure victory in the run-off.

  • Campaigning in Nice

    On the trail with superstar Hollande

    Mar 28th 2012, 17:30 by S.P. | NICE

    A GLORIOUS afternoon here in Nice, on the Côte d'Azur, where I've been following François Hollande on the campaign trail. He has just held an open-air rally, flanked by palm trees on the Promenade des Anglais, under an unseasonably scorching sun. Supporters folded campaign posters into paper hats to shade themselves.

    Mr Hollande's speech was a now-familiar mix of promises to restore pride and prosperity, dignity and decency. He knows how to raise a laugh, mocking Nicolas Sarkozy's attempt to portray himself as a candidate of change. What has he being doing for the past five years? thundered Mr Hollande to much applause.

  • Videographic

    The battle for the Elysée

    Mar 28th 2012, 16:13 by The Economist online

    Our videographic introduction to the French presidential election

    FIVE years after electing him, many people in France have had enough of Nicolas Sarkozy. Can François Hollande topple him?

  • Manifesto pledges

    Short of a cent or two

    Mar 27th 2012, 17:27 by S.P. | PARIS

    IT IS good to learn that Nicolas Sarkozy is about to bring out a manifesto of sorts. This may come as a surprise, but so far the sitting president has been campaigning on the back of only speeches and periodic announcements. Unlike François Hollande, who has at least published a 60-point programme, Mr Sarkozy has not yet come up with a costed project.

    This makes it tricky to compare the extravagance of the different candidates, most of whom are also piling up extra spending pledges by the week. Happily, there are a few think-tanks here who have tried to do this for them. Less happily, none of them does it in an entirely satisfactory way.

  • The presidential candidates

    The men (and woman) who would be president

    Mar 27th 2012, 11:21 by The Economist online

    A slideshow of the five leading candidates for the French presidency

  • Marine Le Pen

    Of home-grown terror and Islam

    Mar 26th 2012, 16:35 by S.P. | PARIS

    IN THE aftermath of the Toulouse killings, President Nicolas Sarkozy has been careful to keep the focus on counter-terrorism and security, not immigration. Not so Marine Le Pen, who went in for crude electioneering at a weekend rally, thundering: "How many Mohamed Merahs in the boats, the aeroplanes, that arrive each day in France?" I wonder if she hasn’t misread the national mood.

    Until now, Ms Le Pen has run quite a clever campaign. The mistake of some observers has been to see the far-right National Front leader as merely a female, telegenic version of her father: crudely anti-immigrant and anti-Islam.

  • Intelligence and the Toulouse shootings

    Could the spooks have done more?

    Mar 23rd 2012, 16:26 by S.P. | PARIS

    A DAY after Mohamed Merah was killed in a shoot-out with an elite police unit in Toulouse, the French press is asking whether the gunman, who was known to French security services, could have been stopped before he went on his murderous shooting spree.

    The question is particularly sensitive during the election campaign, because Nicolas Sarkozy built his first presidential election bid, in 2007, on the back of a long stint at the interior ministry, in charge of security. He is the candidate most likely to emerge strengthened from a successful operation to hunt down the terrorist gunman—and damaged if failings should emerge.

    “Did the intelligence services do their work?

  • The Mélenchon phenomenon

    Aux armes, citoyens

    Mar 23rd 2012, 13:00 by S.P. | PARIS

    A WORD is due on Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the fiery hard-left presidential candidate. Last night a new poll put him in third place, with a stunning five-point jump from the previous month. If this poll is to be believed, he has now overtaken both François Bayrou and Marine Le Pen to become the new third man in the election.

    Styling himself as the “candidate of the people”, and backed by the French Communist Party, Mr Mélenchon’s campaign has caused quite a stir. While Nicolas Sarkozy and François Hollande have gone for showy, well-choreographed rallies, Mr Mélenchon has opted for the home-made touch.

  • Useful poll links

    Polls, damned polls, and statistics

    Mar 23rd 2012, 8:53 by S.P. | PARIS

    PART of the purpose of this blog is to share useful information about the French presidential campaign. First up, a few pointers on polls. The links that follow are all in French, but the polling data should be reasonably straightforward to follow. (We are also running the latest French opinion surveys on our page devoted to the election.)

    One of the best places to check for new polls is a French website that usually puts up the latest surveys fairly quickly, and links to the raw data too (click on the word lien). The overview table, which shows the newest polls to the left, is a neat way to check for broader trend lines and rogue polls.

About Elysée

In this blog our Paris bureau chief reports and comments on the race for the French presidency. The blog is named after the official residence of the French president, an 18th-century palace in the 8th arrondissement of Paris. Our election coverage is collected here.

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