Look, opponents of the law will be making a lot of noise about one alleged disaster after another for months and months and months. What matters is whether the law works over time — and no question, there’s a very long way to go.
Obamacare could be different if it becomes widely used by the middle class, not just the poor. Republicans would have a hard time resisting middle-class demands to improve the program. But that’s what it will take. And I’d guess that 2017 is about the earliest likely date for Republicans to give up their dream of total repeal.