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Security
Badr at the Forefront of Iraq’s Shia MilitiasKirk H. SowellThe political rise of the Badr Organization and its leader, Hadi Al-Ameri, is paving the way for a garrison state in Iraq. Read More
Remembering Hiroshima, Amidst Hell in SyriaRami G. KhouriMass killings by weapons of mass destruction matter more than ever in the Arab world because we seem to be the world’s most problematic arena for mass killings, refugee flows, and the use of violence by states and non-state groups that is rarely if ever subject to any accountability. Read More
Can NATO Militaries Generate Mideast Stability?Rami G. KhouriThe agreement between Turkey and the United States on a yet-to-be-defined plan to establish a sixty-mile-long Islamic State-free zone in northern Syria is at once decisive and dangerous.Read More
Gen. Odierno speaks half the truth needed to defeat ISISRami G. KhouriThe faster and more concretely the United States and Arab states play their parts in addressing the non-military issues that promote IS, the faster that 20-year horizon for destroying IS and everything it reflects will whittle down into a shorter time frame. Read More
ISIS Is Weak, but so Are Arab StatesRami G. KhouriThe political and sectarian problems that prevent military coordination also plague the constructive political development of countries like Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Bahrain, Libya, Lebanon, Palestine and others. Read More
Why Arabs Are Concerned About the Iran Nuke BargainNabil FahmyThe proposed nuclear deal with Iran is far from sufficient. It delays, but does not close the door on potential Iranian breakout. There is profound concern among Arab leaders, and for good reason. Read More
After Ramadi, Militias in the LeadKirk H. SowellThe fall of Ramadi on May 17 has had two key repercussions, neither of which will be reversed by simply retaking lost ground. Read More
Syrian Refugees and Regional SecurityBenedetta BertiThe international community has heavily invested in the armed forces of Syria’s neighbors, but hard security cannot be achieved without more robust humanitarian aid. Read More
Limitless Ambitions of Yemen’s HouthisNabeel KhouryThe first of the Houthi wars started, in 2004, while I was the chargé at the U.S. Embassy in Sanaa. A decade later, the Houthis have taken over Yemen’s capital, pushing the fragile country toward an uncertain fate. Read More
Israel vs. Hezbollah-Syria-IranRami G. KhouriBecause of the tangled dynamics of Hezbollah’s relations inside Lebanon and around the Middle East, the Israeli attack in Syria — an almost routine event in the last few decades, sadly — actually hit three targets in one, namely Hezbollah, Syria and Iran. Read More
The Libya ConundrumKarim Mezran , Tarek RadwanWhat is happening in Libya? And how will Egypt react? Read More
Dangerous OccupationJoel SimonDigital technology is enabling the spread of news and information across borders and around the world on an unprecedented scale. Yet, the challenges and risks facing professional journalists have never been greater. The executive director of the Committee to Protect Journalists tells the story. Read More
Arab World on the PrecipiceNabil FahmyNow more than any time in recent memory, the Arab World as a political entity is confronted with ominous threats and hair-raising domestic and regional challenges. Read More
Insights from the Kouachi Brothers’ Crimes and LivesRami G. KhouriThe lives, attitudes and actions of the Kouachi brothers reflect many other elements beyond freedom and blasphemy. It is time to get more serious about the real drivers of tension and violence that plague the multinational, transcontinental universe in which the Kouachi brothers lived. Read More
Libya’s Southern RivalriesRebecca MurrayRival factions in Libya have allied themselves with groups in the south, intensifying local conflicts and disrupting security in the border zone. Read More
Sinai Campaign a Boon to the Islamic StateMostafa HashemSupport for the Islamic State in Sinai and across Egypt has risen as youth grow convinced that the state’s violence can only be met with counter-violence. Read More
A New Sectarian Force for IraqRaed El-HamedPlans to build a national guard force risk widening sectarian divisions in Iraq and pushing more Sunnis toward the Islamic State. Read More
Algeria’s Police RiotsAbdallah Brahimi The power struggle between the Algerian presidency and DRS prevents any fundamental reforms that could address the underlying demands of police protesters.Read More
Turkey’s Waiting Game on the Syrian borderNabeel KhouryAfter three years of hesitation, Turkey has signaled its readiness to play a more active role in Syria and to join the recently formed coalition against ISIS. Read More
What’s at the Heart of Lebanon’s Troubles?Sada DebatesFour experts on Lebanon take an in-depth look the country’s stability. Read More
Scramble for IraqNabeel KhouryAmerica’s toppling of Saddam Hussein unleashed new forces in the Middle East. The latest fallout: the rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria. Read More
Eyeing the GeneralsShuja NawazPakistan is watching the battle of two Sharifs—Prime Minister Muhammad Nawaz Sharif versus powerful army chief General Raheel Sharif. A political crisis is fueling tensions between the country’s civil and military institutions. Read More
The Taliban QuestionZahid HussainIt is unlikely that the Taliban insurgency will topple the Kabul government and return to power anytime soon. But the group could command the Pashtun region—and threaten security in Pakistan across the border. Read More
What Went WrongEdward GirardetThe American-led invasion and occupation of Afghanistan is proving to be a failure. A military approach thwarted a long-term development strategy for the country. With foreign troops on the way out, the country braces for its uncertain fate.
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The Reluctant PosseRami G. KhouriIt is not surprising that when the threat becomes really serious, Arab leaders wait for the United States to save their skins. Read More
Hard to Be Confident in the Coalition-to-ComeRami G. KhouriSeveral troubling aspects of the American-led military plan to defeat the “Islamic State”
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Confronting the Islamic StateHassan HassanAirstrikes against ISIS will provide the Syrian opposition an opportunity to work alongside countries that long doubted its ability to rule a post-Assad Syria. Read More
We Do Not Need a Rerun of the War on TerrorRami G. KhouriThe GWOT, with its armed invasions, regime changes, drone fleets and other means, has only sustained and even expanded the Al-Qaeda/“Islamic State” phenomenon, because the twin drivers of Arab-Asian autocracy and foreign aggression remain virtually untouched. Read More
Either the U.S. defeats ISIS, or Iran doesNabeel KhouryThe Obama administration’s current efforts against ISIS are of a tactical nature and will not serve to defeat or dislodge it from the areas it now occupies. Read More
Lessons from the Renewed Attacks in Palestine and IsraelRami G. KhouriThis is the tragedy of what happens when determined warriors and mediocre political leaders on all sides meet in the arena of clashing nationalisms. Read More
America and Iran Face the Future—in IraqReza MarashiAfter eleven years of pursuing zero-sum security strategies in Iraq, both Tehran and Washington are slowly admitting that they have badly overreached. Read More
The Struggle for Iraq’s FutureRozina AliDoes the rise of Islamic extremism prove that Iraqi democracy was doomed to fail?Read More
After the Iran Nuclear DealSeyed Hossein MousavianThe P5+1 talks are not just about Tehran’s atomic program. A comprehensive agreement should serve as a model for negotiations on a Middle East Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone. Read More
Facts and Talks Are Better than Threats and WarsRami G. KhouriThe accusations against Iran, like those against Iraq over a decade ago, are based largely on highly dubious evidence that is exaggerated by a parallel streak of Israeli or neo-conservative American ideological extremism. Read More
The Frightening Thing about ISIS and Iraq Rami G. KhouriISIS is frightening, to be sure, but not because it portends our future; it is frightening because it reminds us of the criminal incompetence of ruling Arab regimes during nearly the past half century. Read More
Jordan’s Ambiguous Syria PolicyMarwan Muasher Amman is increasingly pursuing a policy of supporting neither the regime nor the opposition in Syria while quietly working to help resolve the conflict. It has few other options. Read More
How Nouri Al-Maliki’s Policies are Dooming IraqNabeel KhouryAfter three years of bashing Sunni opponents and lending assistance to Iran and Bashar Al-Assad’s regime in Syria, Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki’s chickens have now come home to roost. Read More
How Obama Can Stop WorryingRami G. KhouriThe best way for Barack Obama to reduce “the most direct threat to America at home and abroad” is to stop engaging in foreign policy actions that have contributed to creating and nurturing the danger in the first place.Read More
Egypt’s War on TerrorismZack GoldEven as the United States works with Egypt to counter violent threats in Sinai, relations will remain tense because of Egypt’s insistence that political dissent be considered terrorism. Read More
Why Syria MattersNader HashemiSome 150,000 people have died in the revolt against the regime of President Bashar Al-Assad. Military, political and humanitarian intervention is needed to end the atrocities and prevent further destabilization in the Middle East.
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Letter from IraqNabeel KhouryIn late February, the U.S. State Department protested a $195 million Iran-Iraq arms deal. In a recent trip to Baghdad, that small arms deal with Iran seemed like a small matter indeed to most. Read More
Why the Salafist-Takfiris Should Worry UsRami G. KhouriThese groups did not just suddenly appear in the past three years of the war in Syria; rather, they have been incubating slowly for a much longer period of time because of the slow deterioration in conditions in various Arab countries during the past quarter century or so. Read More
Assessing the Syria Talks in GenevaAmr Al-AzmAfter a round of talks between the regime and the opposition, little has been resolved. The Al-Assad regime has no incentive to enter these negotiations with any seriousness; the opposition has no meaningful or effective leverage to convince the key actors to bring significant pressure to bear on the regime. Read More
Why is the Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Eroding?Benedetta Berti, Zack GoldEach side’s strategy to preserve deterrence threatens the uneasy equilibrium, creating a permanent security dilemma. Read More
Al-Qaeda Has No Future in the Arab WorldRami G. KhouriMany people in the Middle East and abroad are rightly concerned about the rise and impact of hardline Salafist-takfiri fundamentalist Islamist groups that have recently proliferated and controlled territory in Iraq and Syria. Read More
Lebanon’s $3 Billion QuestionRami G. KhouriWhat should we make of the sudden announcement earlier this week that Saudi Arabia was providing the Lebanese armed forces with $3 billion to upgrade its capabilities? Read More
Which Iran Will We Choose?Trita Parsi , Bijan Khajehpour, Reza MarashiWe have a golden opportunity to test win-win proposals through concrete actions that can facilitate a new, cooperative relationship with Iran and its people, void of the painful baggage of the past. Read More
The Trial of Chelsea ManningAlexa O’BrienA military judge found the U.S. army private guilty on twenty espionage and other charges related to the leaking of military field reports and diplomatic cables to WikiLeaks. But the lack of transparency in the proceedings raises questions about the legitimacy of the verdict and the harshness of the sentence. Rather than achieving justice, the conviction highlights President Obama’s war on whistleblowers. Read More
Fortress New YorkHarvey MolotchSince the September 11 attacks, Gotham lives under a blanket of tight security. Police and guards seem everywhere. Inspections, intrusions and blockages are the norm. The financial cost is huge. Quality of life is diminished. Is there anything to show for it? Read More
Dangerous ManCairo ReviewDaniel Ellsberg leaked the Pentagon Papers to the New York Times in 1971 in hopes of ending U.S. military involvement in Vietnam. He speaks with Managing Editor Scott MacLeod about America’s latest whistleblowers, Chelsea Manning and Edward Snowden—and explains how unchecked power threatens the human race. Read More
Tunnel VisionZack GoldSince June 2013,the Egyptian military has maintained its most effective operation yet against tunnel networks in the Sinai. Looking forward, though, it is unclear how long Egypt can sustain the current success in tunnel closures. Read More
In Yemen, Drones Aren’t a Policy Nabeel KhouryI recall the good old days in Yemen from 2004 to 2007—that is, relatively speaking. I was then the Deputy Chief of Mission at the U.S. Embassy in Sanaa, which pretty much enjoyed the run of the country. Sanaa is now classified as an unaccompanied post, meaning it is too dangerous for diplomats to bring families with them. Read More
Freezing Aid without a StrategyJonathan GuyerSince Morsi's ouster, U.S. military hardware has been a stark feature of Cairo's skyline. But American policy—the reason for that military aid to Egypt—remains ambiguous. Read More
Remembering Bill StelpflugRami G. KhouriJust before the Syria war, I received a letter from the mother of the late Lance Corporal Bill J. Stelpflug, who joined the Marines in 1982 and was sent to Beirut in May 1983. A massive bomb destroyed the marine barracks on October 23, and Bill died in that attack. Read More
Seven Lessons to Learn in SyriaRami G. KhouriThe diplomatic and psychological thriller of the current announced plan by U.S. President Barack Obama to attack Syria for its alleged use of chemical weapons against its own people has now been dramatically shaped by the Russian proposal for Syria. We might draw some lessons so far. Read More
Sinai’s Role in Morsi’s OusterSahar AzizPresident Morsi's refusal to employ heavy-handed tactics to stop the increasing flow of arms and militants into Sinai—and his seeming disinterest in avenging the deaths of Egyptian soldiers—led the Egyptian military to join the ranks of his detractors. Read More
The Agony of the Smashing of SyriaRami G. KhouriThe vigorous debate about whether an American-led military strike against Syria would be appropriate and effective is heart-breaking, for it is agonizing to watch as another important Arab country follows the self-destructive trajectory of others before it, such as Iraq and Libya. Read More
A Return of Violent Islamist Insurgency in Egypt?Jerome DrevonDespite extreme declarations made by shadowy groups, it is unlikely that Egypt will witness a return to the violent insurgency that plagued the country in the 1990s.Read More
Democracy versus SecurityRozina AliSimplifying Egypt into the narrow dualism of ‘us versus them,’ the military has re-established a dominant role for itself on Egypt’s political stage, one that has gone largely unchallenged by the Egyptian public. Read More
Atoms for PeaceMuhammad SahimiWestern powers suspect that Iran is developing atomic weapons. But the controversy over the country’s nuclear program obscures the fact that Iran launched its pursuit of nuclear technology for peaceful purposes a quarter century before the Islamic revolution. It was the United States that helped Iran launch its nuclear quest.
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Breaking the Deadlock in the Western SaharaIrene Fernández MolinaRespect for human rights is a common denominator in the Western Sahara conflict that the international community should back at all costs. Read More
The Real Scare in Syria Is Not Chemical WeaponsRami G. KhouriNeither chemical weapons use nor American involvement strike me as the most significant elements of the Syria conflict that should grab our attention.Read More
Stability at All CostsAnne WolfWhile observers may disagree about the various reasons Algeria has proved thus far resistant to the Arab Spring, there can be no doubt about the role of the regime’s notorious Department of Intelligence and Security (French acronym, DRS). Perhaps aided by the lingering memory of Algeria’s bloody civil war—which took as many as 200,000 lives—the DRS has been effectively able to prevent protests from turning into a revolution. Read More
Syria Is Complicated -- Simultaneous Conflicts Always AreRami G. KhouriThe conflict in Syria has assumed more dangerous dimensions with the latest developments along the Syrian-Lebanese border, where forces with and against both the Syrian government and Hizbullah have engaged in cross-border shelling. Read More
Unhappy NeighborsNgo Vinh LongChina is aggressively enforcing a self-declared zone of sovereignty in wide areas of the South China Sea. Its takeover of disputed islands and arrests of fisherman have triggered growing diplomatic and legal challenges to Beijing. Without a Code of Conduct for the contested waters, the region may become a new global flashpoint. Read More
A Long March into Space Joan Johnson-FreeseWhen Liu Yang became China’s first female taikonaut with the launch of Shenzhou 9 in 2012, it was yet another sign that the country is catching up with the United States in the conquest of outer space. Concerning the military motives behind China’s ambitious program, however, it’s time to separate wild speculation from valid conclusions.
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Algerian Crisis: The Primacy of Le PouvoirJohn P. EntelisThe terrorist assault on one of Algeria's central natural gas processing plants posed a direct challenge to the structure of the country's military-industrial complex.Read More
Morocco’s Engagement with the Sahel CommunityBenjamin P. Nickels The Arab Spring opened up new partnership opportunities for Morocco, Africa’s only non-African Union member country, which has been long isolated by the Western Sahara conflict and its rivalry with neighboring Algeria. Read More
Breaking the Syria StalemateAmr Al-AzmThe Syrian regime and its core pillars of loyalist military support have yet to acknowledge that their situation has become critical, let alone perilous. What can Syria's opposition do to shake up the stalemate? Read More
Strategic Patience Cairo ReviewAmbassador Ryan Crocker spent a four-decade diplomatic career in the Islamic World, serving as U.S. envoy in Kabul, Baghdad, Islamabad, Damascus, Kuwait City, and Beirut and receiving honors such as the Presidential Medal of Freedom. He speaks with Managing Editor Scott MacLeod about America’s wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, handling the crises over Syria and Iran, and Washington’s foreign policy failings. Read More
Dealing with IranPresident Barack Obama entered office in 2009 calling for a new approach to diplomacy with Iran. Yet, as he begins his second term, the U.S. and Iran are on the brink of a conflict that could engulf the world. A Memo to the President on how America can avoid war.Read More
What's New in the Gaza-Israel BattleRami G. KhouriMore killing and destruction will not resolve this conflict, but a lack of a fair and negotiated resolution also means that more killing and destruction are inevitable. Read More
There Will Be No Civil War in LebanonRami G. KhouriThe political tensions and a handful of local clashes following the assassination last Friday of Internal Security Forces Intelligence Bureau head Brigadier General Wissam al-Hassan reflected a tragic but rather routine sequence of sentiments and events in this country, where political assassinations have occurred regularly for half a century. Read More
Drone WarsMichael Burnam-Fink Meet the Predator, the unmanned attack aircraft that is defining warfare in the post-Cold War era. Initially deemed useless by the Pentagon and Central Intelligence Agency, it has become America’s weapon of choice in the War on Terror. With the creation of a new military bureaucracy dependent on identifying
and striking new enemies, will Predator missions ever end?Read More
Curtains For Bin Laden’s Freak ShowScott MacLeodThere was a theatrical air about Osama bin Laden. He cultivated mystique. For example, he relished inviting selected international journalists–some known for their own theatricality–to meet him in dangerous or shadowy circumstances that facilitated dramatic storytelling. I had a minor part in bringing Bin Laden to the world stage in 1996 when I interviewed him in Khartoum for a TIME magazine story headlined “The Paladin of Jihad.” Bin Laden’s enemies added to the hype. George W. Bush, the gun-slinging president from Texas, responded to September 11 with a line straight out of Hollywood: “I want justice. And there's an old poster out West I recall, that said, 'Wanted: Dead or Alive.'"Read More
The Worst-Kept SecretNabil FahmyThe Worst-Kept Secret: Israel’s Bargain with the Bomb. By Avner Cohen. Columbia University Press, 2010. 416 pp.
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Dictators and the InternetWarigia BowmanThe Internet network is inherently not governed. Yet, each player has a valuable role. January 27 teaches us that a move away from centralization, particularly in the presence of autocratic governments, is crucial. Read More